Construction will still be one of the major economic driving forces for China in the coming years. In addition to what you have said, China still needs a lot of public facilities like community centers, care homes, libraries, sport complex, recreational parks, etc. So this will be another focus of new constructions.I think real estate will eventually recover. China is still much less urbanized than advanced economies. Like 60% instead of 80%.
But the sector was overheating too much and construction companies were loaded with debt. So the government had to cut it down a notch.
I expect construction of high speed rail and metros to cool down during this decade. But there is still going to be a huge demand for construction of infrastructure, except this might be in clean energy generation, like nuclear power plants or building hydropower plants in the rivers downstream from the Himalayas. Also in pumped storage facilities.
Eventually we might see construction of higher speed maglev lines in the most congested transportation routes like Beijing-Shanghai.
At the same time Chinese industry will continue to move upwards in the industrial production chain by producing and exporting high tech products like aircraft, cars, and semiconductors. I also expect China to become a major weapons exporter.
China doesn’t need FDI anymore?! Says who?they are counting outflow. LOL but its okay
now its opposite. China doesn't need FDI anymore. whatever comes is just a bonus.
China's outbound direct investment is on rise Chinese firms are now investing money in other countries. because foreign/Domestic industries are now well established in mainland , supply chain is well intact. due to stiff competition many firms are dying in mainland. Koreans/Japanese firms losing market share. thanks to Rise of Chinese local firms in manufacturing. Chinese firms start gaining share from west/Japanese/Koreans firms in Global south.
China's outward direct investment maintains growth momentum, overseas M&A in Latin America and Oceania surges. China overall ODI was US$75.4 billion in H1 2023, up 9.6% YOY.
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Official statement from Ministry about FDI in China
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in the Chinese mainland in actual use stood at 919.97 billion yuan (about $128 billion) in the first nine months of the year, the Ministry of Commerce said Friday.
The figure decreased 8.4 percent from a year earlier.
During the period, 37,814 new foreign-invested firms were set up across the country, up 32.4 percent year on year.
FDI in service sector decline 12.8 percent year on year.
FDI in manufacturing rose 2.4 percent year on year, with that in high-tech manufacturing up 12.8 percent.
During the period, FDI from France, the United Kingdom, Canada , Germany and Japan surged by 121.7 percent, 116.9 percent, 109.2 percent, 53 percent and 14.2 percent year-on-year respectively, data from the ministry shows..
The emphasis is on *need*. China still welcomes FDI for the money.China doesn’t need FDI anymore?! Says who?
This “nobody” as you call him writes the best articles on Chinese economic situation that you can find on the internet. Unlike other western writers, his articles are based on hard facts and figures. He is a lone voice of reason against the “China is collapsing” crowd of article writers.Reposting nobodies from Twitter is a waste of everyone's time, even if only to debunk them.
Reposting nobodies from Twitter is a waste of everyone's time, even if only to debunk them.
Not sure if I can agree. US and all other top tier economies definitely need FDI as a key source of tech innovation. You want foreign companies to spend and steadily increase their R&D in your country rather than spend it elsewhere.The emphasis is on *need*. China still welcomes FDI for the money.
FDI from the west used to bring in new technologies and ideas to China. But as the west tightening up technology exports to China, also because of the output of China's own R&D, FDI from them matters less and less to China in advancing in science and technology.
Would you say that the US, Germany and Japan *need* FDI for their progress in science and technology?
But who would refuse money that creates jobs? So you won't hear it officially from the Chinese governments but indeed that China does not *need* FDI as much as it used to be.