A short description of what PBoC governor Pan said below. Good first steps, austerity doesn't work. Now we only need a fiscal package from central government and the economy is going back to booming like before covid
What this is is a big fat ugly PR/propaganda campaign from the PBOC and the Chinese government. You have to put the raw numbers in the stimulus package into context of a 18 trillion dollar economy, a 10 trillion dollars stock market, a gross savings rate of 44% and a trade surplus of between 800 billion to a trillion dollars a year. The numbers in the stimulus package is too small to really make a difference. This is not about fundamentally changing the direction of the economy or policy but its designed to ease some of the anger of stock and real estate investors.
What are we talking about here.
The 0,5% cut in RRR only releases less than 150 billion dollars in to the economy. And maybe there will be another 150 billion dollars released before years end. And that for a 18 trillion dollar economy.
The reduction of interest payment on existing mortgages come to about 21 billion dollars a year worth of savings for mortgage holders.
A 10 to 30 basis point cut to some of the MLF rate is going to do jack for loan demand.
There going to spend about 70 billion dollars buying stocks in a 10 trillion dollars stock market. How big of difference do you think that will really make.
China hasn't announce any big bazooka stimulus like back in 2008 or have they eased the three red lines for the real estate industry.