Galaxycore has recently introduced the world's first single chip 32 million pixel CMOS image sensor. Compared to double sided stacked 32 million pixel CIS, it is only 8% larger by surface area. Will be on smartphone starting in Q1 of next year.
Aside from that, it's new Lingang fab has started production in August 31st. The first batch of wafers achieved 95% yield. Mass production will start soon and production rate will steadily climb next year and reach capacity in 2024.
Now, I looked a little more into the fab itself
It said all the equipment was installed by Jan 22nd. The agreement was signed in March 2020 and work on the fab started sometimes in July 2020. 15.5 billion RMB was invested hear for 60k wpm of capacity by 2024.
this tells me a few things:
- It takes a year and half just to finish building factory and install the initial equipment. It takes another 6 months to start trial production and up to a year (from finished installing equipment) to start mass production. 4 years is a reasonable time to go from signing contract to fully ramp for a fab of 50 to 60k wpm of mature nodes. Even this is pretty quick.
Tying this back to SMIC, I think all SN2 construction and initial equipment installation should be done by end of this year. Even after that, we probably need to wait until next summer before trial production start at SN2 and mass production is likely to ramp up more quickly a year from now and grow throughout 2024. The vast majority of ASML arfi scanners they received this year probably are destined for SN2 and same with any deliveries from next year. Maybe a few of them are headed to Lingang. As such, I do continue to hold the thesis SN2 will end up larger than the initial announcement of 35k wpm and/or Lingang fab will be doing more advanced note production.
I had wondered why the Lingang fab Capex was expected to be 20 to 25% higher than the Beijing/Tianjin fab. I thought it might have been higher construction cost around Shanghai. Having seen the cost of this GalaxyCore Lingang fab, it is obvious that is not the case. Therefore, Lingang will likely be producing more advanced node wafers than the other 2.