Chinese Economics Thread

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
You think that is bad eh? Well my friend 44 million of American have no health care at all even the basic health care.

Well Isuppose your forty million also includes the illegal immigrants which some put at up to 20million.

Futhermore you are forgetting The Obama health care reforms which are designed to provide accessible health care for all.



The health ministry, which manages rural residents’ health insurance program, plans to expand per capita funding to at least 360 yuan ($57) by 2015, from 300 yuan this year, it said in a statement issued at the briefing. The amount climbed more than eightfold from 2003 to 250 yuan last year and covered 812 million people, or 95 percent of the rural population, as of June 30, 2012, according to ministry figures.

Capital is going out of China Its going to make policy right across the board a lot harder to implement let alone health.
Regarding health its not just a policy of throwing a few more yuan at basic medical care level. For exampleTheres a great disparity of funding between hospitals. Your typical mid size town/city only receives a fraction of what bigger city hospitals get. Faced with these pressures many of these hospitals loose focus and fail to provide high quality care. On a few occassions i have read that under these circumstances hospitals tend to over perscribe expensive drugs as a form of income thus putting the burden back on the patient.

I think you get lulled into thinking that China has a healthy balance sheet because it does'nt show much debt. The reason for that is because the SOE's and local government use off balance sheet financing vehicles.
 
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bladerunner

Banned Idiot
This headline says it:
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And the article is interesting.
The original problem was excessive money creation. Homeopathy would suggest treating the disease with a few millon dollars/pounds. Instead the medicine is hundreds of billions of them. As if you prescribed four bottles of gin a day to a drunk. But this indeed makes it impossible to determine realistic GDP data in Western countries.


Whats more interesting is that he goes on to say

"he did not see the situation as a sovereign debt crisis, arguing that eurozone has the money to save itself. "
 

bladerunner

Banned Idiot
Jim Chanos has been the poster boy for the western media on china 'collapse'.
This dude couldn't spell china 3 years ago is now seen as the number 1 'expert' on the Chinese economy even though he admits that he has never ever visited china.

As I said on countless occasions "Trash talking a market" goes hand in hand with a short seller. Futhermore Chanos never ever had more than 20% of his portfolio in the China market and if he is to be believed ,he's doing pretty well from shorting the property developers in China through the H-shares in Hong Kong as well as most of the larger Chinese banks.
 

JsCh

Junior Member
"Basic" is just that. Anything more than that such as severe illness or surgical operations they have to pay forfrom savings.Thats why the majority of the people remain circumspect on how they spend.

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China expands national healthcare insurance to cover serious illnesses

By Shan Juan in Zhengzhou, Wang Qingyun and Li Yao
China Daily/Asia News Network
Friday, Aug 31, 2012

CHINA - China on Thursday announced a decision to expand the coverage of the country's healthcare insurance system to include the treatment of critical illnesses, aiming to prevent patients from being reduced to poverty by necessary healthcare costs.

The new arrangement will further increase the level of protection that China's healthcare insurance system can offer, according to a document co-issued by the National Development and Reform Commission and five other central government departments.

Sun Zhigang, head of the health reform office under the State Council, said it aims to ensure that each patient's total medical expenditure is no more than the "household expenditure for healthcare," which is set at the level of the regional annual per capita disposable or net income.

In an interview with Xinhua News Agency, Sun said when patients' medical bills for necessary treatments under the existing basic healthcare insurance system exceed that level, they will be reimbursed by the newly launched critical illness insurance project.

Though around 1.3 billion people, or more than 95 per cent of China's population, were covered by the healthcare insurance system by the end of last year, medical expenditure burdens incurred by patients with severe medical conditions remain heavy, Sun said.

"The new move targets the widely recognised problem of 'people falling into poverty because of illnesses', and aims to ensure that most people won't become impoverished because of diseases," Sun said.
 

Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
[
You are behind curve . the practice of overcharging on drug has been outlaw since last year I believe. There is overcrowding on hospital because everybody want to be served by the best doctor. As I say Rome is not built in a day. People mind have to be changed too. There is effort underway to built local clinic where neighborhood doctor can help with minor illness and developed rapport to the neighborhood

When it come to access to basic health care China is light years away compare to US. In china everybody is issued a health care magnetic card that has personal data. You just have to go to emergency hospital in US to see the chaos. Obama care is doing nothing as far as getting access to the basic health care for everybody. You still have to buy insurance from a private insurance company God help you if you don't have money

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In addition, basic medicines are now sold at the same price across the country. This practice prevents hospitals from overcharging its patients. Pharmaceutical companies were also asked to start bidding for contracts, which led to a 30% reduction in the price of basic medicines.

Helping the “Three No” people

The new system is aimed especially at people with no resources, no ability to work and no one to support them (the so-called “Three No” people). It also entitles them to equal access to basic healthcare.

The old system was unaffordable for most rural and non-working urban residents, as well as for old and disabled people. Local governments now fully cover the individual health-insurance contributions of the latter group.

The rapid extension of health insurance in China can also be attributed to the 2010 Social Insurance Law, to which the ILO provided technical assistance.

“Due to the extension of health insurance in th
 
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jackliu

Banned Idiot
When you read all the critics of China they all have one thing in common

1. Compare China today to West today, and when it inevitably fall short, call it FAILURE. But they NEVER compare China today with China yesterday to see how far they have come.
2. Pick a angle of attack where they see China have problem and declare it FAIL, and inevitably come up with the conclusion that they lack FREEDOM and DEMOCRACY, but at the same time they never look at some of other democracy such as India, Philippine, Haiti etc... who are democratic, but suffering FAR worse. Because when democracy don't work, never mention it, but by all means point out problem with non-democratic nation and automatically contribute it with lack of democracy.
3. When mention about China's GDP ranking, first thing they would say say per capital wise they are no where close, thus they will never catch up. As if Per capital GDP is the only measurement of a nation's success, as if Luxemburg today have almost 2x per capital GDP of US, but they would never think Luxemburg's is a more powerful nation than USA, but yes, the different standard very much apply to China.
4. Attribute everything going on in China with democracy, pollution? Yes of course, the CCP don't care about environment. Low school ranking? CCP does not allow free thinking. Accidents? CCP's corruption causing death. People protesting about Japan's action? Of course CCP's brainwashing people to hate Japan. German climber dies in Nepalese avalanche? CCP refused to offer them permit to use China side to climb.

There are so much more, I will post them as I remember it. Basically all the common theme is putting China down to make oneself feel better, emphasis China's problem as much as possible and come up with the conclusion that China is DOOMED, while never offer any solution (except DEMOCRACY of course).
 
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bladerunner

Banned Idiot
[
Y
ou are behind curve . the practice of overcharging on drug has been outlaw since last year I believe. There is overcrowding on hospital because everybody want to be served by the best doctor.

Thats good to know, however I understood it to be the inappropriate prescribing of drugs rather than overcharging which I daresay happens. At the time i was reading an article on Chinas healthcare, the government had set recommended prices for each drug, guidelines outlining the types and number of drugs to be
prescribed for each illness was lacking.

Earlier you said I should be comparing Chinas progress with other developing countries. While there has been significant improvement in healthcare personnel, at the leading edge of surgical operations I think it lags behind India which has become one of the places westerners go to for heart ops etc.



In addition, basic medicines are now sold at the same price across the country. This practice prevents hospitals from overcharging its patients. Pharmaceutical companies were also asked to start bidding for contracts, which led to a 30% reduction in the price of basic medicines.

Given the iffy nature on quality control, I;m not so sure about the tendering to supply drugs though.

Remember the SFDA whose head was executed a few years back because of the melamine scandal. Even now one still hears of outbreaks of melamine in milk.

Well the SFDA still figures in phamaceutical scandals as reported by Reuters

Special Report: China's "wild east" drug store

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Heres another article outling on how the Chinese see the supply of phamaceauticals inside China.

written by Prof Jian Qiang Hu and Asso Prof Yue Dai of Fudan Uni.


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wowa97

Just Hatched
Registered Member
[
Y


Earlier you said I should be comparing Chinas progress with other developing countries. While there has been significant improvement in healthcare personnel, at the leading edge of surgical operations I think it lags behind India which has become one of the places westerners go to for heart ops etc.

I hope you joking when you said India has better healthcare system then China. Has you been to India? Or even look at the news on India?

from wikipedia Healthcare_in_India

Malnutrition

42% of India’s children below the age of three are malnourished, which is greater than the statistics of sub-Saharan African region of 28%.[3] Although India’s economy grew 50% from 2001–2006, its child-malnutrition rate only dropped 1%, lagging behind countries of similar growth rate.[4] Malnutrition impedes the social and cognitive development of a child, reducing his educational attainment and income as an adult.[4] These irreversible damages result in lower productivity.[4]
High infant mortality rate

Approximately 1.72 million children die each year before turning one.[5] The under five mortality and infant mortality rates have been declining, from 202 and 190 deaths per thousand live births respectively in 1970 to 64 and 50 deaths per thousand live births in 2009.[5][6] However, this rate of decline is slowing. Reduced funding for immunization leaves only 43.5% of the young fully immunized.[4] A study conducted by the Future Health Systems Consortium in Murshidabad, West Bengal indicates that barriers to immunization coverage are adverse geographic location, absent or inadequately trained health workers and low perceived need for immunization.[7] Infrastructure like hospitals, roads, water and sanitation are lacking in rural areas.[8] Shortages of healthcare providers, poor intra-partum and newborn care, diarrheal diseases and acute respiratory infections also contribute to the high infant mortality rate.[5]
 
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hkbc

Junior Member
When you read all the critics of China they all have one thing in common

1. Compare China today to West today, and when it inevitably fall short, call it FAILURE. But they NEVER compare China today with China yesterday to see how far they have come.
2. Pick a angle of attack where they see China have problem and declare it FAIL, and inevitably come up with the conclusion that they lack FREEDOM and DEMOCRACY, but at the same time they never look at some of other democracy such as India, Philippine, Haiti etc... who are democratic, but suffering FAR worse. Because when democracy don't work, never mention it, but by all means point out problem with non-democratic nation and automatically contribute it with lack of democracy.
3. When mention about China's GDP ranking, first thing they would say say per capital wise they are no where close, thus they will never catch up. As if Per capital GDP is the only measurement of a nation's success, as if Luxemburg today have almost 2x per capital GDP of US, but they would never think Luxemburg's is a more powerful nation than USA, but yes, the different standard very much apply to China.
4. Attribute everything going on in China with democracy, pollution? Yes of course, the CCP don't care about environment. Low school ranking? CCP does not allow free thinking. Accidents? CCP's corruption causing death. People protesting about Japan's action? Of course CCP's brainwashing people to hate Japan. German climber dies in Nepalese avalanche? CCP refused to offer them permit to use China side to climb.

There are so much more, I will post them as I remember it. Basically all the common theme is putting China down to make oneself feel better, emphasis China's problem as much as possible and come up with the conclusion that China is DOOMED, while never offer any solution (except DEMOCRACY of course).

Western media's critique of China ranges from the subtle (BBC) to the right in your face (Fox News) it's never going to be balanced since in "democracies" any two bit hack with an axe to grind can air their viewpoint right or wrong and some one's going to listen to them. So don't get too hot under the collar about how things get reported, when I visit the USA after the ritual humiliation that is US border control I collapse into the hotel switch on the TV and watch Fox News to remind myself why the USA is far from the utopia that it's vested interests like to paint! Not wanting to tar everyone with the same brush I find trips to Canada, weather aside, to be much more beneficial to one's state of well being!

Beauty is in the eye of the beholder, the British will proclaim that they ended the slave trade but miss out the bit about how they profited from it economically for 2 centuries. History is littered with inconvenient truths that the "western" world would handily not like to be discussed everything from the "opium wars" (government sponsored drug trade!) to "stealing tea plants" (Intellectual Theft!). When the confederates are stopped from seceding through force of arms in the American Civil War it's hailed as a triumph of democracy, prevention of Tibetan secession, however, is the brutal repression of a minority! Hypocrisy and self interest are inherent in human nature!

In economic terms China's history is cyclical reaching from glorious highs to miserable lows, it's current upward trajectory from an historic low, if sustained, will see it return to it's position as largest global economy for the majority of recorded history. If it doesn't it will simply be the start of the next cycle. If you happen to be Chinese the return to the historical norm is probably to be celebrated if you are not it is rapidly becoming an article of faith that it should be feared. Personally, I wish them well in their endeavors!
 

J-XX

Banned Idiot
As I said on countless occasions "Trash talking a market" goes hand in hand with a short seller. Futhermore Chanos never ever had more than 20% of his portfolio in the China market and if he is to be believed ,he's doing pretty well from shorting the property developers in China through the H-shares in Hong Kong as well as most of the larger Chinese banks.

Lol big deal if stocks go down.
Doesn't mean jack for the economy.

Chanos predicted the total collapse of china, he said china is 1000 times of Dubai crash.
Never happened.

Chanos is a fraud, the crap he uses to justify china collapse theory is utterly hilarious but the china haters like western media never question him.
When he says the most crazy thing, no one asks for proof, they just take him at his word.

Chanos has been 100% wrong, anyone that says otherwise is an economic noob.

His points on Chinese consumption, property, construction and many other things shows a lack of knowledge about macroeconomics and the development stage of the Chinese economy.

It will take me ages to write it, but I will do it in the future.
 
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