I suspect China will get almost no Indian immigrants. Reasons:
1. Very low English usage/skills in daily life situations. Even in non-Anglo European countries like Sweden or the Netherlands, you can get by using English in a surprisingly large amount of cases. Can most shopkeepers keep a decent English conversation in China? Which is definitely true in the wealthier Northern European countries. Southern Europe is a different story but the Indian diaspora is more modest there. For non-US Anglo countries, it's even more of a slam dunk, but they have been tightening the screws lately as well.
2. Non-existent Indian diaspora. Self-explanatory why this is a negative.
3. Wages. Outside a few niche companies like ByteDance and a few others, wages are simply much lower in nominal terms (important for remittances). Most Indian immigrants are regular middle-class people, not elite talent. So their wages will conform more closely to the national average or slightly above it. The K-visa is pretty lenient in its requirements, so it's more akin to H1B rather than the O-1 visa which is for truly exceptional people.
4. I suspect most Chinese people would not like to see significant non-East Asian immigration to China. How many immigrants are counted as "significant"? Perhaps even just tens of thousands concentrated in a few cities could be enough for locals to react, certainly to notice. I could be wrong about this, but I see no evidence that there is broad acceptance for more liberal immigration policies to China outside of closely related countries (e.g. ASEAN).
5. Let's remember that H1B visa holders also get dependents to join them. IIRC, there are more dependents to H1B visa holders than there are visa holders themselves. Would China be prepared to accede to that demand? Bringing in relatives is a big factor for these immigrants. Because many are looking to settle for good. China's path to citizenship is also quite hard, which would be another reason why many may not choose it. If these potential immigrants told the Chinese authorities they needed to liberalise path to citizenship, would that find purchase among the Chinese population? I have my doubts.
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I could be wrong about all of this and perhaps there is great openness to a H1B-style visa program in China, irrespective of national and cultural background. I am not Chinese and I don't live in China. But these are my impressions as an outsider.
How many Indians or other national come to China is not that important. The market will determine that. But quality of life is really high in China. So the idea that people from outside of China would not find China appealing, I don't accept that.
In fact, I'm talking to people right now who are making this transition.
As for Chinese being racist and not able to accept non-East Asians, I think you are under-estimating Chinese people. I saw many non-East Asians (not necessarily westerners) when I was in China recently.
perfectly summarize. this applicable on all countries.
i have to add one more point, Chinese K-Visa is totally different from US H-1B visa. the reason behind this is, we don't need regular STEM graduates just like US. basically Chinese society itself has overflow of talent/engineers. only exceptional talent would pass the test/requirement.. so now you can guess itself, how many of these people can come to China coz of strict requirement in High tech fields.. talking about all foreign nationals.
Well, that's the thing. Nobody knows. It makes sense for China to do this now, because it has been attracting foreign talent already. As seen on this thread, it's not just Han people coming back to China. With America pulling research funding, Tsinghua for example has gotten very attractive.
It's kind of amazing for me to get this kind of response on this forum, because I'm talking to people right now involved in these programs.
Jobs are super competitive within China. I don’t think they can absorb anywhere close to the amount of foreigners as the U.S.
Depends on how many companies they create
Its not about race. The H1B fee as it stands is only 100k/6yr. If no US company is even willing to pay 100k/6yr to sponsor a particular applicant- what do you think that implies about the talent/potential of the applicant? Considering the STEM shortage in the US, 100k/6yr is an insignificant fraction of STEM salary (150k-1,000k).
well that original comment was responding to an explicitly insulting comment to Indians.
Keep in mind that H1B program is open to more than just computer industry. Not everyone is able to pay 100k for H!B applicants.
It's important for China to establish this type of program now because China does have a TFR issue that will manifest. It's better to have a program for immigration ready before the crisis emerge rather than creating one after you realize you have a problem.
Chinese govt is run by some very competent people that plans years ahead.