Chinese Economics Thread

  1. Private industry and increase competition is the key for advancing Industry and commerce in China boost employment and increase export Kudo for the Chinese government for having the gut and foresight to lower tariff and prod domestic industry to be more competitive. Nothing good will come from coddling lazy and complacent industry . Unlike in the past it is about time China wean off the support and crutches. Though subsidy should remain for critical industry like semiconductor and defense related industry since no private industry has the capital and skill to do the job
hey Hendrik... I'm guessing you'll like this press-release:
China's market regulator to secure fair competition between public and private firms
Xinhua| 2018-11-06 00:06:49
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China's market regulator on Monday said it would secure a fair competition between public and private companies.

The State Administration for Market Regulation (SAMR) promised to revamp the policy system for competition and stick to the principle of competitive neutrality for state-owned and private enterprises, that is to be neutral in regulation, tax and debt and to treat all market entities fairly and equally.

"We will strengthen law enforcement to regulate the market and enhance market fairness." Said Zhang Mao, minister of the SAMR.

The SAMR will inspect fair competition in an all-around manner and adopt a new regulation mechanism to concretely reduce the burden of the companies.

By the end of this year, it will carry out self-checks on annulling documents that would impede the establishment of a uniform market and fair competition.

The administration will also launch special actions to crack down on practices constraining market competition and conduct leading to monopoly, including behaviors of excessive charges, forced transactions and unreasonable trading requirements.

"By the end of 2018, policies favoring regional protectionism and market barriers will be abolished," Zhang pledged. "We will unswervingly correct behaviors excluding or restricting competition through administrative power abuse."

The SAMR also decided to establish and improve the mechanism to protect the companies' intellectual property rights overseas.

"We will cut red tape to create an open and transparent environment for market access and provide more efficient service for private enterprises," Zhang said.

Data showed there were 106 million market entities in China at the end of September 2018, 95 percent of which are individual and private businesses. Private enterprises contributed to more 80 percent of China's urban employment and 90 percent of its new jobs.
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
So long Silicon Valley and hello Shenzhen, China!

New Economy Forum
China's Tech Boom Fueling `Reverse Brain Drain,' Hillhouse Says

800x-1.jpg

Zhang Lei Photographer: Justin Chin/Bloomberg

The technology-led transformation sweeping through China has inspired its scientists to come back in droves, Hillhouse Capital Management Ltd. Chairman Zhang Lei said at the New Economy Forum sponsored by Bloomberg.



“Look at how many scientists are coming back to China,” said Zhang, who founded Hillhouse with money from a Yale University endowment. The fund, which backed Chinese e-commerce giants Tencent Holdings Ltd. and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., raised more than
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for its third and largest buyout fund in September.




Zhang has been on the prowl for opportunities in health care, consumer, technology and services industries. The firm is also said to be seeking to raise
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to invest in beaten-down Chinese stocks after this year’s market rout. He said that in China and Asia, innovation isn’t beholden to traditional ways of doing business and building products. On the same panel, Grab co-founder and Chief Executive Officer Anthony Tan cited the rise of “super apps” in China and Southeast Asia that can handle payments, deliveries and ride-hailing within a single smartphone application.



“Innovation is also going beyond the digital revolution,” Zhang said. “You can walk away without your wallet and I think that actually inspires a completely different set of companies born in that digital, savvy and mobile-native environment.”



The New Economy Forum is being organized by Bloomberg Media Group, a division of Bloomberg LP, the parent company of Bloomberg News.

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AssassinsMace

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Yes Scooter Braun meet reality. Interesting... what will Ariana Grande do? This is not her first offense. I once saw a clip of what looked like a racist image in one of her music videos. It was one of the early stereotypes of Hollywood had of how non-white men lust after white women. It's the image of a stereotypical Fu Manchu Chinese man with the devil mustache and beard capturing a white woman and holding her hostage but in her video Ariana Grande is in place of the white woman. She's chained cowering at the feet of a diabolical Chinese man.

I've seen this before on Mexican television where they take the place of white women in racist stereotyping. When I was a kid I remember a skit where Japanese ninjas were chasing after a Mexican woman on a beach. This was when the Japanese were the big threat to the US. Then after almost twenty years I'm channel surfing and I see the exact same skit redone but this time it was a bunch Chinese kung fu guys chasing after a Mexican woman on a beach.

Scooter and Ariana might've just pulled a United Airlines. Certainly Scooter Braun is thinking of the possible crap storm and backlash he might be facing. Let's not forget Apple's possible role since they did exactly everything Scooter Braun said at first what was going to happen..
 
now I read
Economic Watch: Stronger-than-expected trade growth underlines China's economic resilience
Xinhua| 2018-11-08 19:23:06
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China's exports and imports both recorded unexpectedly strong growth in October, a sign that the economy remained resilient despite growing external uncertainties.

Exports in yuan-denominated terms rose 20.1 percent year on year in October, sharply up from the 17-percent growth seen in September, according to data released by the General Administration of Customs.

The data showed imports surged 26.3 percent last month, also quickening from a rise of 17.4 percent registered in September.

As a result, trade surplus stood at 233.63 billion yuan (about 33.76 billion U.S. dollars) last month, widening from 213.23 billion yuan in September.

For the first 10 months of the year, China's foreign trade totaled 25.05 trillion yuan, up 11.3 percent from the same period last year.

The trade surplus for the first 10 months narrowed 26.1 percent year on year to 1.65 trillion yuan.

Analysts said the stronger-than-expected trade growth is partly caused by "front-loading activity" as exporters ramp up shipments amid trade uncertainties.

Huatai Securities analysts noted a lower comparative base from last year and a weaker yuan, as well as that China's closer economic and trade ties with countries in the Asia-Pacific region and along the Belt and Road also led to the strong growth.

October marked the first full month after the latest U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods came into effect.

For the first 10 months, China's foreign trade with the United States, its second-biggest trade partner, rose 7.4 percent. Its surplus with the United States widened 11.5 percent from one year earlier to 1.69 trillion yuan.

Trade with the European Union (EU), China's biggest trade partner, climbed 8.4 percent year on year for January-October, and that with the ASEAN, its third-largest trade partner, expanded 13.7 percent.

Combined trade with countries along the Belt and Road amounted to 6.84 trillion yuan, up 14.8 percent from one year earlier.

Yingda Securities chief economist Li Daxiao said a string of favorable policies, including lower import tariffs and higher export tax rebates, also helped boost trade growth and stabilize the economic growth.

The country's economy expanded 6.5 percent in the third quarter, down from 6.7 percent in the second quarter but in line with the government's annual target.

Its imports of crude oil climbed 8.1 percent year on year to 377 million tonnes in the first 10 months. Coal imports increased 11.5 percent while those of copper surged 17.2 percent. However, auto imports dropped 5.3 percent compared with one year earlier.

At the ongoing first China International Import Expo, China vowed to import 40 trillion U.S. dollars worth of products and services in the next 15 years.
 
now I read
Economic Watch: China's consumer inflation holds steady, factory prices further soften
Xinhua| 2018-11-09 16:48:41
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China's consumer inflation held steady in October, data showed Friday, but factory-gate inflation continued to cool, which analysts said created room for policymakers to maneuver.

The consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose 2.5 percent year on year in October, unchanged from that in September and ending a rising streak for four consecutive months, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The reading was the second highest level in the year, buoyed by a pick-up in non-food prices, the growth of which accelerated to 2.4 percent in October from 2.2 percent in September.

That led to a CPI rise of 2.1 percent for the first 10 months of the year, well below the government's target ceiling of 3 percent for 2018.

NBS official Sheng Guoqing attributed the stable CPI increase to softening food prices, which dipped 0.3 percent month on month in October.

On a monthly basis, prices of fresh vegetables and eggs fell 3.5 percent and 4 percent respectively due to increasing supplies. Prices of pork and fresh fruits, however, picked up notably by 1 percent and 1.9 percent, respectively.

The moderation of food prices, driven by falling vegetable prices, fully offset the rise in non-food prices, said Lu Ting, an economist with Nomura.

The NBS data showed the CPI edged up 0.2 percent month on month last month.

Lu expected a mild rise in China's annual CPI to 2.1 percent in 2018, up from 1.6 percent in 2017, saying contained inflation will not affect the government's policy easing agenda.

The growth of producer price index (PPI), which measures costs for goods at the factory gate, trended down again in October to 3.3 percent from 3.6 percent in September. The growth rate has dropped for four consecutive months.

The PPI rose 3.9 percent year on year in the first 10 months. On a month-on-month basis, it was up 0.4 percent in October.

Sheng Guoqing said the carryover effect contributed 1.2 percentage points to the PPI growth, while new factors contributed 2.1 percentage points.

Continued fall of the PPI growth was due to a high base last year and continued weakness in domestic demand, Lu Ting said, expecting the downward trend of PPI growth to continue but in a milder manner through winter.

The inflation data came after a slew of indicators showed expansion of manufacturing activity slowed in October, but imports and exports posted stronger-than-expected growth.

Premier Li Keqiang Thursday warned new downward pressure on the economy amid complicated domestic and foreign circumstances and called for more efforts to maintain stable performance and healthy development of the economy.

The economy expanded 6.5 percent in the third quarter, down from 6.7 percent in the second quarter but in line with the government's annual target.

To boost domestic demand, the country has unveiled a host of measures, including a one-percentage-point cut in reserves that commercial banks must set aside at the central bank, increased fiscal spending and stepped up financial support for private businesses and small and medium-sized enterprises.

The country will continue to implement proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy, according to a meeting of the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee last month.

In a research report issued Friday, Goldman Sachs expected the country's monetary policy to remain supportive for growth.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Good news keep rolling steady as she goes. I guess it will disappoint China basher that drive noisy propaganda that Sky is falling in China
China’s economy holds up in October: UBS
Data shows economic activity steady after dropping in September
By ASIA TIMES STAFF NOVEMBER 10, 2018 5:21 AM (UTC+8)
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New economic data from UBS suggests that China’s economy is steady as she goes, with growth holding up in October following a dip in September.

“Our analysis of UBS Evidence Lab data indicates October economic activities have held up well after a collapse in September. We expect industrial production to bounce back with improving imports and exports growth, retail sales (ex-autos) growth to improve from last month, manufacturers’ automotive sales growth remains soft,” a report released on Friday said.

“Property sales growth have flattened, and property investment growth continues upwards,” the report noted.

Industrial-Production.png


The measures from UBS provide a snapshot ahead of official releases using third-party data sources and are most accurate in predicting momentum in economic activity with regard to industrial production and auto sales, according to economists at the bank.

The indication that China’s economy may be holding steady come amid public concern from policymakers in Beijing regarding the economic slowdown.

The People’s Bank of China said Friday in a monetary policy implantation report that the country’s economy was facing downward pressure, the latest in a series of public comments from government officials signaling need for supportive policies.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Well here is the alternative read fake Chinese economy vs real Chinese economy

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Fact-Checking Trump’s Claims About the Chinese Economy

At a news conference, the president answered a question about healing national divides by saying, falsely, that he had forced China to back down from a plan to strengthen its manufacturing industry

By Raymond Zhong
Nov. 9, 2018

What Trump said

If you know, China has come down tremendously. Tremendously. China would have superseded us in two years as an economic power; now, they’re not even close.

This is exaggerated.

It’s true that China’s growth is slowing. The economy expanded 6.5 percent in the three months that ended in September, the slowest pace in almost a decade. (Those are the official numbers, at least. Many economists believe Beijing’s statistics are implausibly smooth and do not square with outside estimates.)

But even if China’s growth rate hadn’t slowed, the country was hardly about to eclipse the United States in two years. Last year, Chinese economic output totaled $12.2 trillion, according to the World Bank. The American economy’s output totaled $19.4 trillion. Assuming the two economies kept growing at last year’s rates, it would still take around a decade for China to surpass the United States.

What Trump said

China got rid of their “China ’25” because I found it very insulting. I said that to them. I said, “China ’25” is very insulting, because “China ’25” means, in 2025, they’re going to take over, economically, the world. I said, “That’s not happening.”

False.
President Trump is presumably referring to Made in China 2025, a 2015 government plan for modernizing Chinese manufacturers through state support and intervention. The Trump administration has repeatedly held up the plan as evidence that China unfairly privileges its own companies over foreign competitors in the Chinese market. The administration says its tariffs against China are intended in part to compel Beijing to change these practices.

Perhaps in response to all the attention the plan has received, Chinese officials have lately stopped mentioning Made in China 2025 by name. News outlets have been ordered to keep it out of their stories.

But there is no indication that Chinese companies have halted or reversed their plans to upgrade their capabilities, or that officials are any less interested in catching up in areas like microchips.

“Chinese companies are trying to reach the technological frontier, and they’re continuing to pursue these plans even if the government has stopped being vocal about Made in China 2025,” said Dan Wang, a tech analyst for the research firm Gavekal Dragonomics. “Firms and the government have already invested billions into plants producing semiconductors, robotics, aviation equipment and other high-technology goods.”

Also, even if the plan’s goals are eventually met, it is debatable whether that would mean China will have taken over, economically, the world. The plan includes semiofficial targets for how much Chinese manufacturers sell by 2025 … in China.

What Trump said

But I have to say this: Billions of dollars will soon be pouring into our Treasury from taxes that China is paying for us.

False.
When the United States places tariffs on Chinese imports, China doesn’t pay them. American importers do. And they might pass along the extra costs to American consumers. (Tariffs can still hurt Chinese companies, of course, if the higher cost means Americans stop buying their products.)

Mr. Trump may be correct that Washington will soon be raking in more money thanks to the tariffs. China’s exports to the United States have risen recently despite the new levies. But that may just be because American buyers and Chinese sellers want to move as much product as they can before the spiraling trade war leads to even higher tariffs.
 

KlRc80

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Alibaba just eclipsed Amazon’s estimated Prime Day sales in less than 10 minutes
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    had already generated more sales on
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    2018 – just 10 minutes into the 24-hour shopping event – than
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    is estimated to have reached in its record-setting 2018
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    .
  • Singles’ Day has topped $6.5 billion in sales already, 20 minutes into its 11/11 event, which kicked off at midnight on Sunday in Shanghai.
  • For comparison, Amazon’s sales were estimated to reach roughly $4.2 billion over the company’s 36-hour Prime Day in July.
SHANGHAI, China – Alibaba’s Singles’ Day surpassed Amazon’s biggest shopping day of the year in less than 10 minutes.

Less than 10 minutes in, Alibaba’s massive 24-hour online shopping extravaganza had generated more than $4.68 billion in sales. Twenty minutes in, sales had surpassed $6.5 billion.

In 2017, Alibaba’s Singles’ Day sales exceeded $25 billion.

While not an exact comparison, Amazon’s total sales are estimated to have topped $4.2 billion over the company’s 36-hour Prime Day in July 2018,
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Amazon does not release Prime Day sales figures, but the company said it was “the biggest shopping event in Amazon history,” exceeding sales from Cyber Monday, Black Friday, and the previous Prime Day.

Total online sales on Black Friday reached $5 billion in 2017, according to Adobe Analytics data. Cyber Monday sales were roughly $6.6 billion.

Over the last decade, Alibaba has almost single-handedly turned Singles Day – November 11, or 11/11 – into a cultural phenomenon and by far the biggest day of the year for online shopping.

The explosive start to Singles’ Day comes as little surprise, despite some recent shakiness in the Chinese economy. Gross merchandise value encompasses value generated globally across Alibaba’s swiftly expanding ecosystem, which includes Taobao.com, Tmall, and concepts that blend online and offline sales, like the supermarket chain Hema.

A decade of skyrocketing 11/11 sales brings an added pressure to post ever-higher figures, according to Dr. Daniel Zipser, a McKinsey & Company senior partner who leads its consumer and retail practice in Greater China.

“The whole world is looking,” when it comes to GMV figures, Zipser told Business Insider on Saturday.
 

KlRc80

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My comments:
All the more news of such developments are being accelerated by the US sanctioning others, trade war, pushing allies away, disengagement from international institutions & preference for bilateral engagements instead will present more opportunities for Chinese influence & cooperation around the globe precisely at a time when both Chinese economic heft and confidence is being more and more obvious.
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Pakistan, China Ditch US Dollar for Yuan in Bilateral Trade

The world's second-largest economy, China has been largely dominating in its economic relations with Islamabad, with Chinese exports making up 87 percent of the trade.

Pakistan and China have agreed to walk away from the US dollar in bilateral relations and do trade in yuan, Islamabad announced on Tuesday.

"China and Pakistan agreed to start trading in the yuan instead of the dollar," Information Minister Fawad Chaudry told the media in Islamabad, as quoted by the
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.

According to Chaudry, the agreement will help Islamabad save up its US-dollar-denominated assets, given the massive 87-percent trade deficit with China (
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estimates it to be $12.66 billion).

READ MORE:
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Ditching the American currency would also mean Islamabad and China using yuan in transactions within the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor, a $60 billion-worth infrastructure project funded by China that aims to boost the region's integrity by connecting the Pakistani port city of Gwadar and the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region via a network of transportation routes.

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© AFP 2018 / FRED DUFOUR
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The greenback has long dominated the global financial system, but it has received a series of blows here and there in recent times, with China probably making the strongest case. Earlier this year, the world's biggest oil buyer
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.

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for paying for Russia's energy and defense equipment in rupee, while
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to inject over 2 billion worth of dollars in euros or yuan into its economy in response to Washington's sanctions against Maduro's policies.
 
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