Chinese Economics Thread

[Xiongmao]

wonder collapsing or being threat?

I be thinking the reason why China's trade surplus seems to be shrinking is that more and more trade is being done in the local currencies of China and partners. This is facilitated by swap lines between the central banks of China and the trade partner and these swap lines are state secrets and so are hidden from analysis such as this. In the extreme case that China does all its trade in either Yuan or local currencies, then this trade surplus statistic used be economists will reflect only the trade between China and the US. That is what I think.

 

[Randomuser]

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Whoops. Hope you weren't one of the guys who fell for the China collapsing FUD and put all your money to buy Indian bags. If you did, you basically were played by wall street again. They're basically funding their Chinese purchases (esp in semiconductor stuff) by using their gains from Indian stocks citing valuations are too high. If those Indian stops don't have any future, this is basically a pump and dump done at institutional level.

 

[chgough34]

I be thinking the reason why China's trade surplus seems to be shrinking is that more and more trade is being done in the local currencies of China and partners. This is facilitated by swap lines between the central banks of China and the trade partner and these swap lines are state secrets and so are hidden from analysis such as this. In the extreme case that China does all its trade in either Yuan or local currencies, then this trade surplus statistic used be economists will reflect only the trade between China and the US. That is what I think.

No. The currency trade is settled in is irrelevant since all trade is reported by both China and the trading partner in their local currency unit in official statistics

 

[siegecrossbow]

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Whoops. Hope you weren't one of the guys who fell for the China collapsing FUD and put all your money to buy Indian bags. If you did, you basically were played by wall street again. They're basically funding their Chinese purchases (esp in semiconductor stuff) by using their gains from Indian stocks citing valuations are too high. If those Indian stops don't have any future, this is basically a pump and dump done at institutional level.

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It’s wumaoing time!

 

[TK3600]

I be thinking the reason why China's trade surplus seems to be shrinking is that more and more trade is being done in the local currencies of China and partners. This is facilitated by swap lines between the central banks of China and the trade partner and these swap lines are state secrets and so are hidden from analysis such as this. In the extreme case that China does all its trade in either Yuan or local currencies, then this trade surplus statistic used be economists will reflect only the trade between China and the US. That is what I think.

But wont china publish own data?

 

[sunnymaxi]

I be thinking the reason why China's trade surplus seems to be shrinking is that more and more trade is being done in the local currencies of China and partners. This is facilitated by swap lines between the central banks of China and the trade partner and these swap lines are state secrets and so are hidden from analysis such as this. In the extreme case that China does all its trade in either Yuan or local currencies, then this trade surplus statistic used be economists will reflect only the trade between China and the US. That is what I think.

But wont china publish own data?

its wrong ..

China's trade surplus in the first 2 months of 2024 is the biggest EVER.. China continue to break records in trade surplus, the world has never seen such a manufacturer before..



one crazy stat

China's manufacturing goods surplus is bigger than Japan+Germany combined 1970's surplus..

 

[chgough34]

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didn’t realize it until today but there were a handful of drugs originally developed in China that have gotten US FDA approval

 

[AssassinsMace]

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[gelgoog]

Those who followed these Western investor's dump scheme to crash the Chinese stock market lost out. Good thing the Chinese government bought the dip. In the end it is the Chinese government which came out on top.

 

[tphuang]

Transsion is making great gains in Middle East and Latin America with 255% YoY growth

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Vivo/Oppo/Honor need to get themselves out there.