Chinese Economics Thread

antiterror13

Brigadier
Could you imagine building a bridge and finding it won't meet in the middle, because some accountant said it's close enough. Lol

We accountants have to round up or down or the time to make figures presentable. Imagine I say it'll cost you £1,234,567 or £1,230,000 which would you rather have? In addition, you won't believe the amount if estimate we have to use. Lol

I would fire that "dodgy" accountant ... I'd like to have £1,234,567.76
 

localizer

Colonel
Registered Member
Haha saw this over at reddit:
1605073478273.png


I wonder if all the recent rushes to IPO were shareholders bailing out of Chinese mega caps due to these upcoming rules n regulations?
 

Nobonita Barua

Senior Member
Registered Member
Sounds like Single's Day is breaking records again but the US media is more reporting how Alibaba's stock went down. What happened to claiming consumer spending is down in China so they can question if China's recovery is real or not?
CNN report Nov 11,2020 : The single day just broke record. But we have to be careful if it is just one off event.
CNN report Dec 11,2020 : China just reported record rebound. But we have to be careful if it is just one off quarter.

CNN report Dec 11,2021: China just reported record GDP. But we have to be careful if it is just one off year(!!).

Celina Wang, reporting live from Tokyo.

Meanwhile in CNN HQ, Atlanta:

crying.jpeg
 

Kaeshmiri

Junior Member
Registered Member
Sounds like Single's Day is breaking records again but the US media is more reporting how Alibaba's stock went down. What happened to claiming consumer spending is down in China so they can question if China's recovery is real or not?

Oh don't worry, Western outlets will have some other random indicator ready to show that Chinese economy is crashing and then have Gordon Chang to claim that CCP is about to collapse.
 

WTAN

Junior Member
Registered Member
This Article says that the US Total GDP is overstated by 15%. US GDP is actually on USD$17 Trillion compared to China's GDP at USD$15 Trillion.

Projects that China's economy will be larger than the US in Nominal GDP Terms by 2023.

Looks like the US Economy will very soon be overshadowed by China's Economy.

No wonder Trump and his Gang is using all the dirty tricks to slow China down.

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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
This Article says that the US Total GDP is overstated by 15%. US GDP is actually on USD$17 Trillion compared to China's GDP at USD$15 Trillion.

Projects that China's economy will be larger than the US in Nominal GDP Terms by 2023.

Looks like the US Economy will very soon be overshadowed by China's Economy.

No wonder Trump and his Gang is using all the dirty tricks to slow China down.

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Normally, when I see an article claiming a country has faked its GDP, I wouldn't take it seriously but in this case, the reasoning is quite good in my opinion:

"Moreover, did you know that 15% of U.S. GDP number is fake and is based on “imputations” or what-if scenarios? For example, when a person buys a home, the U.S. government adds “imputed rent” to the GDP, which is based on the faulty logic of, “If the person had not bought a house, he would have spent this much on rent.” It’s actually
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in the U.S. government’s website. If you subtract this fictitious, non-existent spending from the official numbers, the U.S. GDP this year will be only $17 trillion, which is practically the same as China’s expected GDP of $15.5 trillion."

Furthermore, America's GDP is heavily inflated by exorbitant healthcare and education costs. I remember that one year under Obama, they raised the GDP by increasing hospital fees, which basically means that at the expense of the common people, US GDP "grew" without doing anything to add to it. Chinese education is very very cheap (unless you join the rat race of bribing every one of your kid's teachers from elementary school up) and healthcare is certainly more affordable (very cheap for small problems, expensive for large operations, but in the US, even small problems can somehow run into the thousands and be completely unaffordable for the average American without insurance).

Chinese GDP, however, has an underestimation problem. By some estimates, most retail sales including restaurant bills are unrecorded! People in China don't like receipts and whenever there isn't a receipt, the sale is not taxed or reported. This happens sometimes even in well-to-do establishments. The CCP didn't like that very much since it drained their tax revenue so a couple of years back, they came up with a system where every receipt served as a small lottery ticket, but it wasn't very successful likely because the minute chance of winning something wasn't a big incentive to people. Additionally, businesses countered it by offering a small discount to those who asked for a receipt to dissuade them from it. Sales taxes in China are paid by the business rather than the consumer so if a restaurant would pay 130 yuan in tax on a 1,000 yuan bill, they could offer 50 yuan off to those who would relinquish the receipt and really only those who needed the receipt for reimbursement purposes would still insist.

It is quite possible, that China's real nominal GDP is already greater than America's.
 

supercat

Colonel
RCEP is an extremely important trade treaty for China, considering that Biden might revive TPP:
RCEP nations to sign Asian trade megadeal Sunday, with clause for India
15 countries reach long-sought pact after 'blood, sweat and tears'

TOKYO -- Ministers from 15 countries in the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership agreed Wednesday to sign the long-awaited trade deal at a summit Sunday, leaving the door open for reluctant India to return later.

The 15 nations "have concluded negotiations and will sign the RCEP Agreement this Sunday" at the summit, Mohamed Azmin Ali, Malaysia's international trade and industry minister, said in a statement.

The deal -- which encompasses Japan, China, South Korea, the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Australia and New Zealand -- will create Asia's largest free trade zone, covering 30% of global gross domestic product and trade. It will be Japan's first free trade framework with China and South Korea, two vital trading partners.
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horse

Colonel
Registered Member
RCEP is an extremely important trade treaty for China, considering that Biden might revive TPP:
Reviving the TPP with America joining it, that is impossible at the moment.

What they would have to do is reverse all of Trump's tariffs. Once those tariffs are in place and people get use to them, like new jobs, those new jobs won't be bargained away again by any US politician.

TPP is done.
 
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