This is the latest automotive battery pricing I can see
$115/KWh (Tesla - Lithium Nickel Cobalt Aluminum Oxide)
$99/KWh (BYD blade - Lithium Ferrous Phosphate)
$77/KWh (2022 CATL - Sodium ion)
The Sodium-Ion batteries are interesting because it's a comparatively new battery chemistry and only just starting mass-production.
Once they've ramped up in 2023, the price is to drop by half from $77/KWh to perhaps $40/KWh
At $40/KWh, a 50KWh car battery pack would only cost $2000.
Currently, 20% of car sales in China are for NEVs.
But if battery costs drop by half in the next 2 years, we will see further explosive growth in China and also elsewhere.
That will apply particular to developing markets where Japanese automakers have significant market share.
But what will happen if Chinese automakers start coming in with electric vehicles which cost less to run than the Japanese combustion-engine vehicles?
cleantechnica.com/2021/07/30/catl-reveals-sodium-ion-battery-with-160-wh-kg-energy-density/