The footage from the Karabakh conflict is really incredible (and also reminds us that war is terrible).
I think this could really highlight to countries all over the world the usefulness of drones and the importance of countering them. It looked like Azerbaijan was scoring hit after hit on ground targets despite Armenia having quite a large arsenal of AAMs.
I wonder how effective China's drone jammers and short range AAM like HQ-17 will be against drones in a real conflict situation
Yeah I agree. Ive been loosely following the karabakh conflict and the drone feeds from the Turkish TB-2.
Here is my general takeaways:
1) Even low end drones are difficult to shoot down when you don't have the right equipment. They are slow, but also very small. "Discount" Russian SAMs like OSa are completely useless against even low end drones like the TB-2 which don't fly very high or fast or far.
2) Element of surprise is important. Clearly Azerbaijan caught Armenia off guard with the drones. They were not prepared at all to counter them. This is similar to what happened in desert Storm with GPS.
3) Electronic Warfare and targeting optics in general are a major force multiplier. Traditional metrics like range and payload etc. are not useful when you can't hit your target or get shot down before you reach your target.
4) Defending a large area against drones is hard, it's difficult to sufficiently saturate an entire area with air defense systems.
China should work on ways of detecting and countering small drones like the TB-2
5) My thoughts on the future of drones, I think China should invest more in swarms of small drones which can loiter and fly long distances and carry one or two missiles each, rather than larger drones like the reaper or predator. Smaller drones are much more survivable and close to impossible to shoot down unlike large drones.