Chinese Economics Thread

Michael90

Senior Member
Registered Member
10 tons
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
To be honest, with such huge price difference , it’s normal there will be smugglers trying to make money off this. It’s just basic economics. People will always find a way to make money profits especially when it’s easy money and huge profits as such. Why do you think Iran has been able to keep smuggling oil abroad and to neighboring countries despite the severe sanctions for decades now. So can’t blame those people who are involved, it’s a natural way things like this will always play out. Especially when government have enforced such bans, people will always look for loopholes (look at rare earths ban Chinas government was struggling to crack down on smugglers who are siphoning off rare earth for sale as prices increased for profits ). So don’t blame the players , blame the game . :). The government should rather lot the ban and just determine how much gets sold and what price .
 

Randomuser

Major
Registered Member
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

Moody's flags resilience in China economy, moves outlook to 'stable'​


April 27 (Reuters) - Credit ratings agency Moody's on Monday revised China's outlook to "stable" from "negative", citing ‌resilient economic and fiscal strength despite ongoing domestic pressures and challenges in trade and geopolitics.

The ratings agency said export growth is likely to moderate, but China's competitiveness should ⁠cushion the slowdown, allowing GDP growth to ease only gradually.

China's finance ministry said on Monday that it appreciated the agency's decision to maintain China's sovereign credit rating and upgrade its outlook, and vowed to further transform economic structure and enhance fiscal sustainability, according to a statement.

China's ‌industrial ⁠profits grew at their
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
pace in half a year last month, highlighting an uneven recovery with strong manufacturing but weak consumption, slowing exports and rising ⁠risks from higher costs and Middle East tensions.

Moody's added that policies focused on high-productivity sectors and a ⁠controlled approach to resolving regional and local government debt would help improve capital efficiency, even ⁠as overall government debt rises.
 

Wrought

Captain
Registered Member
Breakdown of the recent Indian loosening on investment restrictions, and the justification thereof.

The irony here is certainly not lost: India
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
itself as a “China plus one” alternative, a destination for companies seeking to diversify away from China. If Chinese capital and components are embedded throughout the Indian industrial base, the value proposition of “China plus one” begins to look uncomfortably flimsy.

The more honest framing is that this is a pragmatic concession to reality. China is inextricable from global manufacturing; restrictions were not working as intended, and the diplomatic space to adjust was open. But this pragmatic concession is seemingly being couched as strategic intent. The gap between “unlocking greater FDI inflows” and actually achieving technology absorption is vast, and India’s institutional capacity to monitor, condition, and enforce meaningful commitments from incoming Chinese investors, where it will have to scrutinize the convoluted nature of such investment structures as well, remains untested.

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

Wrought

Captain
Registered Member
what do they mean? with:

Referring to the difficulty of figuring out who actually owns what, as referenced earlier in the piece.

The phenomenon of “
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
,” whereby Chinese capital is routed through Singaporean entities to obscure its origin, adds a further layer of complexity. The amended Press Note 3 relies on identifying beneficial ownership at the 10 percent threshold. But in the layered fund structures that often characterize venture capital, tracing ultimate beneficial ownership is a challenging exercise in forensic accounting. If the relaxation enables a flow of capital whose Chinese origins are obscured by intermediary jurisdictions, the consequences for India’s positioning in trusted supply chain frameworks could be significant.
 
Top