Chinese purchase of Su-35

kroko

Senior Member
It may well be intentional, as sinosoldier said they are shifting production to J-15 and J-16. But there's a good chance PLAAF miscalculated how many J-11B they'd need. In conjunction wiht PLANAF's demand for J-15, PLAAF's need for J-16, and the need for more J-11B-esque aircraft, they decided to forfeit J-11B production for the other two and procure Su-35s to lessen SAC's load and rebalance their fleet

If they could produce J-11B, J-15 and J-16 all simultaneously and at numbers the PLAAF find satisfactory, then they would and there would be no need for Su-35.

Thats complete speculation. I wont argue against this.


Simply ramping up production probably isn't as easy as you make it sound.
And the chinese aircraft industry is not like the naval industry. the latter is highly capable and may have overcapacity. The former, in producing aircraft and high performance fighters definitely does not have over capacity.

Thats because they dont want to invest that much in there, not because they cant.

If china buys Su-35, thats because they want to get tech, not because they need numbers. 24 planes dont change PLAAF numbers that much.

saw that on phoenix TV's military show, they said china really wants the S-400 because of the increased range and superior radar compared to the S-300's china uses. but Russia is not willing to sell that to china.

Phoenix tv is a private Hong-Kong broadcaster, not owned by the chinese government. How reliable are they regarding PLA secret matters?
 
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vincent

Grumpy Old Man
Staff member
Moderator - World Affairs
saw that on phoenix TV's military show, they said china really wants the S-400 because of the increased range and superior radar compared to the S-300's china uses. but Russia is not willing to sell that to china.

Phoenix TV can't be trusted
 

plawolf

Lieutenant General
saw that on phoenix TV's military show, they said china really wants the S-400 because of the increased range and superior radar compared to the S-300's china uses. but Russia is not willing to sell that to china.

As others have already stated, Phoenix TV is hardly a reliable source, indeed, their only source when it comes to military matters is what they get off the Internet. Think of them as a gossip show and you won't be far off.
 

thunderchief

Senior Member
Scroll page; the paper clearly said that the radar is in service. J-11B is not superior to the F-15SE, however it is capable enough to hold out for a couple of years even against stealthy aircraft; the radar company released specifications for it and the calculations are 450 km detection range for 1 m^2 target, 281 km detection range for 0.4 m^2 target, and 250 km detection range for 0.1 m^2 target, the 450 km range matches rumors of the J-11B radar made years earlier.

My Chinese is a bit of ... non-existent :D but if what you say is true , that would be best fighter radar in the world , surpassing best that either Americans or Russians could offer .
BTW , 450km for 1m^2 target would mean something like 357 km for 0.4 and around 253 km for 0.1m^2 RCS

So far I have not seen any mig-29 or Su-27 flanker series aircraft capable of firing French Mica or AIM-120 BVRAAM. Those avionics you mention install are just jamming device , not radar, datalink which PLAAF demanded. While datalink and radar compatibility with yr desire weapon are critical in solving logistic and doctrine problem.

I don't think anyone asked for integration of said missiles , but Indians successfully integrated their Astra AAM on Su-30 MKI . MKI has open architecture ,and Su-35 is even more advanced in this regard .
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
@Engineer:

I personally think China should invest in the WS-15, no matter how long it will take for it to come into fruition. However, other ppl suggest that the 117S is needed such that the prototype can be flight tested so that J-20 doesn't fall behind schedule with the serial production of peers like PAKFA, FGFA, etc... Does China need to race other countries in putting their 5th generation fighter into serial production? Unless China is preparing for war very soon, an extra 5 years wouldn't hurt if it means more money for indigenous product, would it?

Wouldn't it make more sense to have the first several batches equipped with WS-10 first before switching?
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
saw that on phoenix TV's military show, they said china really wants the S-400 because of the increased range and superior radar compared to the S-300's china uses. but Russia is not willing to sell that to china.

China's HQ-26 and HQ-8 offers 500 km range and 400 km range respectively, dual pulse engine, performance rumored to be similar to that of the SM-3, so why would China want to order those instead?
 

SinoSoldier

Colonel
Agreed. Whether the shortfall in fighters is something the PLAAF is willing to tolerate and work through is up to their discretion.




I thought we were comparing Su-35 versus Chinese flankers based on their own merits (in this case, range of weapons/weapons suite) and not on their compatability with the PLAAF logistics chain. Yes I agree, Su-35 can't use chinese weapons.



Maybe I was vague in my original few posts for which I apologize, but the lack of a heavy weight, long range air superiority aircraft was my point the whole time (sinosoldier mentioned J-7s and J-8s in an earlier reply regarding my use of the general word "fighter" where I realized the word could be easily interpreted as any "fighter" rather than my intended meaning of "flanker" or more specifically, air superiority, heavy weight, long range and persistent fighter. I mean when I mentioend "shortfall of fighters" I'm sure it carried across that I didn't mean a shortfall of J-7s or J-8s or even J-10s.).

And J-11B have in turn recently defeated J-10s in exercises I believe. Weight class isn't moot because range and persistence and the ability to operate from a distance is very much relevant.

If you want to say that I've moved the goal posts, fine. I've moved them.

I suppose now this part of the debate will transition to whether J-10 can be as persistent and long ranged an air superiority fighter as J-11B, and whether their difference is significant enough to warrant purchase of Su-35. I personally do not know, but it is one of the more probable causes for a potential Su-35 purchase.



My overall premise is that the domestic industry cannot produce heavy weight air superiority flanker type fighters fast enough. Sub premises includes the SAC's inability to produce flankers enough, and the sub premise that no other contractor can produce heavy weight air superiority flanker type aircraft, as well as the fact that the time taken to set up or retool another production line to produce flankers will be too late for the PLAAF's projected fleet requirement.

CAC doesn't come into this, unless they can somehow produce an deliver flankers within the PLAAF's requested timeline.



Fair enough, but that's a generalization I'd prefer not to accept so candidly.
Westerners also holistically accuse chinese engines of being unreliable, and we know that's not wholly true, I'd prefer not to dismiss the products of other nations on such a whim.



That's probably the best counter argument to have come out of this entire discussion.

This is becoming very nitty gritty and out of my depth. I'm not sure how important having a desired number of airframes available is, to an air force's mission, and it's far out of my depth to weigh up how combat effective a PLAAF with 24 Su-35s will be compared to a PLAAF without 24 Su-35s, except possibly that the former may be able to conduct more sorties (but then again, the latter may be able to absorb personnel from that regiment of Su-35s and distribute them to other areas of the air force, improving functioning in other areas).

All I will say is that military arms often make a point to sustain a certain quantity of machines of a particular type... and the PLAAF will have to weigh up the costs and benefits of integrating a regiment or however many Su-35.




A potential limitation, but not unresolvable.

Another reason why the Chinese are unlikely to procure the Su-35, even if its published specifications are superior to that of the J-11B, is because of their experience with the original batches of Su-27. The J-11B was developed partly because the original Su-27 deliveries did not satisfy China's criteria. The Air Force was surprised at the unsatisfactory specifications even though the Su-27 was one of the most proliferated planes at the time. The PLAAF might feel the same thing about a similar Su-35 deal especially when no foreign country has purchased it. If the PLAAF was serious about a Su-35 deal they would have observed the usage and service life of the Su-35 before making the choice, but so far no country has inducted it in large numbers. By the time the PLAAF can make a serious and accurate assessment of the Su-35's qualities through observing it in foreign service, its fifth generation jets would have hit the press.
 
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