Chinese semiconductor industry

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tonyget

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How come TechInsights is certain that the Kirin 9000s is made by SMIC?

Is there any kind of technical way to proof this? Or is it just by assumption?

It seems to me a curious gamble for SMIC to play to participate in Huawei's very public endevour. The US could escalate sanctions againt SMIC further using their "foreign direct product rule" forcing ASML and many others to stop supplying them.

The transistor structure is patented,SMIC cannot use the same structure as TSMC or Samsung
 

tphuang

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The TianTong satellite only covers Asia-Pacific region,so that limits the useable area of mate60pro satellite function. I wonder if there is any Chinese satellite network that has similar capability with TianTong but has global coverage,that later huawei phone can use?
how many Chinese people are traveling beyond APAC these days and the ones that do, their telecom company probably has data roaming plans setup. the current coverage is already good. The next step is LEO satellites that need to get built.

May be Unsoc is laying low until domestic fabs ramp up enough advanced capacity. Now they are using TSMC and they would get blacklisted if they capture a significant market-share. Currently ZTE seems to be their main customer. ZTE has at least one device using all of their recent SoCs.
I wonder if Phytium has any plans to get into this sector? That's another possibility for a neutral third party SoC provider for non-Huawei brands. Phytium also has an ARM arch license.
Unisoc may have just decided they can't compete. After all, not everyone can do super great 5G modem. Not sure what kind of relationship they can have with samsung or tsmc.

i think Unisoc's 6nm SoC is getting used in BYD cars.

A salami slices both ways... Maybe by the end of the year the ban would extend to university faculties, then students...

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Chinese govt is way too concerned about outside opinions. If they just block Ga exports, Apple would be in complete trouble, but they are afraid of doing that. What can you do?
 

ansy1968

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Chinese govt is way too concerned about outside opinions. If they just block Ga exports, Apple would be in complete trouble, but they are afraid of doing that. What can you do?
Unintended consequences, China target is the developing world, they are a growing and bigger market which China can provide with her current technological capability. If China use indiscriminate sanction like the Collective West then who will they trust as trade partners?
 

tphuang

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Alright on 昂瑞微 (OnMicro), formerly known as 汉天下(Huntersun)

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By 2021, it had sold over 100m BAW filter
汉天下的核心产品是应用于4G/5G移动终端的基于MEMS技术的体声波(BAW)滤波器芯片及射频模组。2021年,汉天下BAW滤波器出货首次超过1亿颗,出货品种丰富度进一步提升,自建工厂稳步推进,人才队伍持续升级。
2021年,全球产业链上下游企业经历了严峻考验,汉天下认为,半导体行业呈现上半年供应紧张、下半年逐步缓解的趋势;行业产能紧张导致代工厂晶圆代工价格上涨,对汉天下来说,也造成了整体制造成本的上升,但通过努力提高设计水平,加大设计研发力度,提升产品良率,汉天下最大限度地对冲了代工成本上涨的影响。
There was a lot of demand in 2021, looks like foundry capacity was tight and it had trouble getting the capacity it needed and wafer prices were high
展望2022年,电动汽车、智能家居等新的增长点对芯片需求持续增长,国产替代的整体需求仍在稳步上升,尤其是射频芯片市场。汉天下将在双工器、四工器以及应用于5G频段的BAW滤波器上持续发力,力争进入更多大客户供应链,实现更多更高端的国产替代。
But looks like for 2022, it sees a lot of demand domestically in smart home EVs also for BAW filter.
More customers require domestic solution

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是国内首家以体声波滤波器为核心,并自有产线的射频前端芯片及模组公司。
says its the first domestic company to have BAW filter as its core product and has production line for it
成功填补我国高性能射频滤波器设计和制造领域的空白,截至2021年末,汉天下已累计出货近2亿颗,是目前国内出货量最大的射频滤波器芯片公司
looks like by the end of 2021, it had shipped almost 200m filters (probably includes both SAW/BAW filter)
2020年11月汉天下首次单月出货量超过1000万颗,位列国内第一。截止目前,公司滤波器芯片累计出货量超过2亿颗。
it hit 10m filter for the first time in Nov 2020
2022年,汉天下开始整合有源芯片团队,产品系列从滤波器向更加复杂的高端模组进军,力争成为全系列射频前端芯片供应商。同时,汉天下8英寸MEMS研发线建设正式启动。研发线拟作为苏州汉天下未来的器件工艺研发中心,规划建设体声波滤波器和射频模组小试用房以及产品性能测试实验室,形成“自有研发线+Foundry代工”的循环双驱动的产业协同发展模式,此举有助于发挥内部资源整合优势,缩短产品从设计到量产所需要的时间,快速推出符合下游市场要求的新产品,从而构建较高的核心技术壁垒,增强市场竞争力,打破国际巨头垄断,实现国产安全替代。
Looks like in 2022, it was building its own 8-inch MEMS research line in order to increase its production
基于MEMS工艺的BAW滤波器具有低插入损耗、高带外抑制和陡峭的边缘滚降等优点,可满足高难度4G/LTE和新的5G高频频段的严格共存要求,解决高频下的频段间的信号互扰问题;同时可实现高集成度所需微小的封装尺寸;并可延长硬件的电池寿命。
Make a note here, BAW filters (rf filters in general) are also important in power consumption. So when we talk about power consumption, it's not just the SoC but also the RF component, the screen and everything else in the device
销售目标:以成为国内最具竞争力的射频芯片供应商为目标,产品将涵盖4G/5G所需全部中/高/超高频段;目前公司产品已经打入移动终端、物联网等产品供应商的供应链,未来公司产品将进入通信基站、可穿戴设备、智能家居、车联网、航空航天等各种射频通讯领域,以进一步支持无处不在的无线通信技术的发展
sales goal. At the time of writing, it had already entered mobile end point (phones/pads), mobile web products. Also looking to enter wearables, smart home, auto web, space RF

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from this year, onmicro is the new name and it also got investment from Xiaomi.
陆续发布了PAMiD、L-PAMiD、L-PAMiF等高集成度模组,LNA(bank)等接收端产品,各大产品线取得全线突破;终端市场方面,应用领域不断拓展到可穿戴手表、无线键盘、蓝牙遥控器、蓝牙指纹锁等智能家居市场,实现了应用方案的全覆盖,同时新产品也不断获得行业头部客户的认可,例如全集成5G PAMiD产品已送往客户验证,预计2023年上半年将量产出货。
Earlier this year, it was known that it had developed L-PAMiD. according to this, it also developed PAMiD and L-PAMiF and had sent 5G PAMiD to customer for testing and was ready for mass production in first half of the year. Good chance this was Huawei

so this makes more sense timing wise, because Mate 60 assembly should've started a while back and OnMicro/Huntersun would've been produce BAW filters for a few year and had the ability to put them in their own integrated power amplifier modules.
 

tphuang

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From HW before HR on impact of Huawei and apple
华为旗舰机这次回来,以后和P两款至少会销售3000万部一年,毫无疑问其中两千万部必然是把过去苹果拿去的抢回来了。这至少价值1500亿人民币的营收从苹果转移到华为。实际上因为全套配套的元素,还有各种平板电脑、PC、手表、耳机等一系列产品,影响至少2000亿人民币,这是个巨大的产值。
30m+ high end phone bw Mate & P series. 20m will come from Apple -> 150B RMB of value from Apple to Huawei
if we include notepad, pc, watches, wearables, this could be 200B RMB of value
苹果手机和华为手机最大不一样的地方是,Mate60Pro几乎都是国产化,这些增加值都是在中国。而苹果只是用了中国制造组装和部分器件,加上税收,估计一部iPhone中国得不到市价的20%,这差异就是多了1600亿在中国。
按当前产业链人均年收入16万元人算,相当于产业链多了100万的就业,当然实际上可能就多个30-50万,也是巨大数量。
difference between HW & Apple is that China only get 20% of value per Apple production mostly made in China. So, Apple takes 160B RMB out of China.
Equivalent to 1 million workers using 160k RMB/year salary. of course in reality, it probably will be more like 300 to 500k
而华为产业链员工会买房、买车、吃饭、旅游、孩子上学什么的消费,带起的间接就业岗位至少是产业链的6倍以上。
可以说就一个Mate60系列从苹果转移到华为营收,可能影响百万人的工作,几百上千万的家人。还不说因为产业链在中国,贡献的各种增值税和个税要高多了。

这只是对苹果的影响,其实华为国内一定会回到高峰期,销量过亿台手机是正常的,和去年比,那么就意味着高通和联发科等加起来要少6000-7000万的芯片出货了,影响巨大。高通可不仅仅是销售处理器,他们卖芯片组,往往一台机器就十几乃至几十个芯片。
而华为卖一亿台,毫无疑问的说,基本上相当于台积电少一亿台处理器单。更别说还有几十亿片配套芯片很多也从台积电代工厂移走。

所以这个巨大产业链变化,相当于每年多给几千亿元到中国大陆,减少送美国和台湾几千亿的营收,这是多么伟大的此消彼长效果。
产业链在中国必然就会给各种配套的、服务的、消费的、建筑的带来投资效果。这是给中国经济一个长效营养剂,也是龙头企业的关键作用。
I think he is also make the argument about Qualcomm and Mediatek chips. For qualcomm, it's also the power amplifier modules.

100 million sales for Huawei means 100m fewer SoCs for TSMC.
 

Koron

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Interesting anecdote from this guy that Huawei/SMIC made breakthrough by "refining“ 优化 mature process to produce 7nm chips, for lower capital cost. If i understand him correctly, its not just a matter of multi-patterning using DUV....

Anecdote started at about 19:15 but drifted a bit...

 
D

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What is the node of the 5g modem and other RF components for the phone? Are they also 7nm?
 

tphuang

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Huawei actually invested in Onmicro as early as 2020

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不乏华为旗下哈勃投资、小米、联想创投、华登国际等知名投资机构。
HW, Xiaomi, Lenovo & Walden International have all invested in OnMicro
昂瑞微的产品已经进入荣耀、小米、三星、摩托罗拉、中兴、联想、传音、华勤、龙旗、闻泰等知名品牌和方案商,近一年来还突破了OPPO、vivo等在内的新客户。
Its product has also entered honor, xiaomi, samsung, motorola, ZTE, lenovo & other supply chain as well as OPPO & Vivo

This is the key. It just started selling it's l-pamid product this year with Huawei, but since it's already in supply chain for all the major phone producers outside of apple, what's preventing it from fully taking over market share of other phone makers assuming that it can get production ramped up. Clearly, the rf modules are good enough and very fast based on what we have seen with mate 60. Maybe next yr, it gets into 50 million phones, but the year after that, it gets into 100 and then 200 and 400. Before you know it, Qualcomm and broadcom revenues dwindle away.

There is also vanchip that has also come out with l-pamid module. Maybe it's sourcing bae filters from memsonic. Because they clearly stated they have customers.
 

tphuang

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What is the node of the 5g modem and other RF components for the phone? Are they also 7nm?
5h modem in this case is part of Kirin 9000s. Rf components are analog devices. Not something you use advanced logic process for.

Rf filters are produced in mems fabs. Power amplifier are fabbed in gaa device production lines.
 
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