If this is true then this is one of the wierdest story i have ever seen. I don't know what to make of this.
[BEIJING] China and the UK will introduce direct trading between the yuan and the British pound, helping London steal a march on Frankfurt and Paris to become Europe's hub for the Chinese currency.
The two nations also agreed on an 80 billion yuan (S$16.3 billion) quota for financial institutions in London to invest in China's domestic securities under the Renminbi Qualified Foreign Institutional Investor (RQFII) programme, UK Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne said at a briefing in Beijing yesterday, after meeting Chinese Vice-Premier Ma Kai.
Mr Osborne said the two countries will ensure access to yuan liquidity through additional settlement and clearing agreements in London.
"My ambition is to make sure London is the western hub for yuan business," Mr Osborne said, adding that the city would work in partnership with Hong Kong.
The Bull....17 October 2013 Last updated at 09:37 ET
Osborne agrees to China investing in UK nuclear plants
COMMENTS (946)
The Chancellor, George Osborne, has announced that the UK will allow Chinese companies to take a stake in British nuclear power plants.
The announcement also said that Chinese firms might eventually be allowed to take majority stakes in British nuclear plants.
Mr Osborne made the announcement on the last day of a trade visit to China.
The first China deal could be as early as next week, with the go ahead for a new £14bn plant at the Hinkley C site.
Also on Thursday, a report commissioned for the prime minister warned of a growing risk of power shortages over the next few years.
The Royal Academy of Engineering said the closure of older power plants and the slow progress in building news ones was likely to stretch the system "close to its limits".
Supply is expected to come under strain in the winter of 2014-15.
Most existing coal-fired plants are expected to be closed in 2015 to meet European Union pollution directives, while many gas-fired power plants are not being used at the moment because gas is so expensive.
These would take time and money to bring back on stream.
'Fair and affordable'
The Hinkley C project, in Somerset, will be the first new nuclear power station since 1995.
Hinkley C's construction will be led by the French state-controlled giant, EDF, which has been looking for a partner or partners to share the costs.
EDF has been negotiating with three Chinese nuclear giants on the Hinkley C project - CGN, CNNC and SNPTC - all of which have been seen by the chancellor this week.
Our business editor, Robert Peston, says he has been told that one or two of these will end up owning perhaps 30% of Hinkley C.
A DECC spokesperson said talks about a contract were underway: "Negotiations remain ongoing between the government and EDF on the potential terms of an investment contract for Hinkley Point C. No agreement has as yet been reached.
"A contract will only be offered if it is value for money, fair and affordable, in line with government policy on no public subsidy for new nuclear and consistent with state-aid rules."
Securing supplies
Mr Osborne made the announcement while on a visit to the Taishan nuclear plant in southern China on Thursday which is itself a collaboration between EDF and the China General Nuclear Power Group (CGNPG).
He said: "Today is another demonstration of the next big step in the relationship between Britain and China, the world's oldest civil nuclear power and the world's fastest growing civil nuclear power."
The memorandum of understanding also includes roles for British companies in China's nuclear programme.
China has 17 nuclear reactors in operation, which provide about 1% of its electricity production capacity.
In the future, Chinese firms might be allowed more than just minority stakes in UK plants. The government said that "over time, stakes in subsequent new power stations could be majority stakes".
At the weekend, the Energy Minister, Ed Davey, said he believed that a "massive" wave of investment from China, Japan and Korea would secure UK's power supply into the future.
Securing future energy supplies is a major challenge.
A portion of energy bills is being diverted to alternative energy investment in wind farms and solar energy.
But the government believes that renewable energy sources cannot provide enough power for the country's energy needs.
The industry regulator, Ofgem, has also warned of the "unprecedented challenge" to secure power supplies.
It said spare electricity power production capacity could fall to 2% by 2015, increasing the risk of blackouts.
The Bear.17 October 2013 Last updated at 23:36 ET
China's economic growth picks up speed in third quarter
China's economic growth picked up pace in the July-to-September period, the first rise in three quarters.
The world's second-biggest economy grew 7.8% from a year earlier, up from 7.5% expansion in the previous quarter.
The official figures also showed growth in industrial output, retail sales and fixed asset investment.
After years of blistering growth, China has seen its pace of expansion slow recently and there have been fears that growth may slow further.
China has set a growth target of 7.5% for the year. Analysts said the latest numbers indicated that it was likely that Beijing would meet this.
"This is an indication that China's economic growth is holding up in a range which is within the comfort zone of both the Chinese policymakers as well as global watchers," said Song Seng Wun, a senior economist with CIMB Research .
'Keep it going'
Over the past few decades China has relied heavily on its exports and manufacturing sectors as well as government-led infrastructure spending to help boost growth.
However, a slowdown in key markets such as the US and Europe has hurt demand for its exports.
As a result, it has been trying to spur domestic demand to offset the decline in foreign sales and also to rebalance its growth.
Earlier this year, it unveiled fresh measures to help boost the economy.
From 1 August, China has suspend value-added tax (VAT) and turnover tax for small businesses with monthly sales of less than 20,000 yuan ($3,257; £2,125).
The cabinet said the move would benefit more than six million small companies and boost employment and income for millions of people.
Policymakers said they would also implement measures to simplify customs clearance procedures, cut operational fees and facilitate the exports of small and medium-sized private enterprises.
The cabinet also announced plans to completely open China's railway construction market to private investors to develop the sector further.
It said it would set up a railway development fund, with the initial money coming from the government.
Analysts said the moves were starting to have an impact on the growth numbers.
"There is certainly a build up of momentum among the small manufacturers, which is an indication that China's policies targeted at them are working," said Tony Nash, vice-president at IHS.
Factory output rose 10.2% in September, from a year earlier. Meanwhile, retail sales rose 13.3% and fixed asset investment jumped 20.2% during the month from levels a year ago.
Tim Condon of ING added that the measures may help China sustain its growth rate in the current quarter as well.
"The mini-stimulus we've seen is enough to keep it going at this pace in the fourth quarter," Mr Condon said.
Sustainability concerns
However, there have been some concerns over whether the economic rebound is sustainable in the long run, not least due to the continued rise in property prices.
Property prices have now risen for eight months in a row, despite government efforts to cool the market.
Some analysts have said that China's new leaders, who took charge in March, have so far tolerated the price rises due to concerns over slowing economic growth.
According to some estimates, about 25% of overall investment in China goes towards property, making it one of the most important growth sectors.
But the continued surge in prices has fanned fears that asset bubbles may be forming.
"Between real estate and the lending environment, there are concerns that things may be heating up," said Mr Nash of IHS.
"If not addressed properly, and in time, it could pose a serious threat to China's growth."
Analysts said that with growth rebounding, Beijing may take measures to try and curb speculation in the property market.
"We think the recovery in the third quarter was mainly driven by the strong momentum of the property market," said Shen Jianguang, chief China economist with Mizuho Securities in Hong Kong.
"The government concerns about an over-heated property market are increasing, and tougher measures to curb rising prices may be forthcoming.
"We expect gross domestic product (GDP) growth will slow to 7.6% in the fourth quarter," he added.
18 October 2013 Last updated at 00:25 ET
Linda Yueh Article written by Linda Yueh
Chief business correspondent
More from Linda
China's economic growth speeds up?
COMMENTS (95)
China's economy sped up in the July-to-September quarter to expand at 7.8% year-on-year, according to official gross domestic product (GDP) figures.
That's faster than the previous quarter when GDP grew at 7.5% and the January-to March quarter's 7.7% expansion.
Unless the fourth quarter tanks, it means that the Chinese government will hit its growth target of 7.5% for the year, as the growth rate for the first nine months came in at 7.7%.
If they were to hit the target, it would be the slowest growth rate since 1999 which was the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis.
The Chinese government is aiming for a slower and better balanced economy that can grow more sustainably.
Reliability factor
But, one thing that hasn't changed is that there are more questions than ever over the reliability of Chinese figures.
It's not just GDP, but the other data releases today have also come in largely as expected: industrial production rising 10.2% from a year earlier in September, retail sales up 13.3%, fixed asset investment grew by 20.2%.
I've written about the trouble with Chinese figures before, particularly when it comes to GDP.
But, how good are the three indicators reportedly espoused by China's premier Li Keqiang as being more reliable? They are gaining prominence as they are being used by banks such as Credit Suisse and JPMorgan as an alternative index for Chinese growth.
The first indicator is electricity usage. The amount of power used by households and firms is a good gauge of consumption and one that is hard to hide. One problem is that China subsidizes some prices so it's somewhat mis-measured, but it's a decent economic indicator. Credit Suisse estimates it's around 9% annualised growth.
The amount of cargo freight is the second measure. Instead of factories saying how much they've produced (recall that they have been chastised for faking figures in Yunnan and Guangdong provinces this year), it's more reliable to take a look ourselves.
Railway cargo volume shows how much has been manufactured and is being moved around the country. But it is an under-measurement of economic activity because it only captures around 40% of GDP - the biggest part of the Chinese economy now is services. Cargo freight volumes are growing at around 21%.
The final gauge is bank loans. How much households and firms borrow over the medium and long-term reflects the amount of demand in the economy for investment.
This is why it's a good indicator of economic activity. But if this is used unproductively to build ghost cities, then it's a different way of over-stating growth. These loans are growing at about 5%.
Continued debate
It's not just Western banks that look at this data.
I understand from Chinese government researchers that a rule of thumb is if the Li Keqiang indicators show about 10-11% growth, then real GDP growth would be around 7-8%.
In which case, today's GDP figure would be consistent with the Li Keqiang index and show that the Chinese economy is speeding up.
But, there are others who are convinced that Chinese officials won't miss (bar an external crisis that can be blamed) a growth target, so none of these government-produced figures are very reliable.
Plus, none of these indicators, even viewed together, would be able to give a complete picture.
One thing is clear is that this debate is sure to run and run.
For the Chinese leadership who are keen to show that they're cracking down on fraudulent data and increasing confidence in the economy, it would help if they could indicate why they are well-equipped to produce GDP figures faster than any other major economy in the world.
Doing so in just over 2 weeks is a fairly remarkable feat for any country, much less one with 1.3 billion people. That's a lot of data to process in a rather short period of time
Ruchir Sharma, whose book Breakout Nations has been its own breakout bestseller for some time now. It has been noted as one of Publishers Weekly Top 10 Business Books for 2012, and Foreign Policy magazine recognized it as one of the primary business books to read.
Mr. Sharma is head of emerging market equities and global macro at Morgan Stanley, where he manages around $25 billion in emerging market assets. Previously he spent many years as a contributing editor for Newsweek and as a regular contributor to The Wall Street Journal and The Economic Times. We are delighted to welcome him to this Public Affairs Program.
In 2001, a Goldman Sachs managing director named Jim O'Neill coined the acronym "BRICs" to define the big four emerging markets of Brazil, Russia, India, and China. It wasn't long before American and European investors began pouring money into these markets, hoping to receive big economic gains. But that was then.
According to our guest, the golden age for these up-and-comers is fast coming to a close, as a host of other new markets going beyond these big four have emerged and are bringing with them the promise of economic success. Ruchir calls them breakout nations, and it is these countries where he says the new economic miracles will take place. Who are these countries? When and how do you determine that they are ready to take off?
Ruchir writes that he normally spends about a week each month in a different developing nation. His book is the fruit of those weekly fact-finding excursions, where travel affords him the perfect opportunity to meld his skills both as an economic analyst and as a journalist. His tools: First, he learns the macroeconomic numbers of a country. Then he travels to that distant spot, and while there, he talks to a wide variety of people from all walks of life, from the taxi driver to hotel operators, to restaurant owners. They all help to uncover the true economic picture.
His method may seem simple, but his proven success is a result of hard work, astute insights—and besides, he is very smart. For Ruchir, these grassroots experiences provide the information he needs to determine what makes economies break out or break down. The stories he tells to support his conclusions are not only entertaining, but instructive. Looking far into the future is never easy. Instead, Mr. Sharma has chosen to concentrate on the economic here and now. His premise is that economic success is hard to come by, economic growth is very hard to sustain, and that very few countries are able to make this journey to become an emerging-market star.