Chinese Economics Thread

J-XX

Banned Idiot
How about refuting the article with something tangible instead of just refuting it out of hand?

Nope. Cannot refute lies made up by western media and their stooges. It is up to YOU to refute Chinese numbers with facts backing it up. The official numbers are the numbers that will be used decades from now.
If you don't like it, you can take a hike!
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
The most bad-ass intellectual property theft ever...

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LMAO...the article makes it out like China is the bad copier again. What about World of Warcraft and stealing many of the fashion and design that was ancient China when they were doing the Mist of Pandoria addition?

mists-of-pandaria-overview-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-new-world-of-warcraft-expansion.jpg
 

kyanges

Junior Member
LMAO...the article makes it out like China is the bad copier again. What about World of Warcraft and stealing many of the fashion and design that was ancient China when they were doing the Mist of Pandoria addition?

mists-of-pandaria-overview-what-you-need-to-know-about-the-new-world-of-warcraft-expansion.jpg

Nah, I disagree that Blizzard "stole" anything from the Chinese, unless there's some kind of precedent for an internationally recognized trademarking scheme for entire parts (Fashion for example) of cultures that I don't know about. (Is there?)

WoW on the other hand, IS a trademarked IP/Brand... thing. So yes, the park is a "bad" copy. I put "bad" in quotes because it's actually quite awesome looking.
 
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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
I don't play World of Warcraft so I wouldn't know but if you read the comments, some WoW fans say nothing they see is familiar to them. I've seen that statue of that scantily clad woman warrior on pop-ups in Chinese sites.
 

escobar

Brigadier
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China's economic expansion slowed to 7.8 percent year on year in 2012 amid external jitters and domestic woes, data from the National Bureau of Statistics showed on Friday.

The growth rate, the slowest one since 1999, was down from 9.3 percent in 2011 and 10.4 percent in 2010.


The economy's fourth-quarter growth quickened to 7.9 percent on strong trade data as well as improving consumption and investment figures. The rate, which ended a seven-straight-quarter slowdown, was up from 7.4 percent in the third quarter, 7.6 percent in the second and 8.1 percent in the first.

According to preliminary statistics, gross domestic product (GDP) reached 51.93 trillion yuan (8.28 trillion U.S. dollars) in 2012.

"Government stimulus measures introduced since early 2012 have produced results. They have helped reverse the slowdown and stabilize the growth," said Wang Jun, an economist at the China Center for International Economic Exchanges, one elite think-tank in Beijing.

Last May, the government shifted its top priority from taming inflation to stabilizing growth. It has moderately eased its grip over lending, approved massive construction projects, and stepped up tax reductions to buoy the economy.

GDP figures headed a string of other encouraging economic data on Friday. Retail sales, a key indicator of consumer spending, rose 15.2 percent from a year earlier in December, up from 14.9 percent in November.

The growth of industrial production accelerated to 10.3 percent year on year in December from November's 10.1-percent pace. Fixed-asset investment, a measure of government spending on infrastructure, also increased 1.53 percent from November to December.

China's exports, a key driver of the economy, also trumped market forecasts to grow 14.1 percent year on year in December, up from November's 2.9 percent, customs data showed last week.

"I think the economy's growth has been stabilized, but whether the rebound will continue remains unclear,"
said Zhang Liqun, an analyst with the Development Research Center of the State Council.

China's major economic risks in 2013 still lie in uncertainties in its external markets and domestic property sector, Zhang said.

The government pared the full-year growth target for 2012 to 7.5 percent from 8 percent in early 2012. Many economists are expecting the target to remain unchanged for this year
 

kroko

Senior Member
Average cost of 1 MB/second bandwith in china was 4 times higher than in the US and 400 times higher than HK, acording to a december 2011 study. This is chinese media, not foreign media.

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AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
I remember that study and I think it was posted in here. It was wrong then and wrong now. I paid $30-$35 a month for ATT DSL at 1mb. I believe that study then said average 1mb cost was like $12-$13. I'ver never heard of that price. Yeah maybe if they were talking less than 1mb service.
 

A.Man

Major
China Passes U.S. to Become World’s Biggest Trading Nation

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China surpassed the U.S. to become the world’s biggest trading nation last year as measured by the sum of exports and imports, a milestone in the Asian nation’s challenge to the U.S. dominance in global commerce that emerged after the end of World War II in 1945.

U.S. exports and imports last year totaled $3.82 trillion, the U.S. Commerce Department said last week. China’s customs administration reported last month that the country’s total trade in 2012 amounted to $3.87 trillion. China had a $231.1 billion annual trade surplus while the U.S. had a trade deficit of $727.9 billion.

China’s emergence as the biggest global trading nation gives it increasing influence, threatening to disrupt regional trading blocs as it becomes the most important commercial partner for countries including Germany, which will export twice as much to China by the end of the decade as it does to neighboring France, said Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s Jim O’Neill.




“For so many countries around the world, China is becoming rapidly the most important bilateral trade partner,” O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs’s asset management division and the economist who bound Brazil to Russia, India and China to form the BRIC investing strategy, said in a telephone interview. “At this kind of pace by the end of the decade many European countries will be doing more individual trade with China than with bilateral partners in Europe.”

U.S. Leadership

Still, the U.S. economy is more than double the size of China’s, according to the World Bank. In 2011, the U.S. gross domestic product reached $15 trillion while China’s totaled $7.3 trillion.

“It is remarkable that an economy that is only a fraction of the size of the U.S. economy has a larger trading volume,” Nicholas Lardy, a senior fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in Washington, said in an e-mail. “The surpassing of the U.S. is not because of a substantially undervalued currency that has led to an export boom,” said Lardy, noting that Chinese imports have grown more rapidly than exports since 2007.

The U.S. emerged as the preeminent trading power following World War II as it spearheaded the creation of the global trade and financial architecture and the U.K. began dismantling its colonial empire. China began focusing on trade and foreign investment to boost its economy after decades of isolation under Chairman Mao Zedong. Economic growth averaged 9.9 percent a year from 1978 through 2012.

Biggest Exporter

China became the world’s biggest exporter in 2009, while the U.S. remains the biggest importer, taking in $2.28 trillion in goods last year compared with China’s $1.82 trillion of imports. HSBC Holdings Plc forecast last year that China would overtake the U.S. as the top trading nation by 2016.

China was last considered the leading economy during the height of the Qing dynasty. The difference is that in the 18th century, the Qing Empire -- unlike rising Britain -- didn’t focus on trade. The Emperor Qianlong told King George III in a 1793 letter that “we possess all things. I set no value on objects strange or ingenious, and I have no use for your country’s manufactures.”

While China is the biggest energy user, has the world’s biggest car market and the world’s largest foreign currency reserves, a significant portion of China’s trade involves importing raw materials and parts to be assembled into finished products and re-exported, an activity that provides “only modest value added,” Eswar Prasad, a former International Monetary Fund official who is now a professor at Cornell University in Ithaca, New York, said in an e-mail.

More Involved

Last month China’s trade expanded more than estimated, with exports rising 25 percent from a year earlier and imports increasing 28.8 percent, government data released yesterday showed. China’s trade figures in January and February are distorted by the week-long Lunar New Year holiday that fell in January of last year and started yesterday.

Economists from banks including UBS AG and Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. recently questioned the veracity of China’s export data after the customs administration reported an unexpected 14.1 percent export gain in December. The General Administration of Customs defended the data last month, saying all statistics are based on actual customs declarations, and the Ministry of Commerce said the jump was caused by exporters who hurried shipments before a waiver of inspection fees expired at the end of the month.

Trade Deficit

The U.S.’s bilateral trade deficit with China, which peaked in 2012, could remain a flashpoint of tension between the two countries, Prasad said.

“This trade imbalance is not representative of the amount of goods actually produced in China and exported to the U.S., but this perspective tends to get lost amidst the heated political rhetoric in the U.S,” said Prasad.

According to O’Neill, the trade figures underscore the need to draw China further into the global financial and trading architecture that the U.S. helped create.

“One way or another we have to get China more involved in the global organizations of today and the future despite some of their own reluctance,” O’Neill said, mentioning China’s inclusion in the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights currency basket. “To not have China more symbolically and more importantly actually central to all these things is just increasingly silly.”

To contact Bloomberg News staff for this story: Michael Forsythe in Beijing at [email protected]

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Peter Hirschberg at [email protected]; Dick Schumacher at [email protected]
 

AssassinsMace

Lieutenant General
Funny how all the pessismists that thought Macau was going to be nothing so they didn't bother bidding for a casino concession are already in Hainan on just the chance gambling will be allowed there some day.

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Global investors watch how chips fall in China's cashless casino bar
By Farah Master | Reuters

SANYA, China (Reuters) - Placing bets on green-felt baccarat tables in a new casino bar on China's southern Hainan island, punters seem oblivious to a huge wager quietly being placed around them, one that could potentially siphon business from the world's largest gaming hub in Macau an hour's flight away.

For now, players at Jesters casino bar, part of the newly opened Mangrove Tree Resort World on Sanya Bay, cannot win cash - only points that they can use to pay for accommodation, luxury goods, jewelry and artwork for sale at the resort.

Owned by art, film and real estate mogul Zhang Baoquan, the casino bar marks the Chinese government's first tacit approval of a gaming concept outside of Macau. Global investors, including some of the world's biggest gaming companies, are watching to see how the chips will fall.

"Our casino bar is the first in the country. The government is monitoring, it's a test," Zhang told Reuters in a recent interview at his 23rd-floor office overlooking his sprawling 173-acre property that opened late last year.

"Right now we are not at this stage (legalizing casino gambling), but my personal opinion is, in future, there is a big possibility that they will have."

The stakes are enormous -- China's monopoly gambling site, Macau, raked in $38 billion in gaming revenues last year, primarily from Chinese gamblers. If Beijing were to allow gambling elsewhere in the country, cash would follow.

It's not just the Chinese government that is watching the development. MGM Resorts International opened a hotel in Sanya last year and fellow U.S. casino operator Caesars Entertainment is set to open a hotel in 2014.

An MGM spokesman said the company had no plan to introduce "anything of this kind". Caesars did not respond to requests for comment.

Dressed in jeans and a black-and-white Hawaiian shirt during his interview, the 56-year-old Zhang said he aims to create an integrated resort similar to those in Las Vegas and Singapore where gaming, convention space and retail outlets are offered together.

Mangrove Tree Resort World, the newest addition to Hainan's rapidly developing hotel scene, will be China's biggest resort when construction is completed next year. It will have more than 4,000 rooms, a convention hall accommodating 6,000 people and facilities including a water park.

It is one of 10 integrated resorts that Zhang is developing around the country, including one more in Sanya and others stretching from Lhasa in Tibet to the eastern coastal city Qingdao.

While the Chinese government does not permit casinos in the country outside of Macau, Zhang - ranked by Forbes as one of the country's 300 richest people in 2012 with $600 million - said Hainan could become an exception.

Sensitive to existing restrictions, the soft-spoken businessman emphasized cultural attractions such as his art gallery that, along with the casino bar, will be incorporated into the planned resorts.

WINNING "MANGROVE" POINTS

Inside Jesters, which models itself on Macau's casino halls with garish chandeliers and a giant roulette wheel ceiling, players buy tickets costing 500 yuan ($80) each. Bets range from 20-2,000 yuan in the mass area, while the high-limits area is set at 2,000-100,000 yuan. Big whale punters will be able to bet over 100,000 yuan once the VIP room opens on the second floor.

The casino bar, with 50 gaming tables now, is currently open only to hotel guests, but when the resort is completed, local residents will be allowed in.

When players win, they receive "Mangrove" points that can be used to buy products available in the casino such as an iPad 3G or a Rimowa suitcase. Once luxury brands open outlets within the resort, customers will be able to spend their points in those stores. Art work from Zhang's Beijing art gallery is also available for purchase.

Retail stores including Prada and Louis Vuitton will be part of a network of 20 luxury stores that will open at the resort next year, Zhang said.

Zhang, president of Beijing conglomerate Antaeus, has the financial backing of China Development Bank. The state lender invested 70 percent of the cost of the Mangrove Tree expansion.

"The local governments are very supportive," says the boyish-looking Zhang, who started off as a carpenter in his hometown of Zhenjiang in eastern Jiangsu province, and now is well known as an arts philanthropist and prominent film investor.

Married to Wang Qiuyang, a mountaineer whose father Wang Chengbin was a former army commander, Zhang said any potential change to gambling restrictions would take time, adding that the government would need to decide whether to let other operators open similar casino bars.

"Gambling culturally is a very bad thing, but today there is a difference -- gambling is a financial tool," said Zhang.

"In Asia, even North Korea has two casinos. The richest country, Singapore, before you would never think society would accept it there. All over the world the attitude towards casinos is different from what it was traditionally."

SANYA AND BEYOND

China is positioning Hainan as an international tourist destination, approving the construction of 15 large resorts and 63 five-star hotels as part of the country's five-year plan.

As Chinese spend their money in new casinos across Asia from the Philippines to Vietnam, pressure is growing on Beijing to keep more gamblers at home.

"To some extent, the approval of gaming on Chinese soil is inevitable," said Gary Pinge, analyst at Macquarie Group in Hong Kong.

"With regional markets already vying for a share of the Chinese gambling wallet, unless China brings gaming onto its own shores, it will not only lose tax revenues to other countries, but also the 'multiplier effect' from the consumption spend."

In the meantime, Zhang is pushing ahead with his expansion plans. Aiming to list the Mangrove Tree brand on the Hong Kong stock exchange in 2015, Zhang hopes to use the capital raised to take his Mangrove Tree brand outside of China.

"Sydney, the Maldives, the United States, England, Paris and Turkey" would all be good, said Zhang with a shy smile.

(Editing by Ken Wills)
 
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