yes, sorry. m^2 would be pretty large.
@latenlazy pointed to that the drop off in # of wafers from N+1 to N+2 might not as drastic and the sales price increase might be higher. I will just to 400k per year for N+1 and 300k per year for N+2
So, doing another calculation, for desktop chips if Phytium is selling D2000 right now for $70 per chip and SMIC is getting $20 per chip using their 14 nm process, then their yearly revenue would be the following assuming a 80% yield on the process
$20*240*600k=2.88 billion
if they can sell a new N+1 CPU for $120 per chip and SMIC is getting $40 per chip using N+1 process, then the revenue would be following assuming a 70% yield on the process.
$40*210*400k=3.36 billion
And if they can sell S5000 server CPU for $400 per chip and SMIC is getting $120 per chip using N+1 process, then revenue would be the following if we assume like a 60% yield on the process. I'm assuming yield lower on larger chips.
$120*70*400k=3.36 billion
And if Alibaba can sell Yitian-710 for $800 per chip and SMIC is getting $200 per chip using N+2 process, then revenue would be the following if we assume like a 50% yield on the process
$200*60*300k=3.6 billion
For smartphones, let's say if Huawei/HiSilicon sells its N+2 CPU for $120 and SMIC is getting $40 per chip and the yield is 2/3 (given smaller size than desktop chip)
$40*400*300k= 4.8 billion
It would seem to me that smartphones is far and away the most lucrative market if they can achieve high enough yield. 300k*400 -> 120 million a year. Seems like if they can fully ramp up all 3 fabs and they can all do 300k wafers a year on N+2, then they can satisfy the low to medium domestic smartphone market + all the other requirements. Smartphone would require 2 fabs and all the other chips can be produced in the other fab. If I'm SMIC, I would try to get into the smartphone market as soon as I can, because that's where the money is. In fact, I don't know why they would build so many new "28 nm fabs" with high production capacity if they weren't trying to get into the more competitive smartphone market. If I'm SMIC, I would let other chip makers take over the lower end market.