Chinese purchase of Su-35

A.Man

Major
When will they say, China has ordered this?

[video]http://player.youku.com/player.php/sid/XNTcxMDI4MDI0/v.swf[/video]
 

FORBIN

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
Maybe ? i read once yes and once not, in more of course the Russians fear a lot that it is copied, do you remember J-11B and ... :)
 

Air Force Brat

Brigadier
Super Moderator
At that point we'll be getting rumors of China buying the T-50.

Never say never, these rumors obviously stem from China's long history of adopting Russian aircraft, and with the Flanker, et al it makes a great deal of sense, these two nations have a history, and as long as the US is a common denominator, that's never going to go away completely. brat
 

Phead128

Captain
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
Yeah, it's far more likely China will build J-10s to compensate for J-11B production deficiency than to introduce a limited quantity of new heavy flanker variants, because the logistical compatibility and production lines is already there.
 

Engineer

Major
Sigh if we're going to discuss context, I think we should go back to how this entire "weapon suite" debacle started. It went back to sinosoldier where we were comparing Su-35 and J-11B/15/16 and franco saying Su-35 was better than anything in the PLAAF inventory (or something of that sort, I cbb digging up the exact reply).

In the discussion with sinosoldier following, there was very little mention regarding logistics and PLAAF context in relation to Su-35 vs J-11B/15/16 and I interpreted it as a mono on mono style comparison of specs against each other.


I've already conceded J-11B/15/16 makes more sense for the PLAAF's logistics, and their current weapons suites are more compatible/superior for the PLAAF logistics chain to handle.
But if you're still going to ignore the original statement regarding how Su-35 offers/is compatible with a greater number/variety/type of munitions than what J-11B/15/16 are currently known to be compatible with (independent of logistics contexts)... well okay whatever.
I have already stated why the number of types of weapons carried by Su-35 is irrelevant. I have also explained that it will be irrelevant as long as no Chinese munitions can be launched by Su-35. I do not feel the need to repeatedly address the same argument.


That is a dumbing down of my position. I'm pretty sure there's some fancy term for what type of fallacy that is, but it escapes me.

My argument, if you want it phrased in terms of "sacrifices" is that the PLAAF may be willing to sacrifice one factor or factors (for instance, logistics, or using shorter ranged J-10s in place of J-11Bs) but may not be willing to sacrifice a different factor (lacking long range heavy weight air superiority fighters).
Whatever choice they end up making depends on the severity of each sacrifice's relationship to another and how it fits with the PLAAF's requirements over a certain timeline.

One thing is always compromised/sacrificed for another, and that depends on the specs or requirements a party aims for. So my statement is not self contradictory.
You insisted that PLAAF might be willing to sacrifice logistical compatibility for range. By the very same compromise argument you have used, J-10 can also serve as substitutes for J-11B to sacrifice range for compatibility. So yes, your argument is self contradictory.


That is such a blatant generalization, and can be applied to any country or any brand or group. And it does not control for various factors such as the buyer nation/party's specific conditions such as climate, maintenance proficiency etc.
Generalization or not, there have been documented instances where Russian equipments do not meet specs listed in advertisements. They are very real.


My position isn't that it is "necessary" to sacrifice logistics compatibility, but rather it may be one of the factors the PLAAF are willing to sacrifice, in exchange for retaining a necessary number of long range air superiority fighters (which they may not be willing to sacrifice).
Whether they are willing to sacrifice one for another, as I said before, depends on the PLAAF's own requirements and the degree of the sacrifice.

So my argument isn't full of holes, because it's not "oh they're willing to make sacrifices but they're not willing at the same time" its "they may be willing to make sacrifices in these areas but not these areas, because of X, Y and Z requirements". If the PLAAF do an assessment and prioritize logistical consolidation as a greater necessity than maintaining their long range air superiority fighter numbers, then a Su-35 purchase wont' go ahead.
There is no compelling reasons to suggest PLAAF would be willing to take a step back and go with foreign equipments. This is especially so given PLAAF's trend is to rely more and more on domestic components. Range isn't the only variable in PLAAF's assessment as you made it out to be, or PLAAF would have gone with airliners.
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
I have already stated why the number of types of weapons carried by Su-35 is irrelevant. I have also explained that it will be irrelevant as long as no Chinese munitions can be launched by Su-35. I do not feel the need to repeatedly address the same argument.



You insisted that PLAAF might be willing to sacrifice logistical compatibility for range. By the very same compromise argument you have used, J-10 can also serve as substitutes for J-11B to sacrifice range for compatibility. So yes, your argument is self contradictory.



Generalization or not, there have been documented instances where Russian equipments do not meet specs listed in advertisements. They are very real.



There is no compelling reasons to suggest PLAAF would be willing to take a step back and go with foreign equipments. This is especially so given PLAAF's trend is to rely more and more on domestic components. Range isn't the only variable in PLAAF's assessment as you made it out to be, or PLAAF would have gone with airliners.

There has been cases where the Iraqi Army would buy Russian tungsten APFSDS Sabot rounds only to find out later that the core was made of steel instead of the advertised tungsten. Even if their plane provides an overall superior performance, China would be very cautious.
 

Subedei

Banned Idiot
My position isn't that it is "necessary" to sacrifice logistics compatibility, but rather it may be one of the factors the PLAAF are willing to sacrifice, in exchange for retaining a necessary number of long range air superiority fighters (which they may not be willing to sacrifice). Whether they are willing to sacrifice one for another, as I said before, depends on the PLAAF's own requirements and the degree of the sacrifice.

So my argument isn't full of holes, because it's not "oh they're willing to make sacrifices but they're not willing at the same time" its "they may be willing to make sacrifices in these areas but not these areas, because of X, Y and Z requirements". If the PLAAF do an assessment and prioritize logistical consolidation as a greater necessity than maintaining their long range air superiority fighter numbers, then a Su-35 purchase wont' go ahead.

I'm aware that I'm not a party to your and engineer's two way debate. nevertheless, some of your observations are relevant to my analysis. particularly, your above observation raises the question as to whether a chinese participation in the su-35 program would require any logistical sacrifices, by either party, at all.

as i have previously observed, here, shenyang has established its proficiency in constructing and developing the flanker airframe. consequently, we can reasonably expect that there are significant degrees of commonality between sukhoi's and shenyang's processes in this regard. additionally, i believe that the j-11a/b program has established shenyang's capabilities in marrying sukhoi's airframe (and saturn's engines) with chinese avionics, electronics, and weaponry. subsequently, they have further developed these capabilities with the development of the j-15 and j-16.

consequently, as shenyang is already constructing flanker derived airframes (which the su-35 airframe is), outfitting them with chinese avionics and electronics, and equipping them with chinese weapons, i'd argue that, at this point, their logistic chain is ideally situated to accommodate participation in the su-35 program. particularly if that participation comprises cooperation in the airframe construction component of the program. taking this approach would necessitate neither that, either party radically alter their logistical chain, nor that, china increase its dependency upon russia for any technologies. it would, nevertheless, maintain, for the time being, china's dependency upon russia's engine technology. a dependency that, present circumstances inform us, would not constitute a departure from their current logistical practices.

sorry to butt in!
 
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