Chinese Economics Thread

GulfLander

Colonel
Registered Member
Border crossings between Poland and Belarus will be reopened on midnight from Wednesday to Thursday, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Tuesday.
"The conclusion of these exercises reduces - although I can't say eliminates - various threats, and taking into account the economic interests of Polish carriers and railways, we concluded that this measure has served its purpose," Tusk told the government.
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
 

siegecrossbow

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

In the midst of Trump instituting the $100k fee for new H1B applicant, it is funny to watch the India media suddenly getting interested in China's K Visa.

I think it's generally a good idea. You want to make it easy for young talent from surrounding countries to come. It never hurts to have more smart people. Will take affect in October 1st.

Jobs are super competitive within China. I don’t think they can absorb anywhere close to the amount of foreigners as the U.S.
 
maybe don't start off with comments like this that clearly sound racist.
Its not about race. The H1B fee as it stands is only 100k/6yr. If no US company is even willing to pay 100k/6yr to sponsor a particular applicant- what do you think that implies about the talent/potential of the applicant? Considering the STEM shortage in the US, 100k/6yr is an insignificant fraction of STEM salary (150k-1,000k).
 

tphuang

General
Staff member
Super Moderator
VIP Professional
Registered Member
I suspect China will get almost no Indian immigrants. Reasons:

1. Very low English usage/skills in daily life situations. Even in non-Anglo European countries like Sweden or the Netherlands, you can get by using English in a surprisingly large amount of cases. Can most shopkeepers keep a decent English conversation in China? Which is definitely true in the wealthier Northern European countries. Southern Europe is a different story but the Indian diaspora is more modest there. For non-US Anglo countries, it's even more of a slam dunk, but they have been tightening the screws lately as well.

2. Non-existent Indian diaspora. Self-explanatory why this is a negative.

3. Wages. Outside a few niche companies like ByteDance and a few others, wages are simply much lower in nominal terms (important for remittances). Most Indian immigrants are regular middle-class people, not elite talent. So their wages will conform more closely to the national average or slightly above it. The K-visa is pretty lenient in its requirements, so it's more akin to H1B rather than the O-1 visa which is for truly exceptional people.

4. I suspect most Chinese people would not like to see significant non-East Asian immigration to China. How many immigrants are counted as "significant"? Perhaps even just tens of thousands concentrated in a few cities could be enough for locals to react, certainly to notice. I could be wrong about this, but I see no evidence that there is broad acceptance for more liberal immigration policies to China outside of closely related countries (e.g. ASEAN).

5. Let's remember that H1B visa holders also get dependents to join them. IIRC, there are more dependents to H1B visa holders than there are visa holders themselves. Would China be prepared to accede to that demand? Bringing in relatives is a big factor for these immigrants. Because many are looking to settle for good. China's path to citizenship is also quite hard, which would be another reason why many may not choose it. If these potential immigrants told the Chinese authorities they needed to liberalise path to citizenship, would that find purchase among the Chinese population? I have my doubts.


-----

I could be wrong about all of this and perhaps there is great openness to a H1B-style visa program in China, irrespective of national and cultural background. I am not Chinese and I don't live in China. But these are my impressions as an outsider.
How many Indians or other national come to China is not that important. The market will determine that. But quality of life is really high in China. So the idea that people from outside of China would not find China appealing, I don't accept that.

In fact, I'm talking to people right now who are making this transition.

As for Chinese being racist and not able to accept non-East Asians, I think you are under-estimating Chinese people. I saw many non-East Asians (not necessarily westerners) when I was in China recently.

perfectly summarize. this applicable on all countries.

i have to add one more point, Chinese K-Visa is totally different from US H-1B visa. the reason behind this is, we don't need regular STEM graduates just like US. basically Chinese society itself has overflow of talent/engineers. only exceptional talent would pass the test/requirement.. so now you can guess itself, how many of these people can come to China coz of strict requirement in High tech fields.. talking about all foreign nationals.

Well, that's the thing. Nobody knows. It makes sense for China to do this now, because it has been attracting foreign talent already. As seen on this thread, it's not just Han people coming back to China. With America pulling research funding, Tsinghua for example has gotten very attractive.

It's kind of amazing for me to get this kind of response on this forum, because I'm talking to people right now involved in these programs.

Jobs are super competitive within China. I don’t think they can absorb anywhere close to the amount of foreigners as the U.S.
Depends on how many companies they create

Its not about race. The H1B fee as it stands is only 100k/6yr. If no US company is even willing to pay 100k/6yr to sponsor a particular applicant- what do you think that implies about the talent/potential of the applicant? Considering the STEM shortage in the US, 100k/6yr is an insignificant fraction of STEM salary (150k-1,000k).
well that original comment was responding to an explicitly insulting comment to Indians.

Keep in mind that H1B program is open to more than just computer industry. Not everyone is able to pay 100k for H!B applicants.

It's important for China to establish this type of program now because China does have a TFR issue that will manifest. It's better to have a program for immigration ready before the crisis emerge rather than creating one after you realize you have a problem.

Chinese govt is run by some very competent people that plans years ahead.
 

Nevermore

Junior Member
Registered Member
How many Indians or other national come to China is not that important. The market will determine that. But quality of life is really high in China. So the idea that people from outside of China would not find China appealing, I don't accept that.

In fact, I'm talking to people right now who are making this transition.

As for Chinese being racist and not able to accept non-East Asians, I think you are under-estimating Chinese people. I saw many non-East Asians (not necessarily westerners) when I was in China recently.



Well, that's the thing. Nobody knows. It makes sense for China to do this now, because it has been attracting foreign talent already. As seen on this thread, it's not just Han people coming back to China. With America pulling research funding, Tsinghua for example has gotten very attractive.

It's kind of amazing for me to get this kind of response on this forum, because I'm talking to people right now involved in these programs.


Depends on how many companies they create


well that original comment was responding to an explicitly insulting comment to Indians.

Keep in mind that H1B program is open to more than just computer industry. Not everyone is able to pay 100k for H!B applicants.

It's important for China to establish this type of program now because China does have a TFR issue that will manifest. It's better to have a program for immigration ready before the crisis emerge rather than creating one after you realize you have a problem.

Chinese govt is run by some very competent people that plans years ahead.
I strongly disagree with the notion that China needs to address its future labor shortage by importing low-to-mid-level workers. Given China's enormous population base, it would require immigration equivalent to the total population of a medium-sized country to fill the gap—a scenario that is entirely unfeasible and would provoke severe social conflicts. For a nation deeply rooted in its indigenous culture and society, China can only address its labor challenges through technological advancement and boosting its domestic birth rate. In the foreseeable future, China will only open limited immigration channels for top-tier talent in select industries.
 

Wrought

Senior Member
Registered Member
Is this the deflation I hear so much about?


(It's a joke, there's a discount applied)

As for Chinese being racist and not able to accept non-East Asians, I think you are under-estimating Chinese people. I saw many non-East Asians (not necessarily westerners) when I was in China recently.

Loads of Arabs/Africans in Yiwu. In the tens of thousands. It's a well-known international market city though.
 
Last edited:

Michael90

Junior Member
Registered Member
perfectly summarize. this applicable on all countries.

i have to add one more point, Chinese K-Visa is totally different from US H-1B visa. the reason behind this is, we don't need regular STEM graduates just like US. basically Chinese society itself has overflow of talent/engineers. only exceptional talent would pass the test/requirement.. so now you can guess itself, how many of these people can come to China coz of strict requirement in High tech fields.. talking about all foreign nationals.
True. But even so im not sure if chinese people will be happy to see non east asians taking good or high roles in chinese tech companies over chinese people. Even when/if those non east Asians are highly qualified. Common people who have such mentality of raciality usually dont really care about high qualifications or not. Lol
So CCP should be careful with this skilled visa stuff. I think they should have been more realistic and limit it to East asian or South east Asia at most. That way it will be less chance to be controversial among chinese people.
 
Keep in mind that H1B program is open to more than just computer industry. Not everyone is able to pay 100k for H!B applicants.
Which STEM fields in which the US is competetive in would 100k/6yrs be too much to retain proven highly qualified top talent? Also keep in mind the high paying fields draw a substantially larger number of H1bs, and that lower paying fields suffer from having both a smaller pull for talent and are less likely to be competetive globally.

True. But even so im not sure if chinese people will be happy to see non east asians taking good or high roles in chinese tech companies over chinese people. Even when/if those non east Asians are highly qualified. Common people who have such mentality of raciality usually dont really care about high qualifications or not. Lol
If an Indian engineer can objectively do a better job, he should absolutely get the job. I've met quite a few good Indian engineers at US tech companies. Problem is when subpar (ratio of good to poor is between 1:10 and 1:20) Indian workers crowd out other more competent candidates for jobs, and is exacerbated when the subpar engineers overrun the ranks of middle management. H1b engineers originating from India has destroyed the competitiveness and culture of many big US tech companies.
 

Michael90

Junior Member
Registered Member
China can only address its labor challenges through technological advancement and boosting its domestic birth rate
Agree. But you think other east asian countries like south Korea, japan, taiwan etc etc and even other developed countries globally havent tried that? Thats an ideal situation obviously, which of these countries doesnt want to increase their birth rates,? Lol but as China is already finding out, you cant force emancipated educated and working class free women to get married and give birth by force , in fact not even men, many dont even want to have children due to several reasons with job and society pressure, cost of living, burden of raising children etc etc. I'm sorry i'm not optimistic the situation will change in China as the country keeps developing and urbanising even more, its a natural progression, only Israel has defied the odds so far as a developed country with high/
above replacement rate birth rate.
So there will come a time where there's no choice than to be abit more open on immigration.
Even Japan who is historically an even more stricter/closed/conservative country than China already came to terms with this and had to reluctantly start making working and settling visa schemes for foriegners/immigrants. South Korea has followed suite. They will only open it even more with time as their population keeps declining. Else they will end up with severe labour and skill shortages which something they dont want.
So is life, we cant always get everything we want in life. Have to sometimes make hard decisions . So i think CCP made a right decision, better to start now than later.
 

Michael90

Junior Member
Registered Member
If an Indian engineer can objectively do a better job, he should absolutely get the job. I've met quite a few good Indian engineers at US tech companies. Problem is when subpar (ratio of good to poor is between 1:10 and 1:20) Indian workers crowd out other more competent candidates for jobs, and is exacerbated when the subpar engineers overrun the ranks of middle management. H1b engineers originating from India has destroyed the competitiveness and culture of many big US tech
Of course we agree on that. However, im talking about when it comes to the common man, and those who hold raciality to heart. These people dont care about skills or qualifications dude. Its more about race first and foremost for them, so Skills and qualification comes second in this case. This is the ones im talking about, and you find them in every country on earth, some might ecen be on this forum as well. Lol So a leader should also consider all these factors when making decisions, not just looking at the bright sensible side of things but alao taking into consideration the less ratuonal sides of their citizens/people. Just something i think is worth taking into consideration.. The scheme itself is a good scheme for the country.
 
Top