Chinese semiconductor industry

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manqiangrexue

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U.S. intensifies assault on China chip ambitions​

Strictest ever curbs on exports of advanced tools, AI chips and more

The U.S. has introduced sweeping export controls aimed at curbing almost every aspect of China's semiconductor development as part of its toughest crackdown yet on Beijing's tech ambitions.

The U.S. Commerce Department on Friday barred American companies from shipping certain grades of advanced chip equipment to any Chinese client without a license, effective immediately. The same curbs will apply to shipments of American-made electronics parts or other items that China could use to produce its own chipmaking tools and equipment.

Under the new rules "U.S. persons" will also be restricted from providing support to the development or production of chips at Chinese "semiconductor fabrication facilities without a license," starting Oct. 12.

The commerce department also tightened the so-called Foreign Direct Product Rule to restrict China's ability to obtain or build cutting-edge chips used in supercomputers and artificial intelligence applications. These curbs will also apply to global chipmakers, including Samsung of South Korea and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., whose manufacturing relies on American technologies.

The new rules show Washington's determination to restrict China's ability to develop cutting-edge semiconductors and computer systems that are crucial for Beijing's advanced manufacturing as well as many security, space, and defense applications.

"The PRC government is attempting to divert a lot of civilian technologies, particularly in computing, space, AI and communications, into areas of supercomputers in civil-military fusion programs as well as other areas such as surveillance that link with human rights abuses," a senior U.S. Commerce Department official said when outlining some of the reasons for the tighter rules.

They come as the U.S. is attempting to shore up its domestic semiconductor industry, including by offering generous federal and state subsidies for chipmakers.

The restrictions on chip equipment could hit Chinese memory chip champions Yangtze Memory Technologies (YMTC) and ChangXin Memory Technologies particularly hard, as both companies are in the midst of ramping up their output.

They will also create hurdles for Chinese chipmaking equipment makers such as Naura and Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment, which are working to help Chinese chipmakers get around U.S. sanctions by building up domestic production tools to
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YMTC was one of more than 30 companies and research institutions that the U.S. on Friday placed on an "Unverified List" of clients. The list is intended as a red flag to American suppliers to be careful of doing business with those named. If these companies fail to provide documentation required by the U.S., they are likely to be officially blacklisted on Washington's so-called Entity List, alongside the likes of Huawei Technologies.

The U.S. further said on Friday that 28 entities already blacklisted will be subject to enhanced export controls under the Foreign Direct Product Rule, to restrict their ability to source from foreign suppliers using any American technologies.

Under the new rules, a license is required to ship chip equipment that can make processors and other logic chips using 14/16-nanometer technology or better. In logic chipmaking, a smaller nanometer number generally indicates a more advanced chip. The latest iPhone processors are produced with 5-nm chip tech.

For DRAM chips, the restrictions kick in for tools that are 18-nm or better, while for NAND flash memories the rules apply to machines capable of making chips with 128 or more layers.

NAND and DRAM are key types of memory components needed for all electronic devices, from smartphones and computers to servers and connected cars.

YMTC mass-produces 3D NAND flash memory chips on the 128-layer level, about one or two generations behind global leaders, and aims to put the next generation of 192-layer chips into production within a year.

American chip equipment makers such as Applied Materials, Lam Research and KLA are still sorely needed if China is to quickly and smoothly ramp up chip production.

According to a Boston Consulting Group analysis, there are at least 23 types of chipmaking equipment for which American companies control more than 65% of global supply.

The new rules on advanced chipmaking tools apply only to U.S. companies and not foreign players such as ASML and Tokyo Electron. However the U.S. is working closely with "like-minded" allies to persuade them to similarly restrict exports of technology that China could use to build advanced chips used in weapons, supercomputers and surveillance applications that violate human rights, according to a senior Commerce Department official.

"We've briefed and consulted with close allies and partners on these controls, in the new obligations that they create related to chips designed with U.S. tools, software or equipment or tooling experts involving U.S. persons," the official said. "We expect all countries to comply with these measures as we do with all of our export controls."

Mark Li, a veteran semiconductor analyst with Sanford C. Bernstein, sees the American move as set to substantially slow China's chip development.

"If the ban also widens to bar U.S. citizens or people to provide support to Chinese companies, that could have a big effect too," Li said. "After all, talents and their know-hows are great assets to develop next generation chip technologies."

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I really like how they always crank it up slowly like they're training China to get stronger. They know that lithography is basically the hardest thing in the world so let's do a warm up round of threats to get China ready, then we'll get into Huawei/ZTE sanctions, then do 25% US input limit on third party bans, then escalate to 10%, then we'll go up to ASML EUVL bans, then ASML DUVL bans etc... It's like they don't want to do too much at once because that might be overwhelming; they want to make sure that China's well-adjusted and scientifically caught up and economically insulated for each step before moving forward. If America's government wasn't so full on conflicting interests and incompetence, it would look that way, but realistically, we all know it's just mental retardation and inability to commit.
 

Appix

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And this is the BIG one

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"The Biden administration on Friday announced sweeping new limits on the sale of semiconductor technology to China, a step aimed at crippling Beijing’s ability to access critical technologies"

"Washington also imposed several broad international restrictions, called foreign direct product rules, to prohibit companies operating anywhere in the world from selling chips used in artificial intelligence and supercomputing to China"

"Another foreign direct product rule bans a broader range of products made outside the United States with American technology from being sent to 28 Chinese companies"
This is the non paywall link to that NYT article.

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Pkp88

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This is the non paywall link to that NYT article.

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I guess it’s on Chinese STEM to field to put together a 100% commercial non-US IC process (which 6 years into this tech war) hasn’t been achieved. They have EDA, some AMEC/Naura equipment - US is really exploiting its power here, lithography remains a big donut.

Guess we’ll see how the decade plays out.
 

gadgetcool5

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To step back and take an overall philosophical view... In my view the U.S. and its allies lack the absolute capability to prevent China's rise in semiconductors. That does not mean they will not succeed. The ultimate verdict of these controls and export controls in general will depend on the actions of China's government and people. Opening up China to foreign talent, and developing domestic talent, will play one of the most important roles among many factors. The future of China is in its own hands.
 

MortyandRick

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I guess it’s on Chinese STEM to field to put together a 100% commercial non-US IC process (which 6 years into this tech war) hasn’t been achieved. They have EDA, some AMEC/Naura equipment - US is really exploiting its power here, lithography remains a big donut.

Guess we’ll see how the decade plays out.
Hard to do in 6 years what it took others decade to accomplish. They've made good progress. The US can only use this card once.
 

Pkp88

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No one that we know of. Huawei has been moving a lot in the last few years. Fabrication facilities in Shenzhen and in Fujian. I don't think they are getting equipment from the U.S. they are using or local made equipment or a combination of non US equipment with local equipment.
Have to see / at some point has to be publicly commercialized (they have a forced mkt now lol) - can’t keep going on all the skunksworks secrecy (which is understandable given sanctions) otherwise starts to feel like hopium
 

FairAndUnbiased

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I guess it’s on Chinese STEM to field to put together a 100% commercial non-US IC process (which 6 years into this tech war) hasn’t been achieved. They have EDA, some AMEC/Naura equipment - US is really exploiting its power here, lithography remains a big donut.

Guess we’ll see how the decade plays out.
"Some AMEC and Naura equipment" is like saying "some AMAT and LAM" equipment.

AMEC etch equipment is for a major and critical operation. Etch is one of the most important operations.

Naura CVD, PVD, ALD and cleaning equipment is also for major and critical operations.

You also forgot domestic ion implantation, CMP and wet etch tools, as well as CD-SEM, TXRF and XRR metrology tools.

So lithography is the only thing that's missing and even there, there's at least a competitor.
 
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