Chinese Economics Thread

zbb

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, ranked second in absolute terms, accounts for another 13% of world military expenditure at $292 billion.
As is usual in Western media reporting, the defense spending of the US is drastically understated as it does not include spending on veterans ($300B+), homeland defense ($100B+), and many other items that would normally be included in the defense spending of other countries. Actual US defense spending should be well over $1.3T, about the same as the rest of the world combined.

On the other hand, the number for China is overstated as it includes some spending on domestic law enforcement, disaster relief, infrastructure building and repair, fire fighting, etc. Official Chinese defense budget for 2022 is 1.45T CNY, or about $203B USD at current exchange rates.
 
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6.3% growth for Q2, below predictions of 7.1%. Still enough decently performing sectors in the economy on top of the revenge spending during public holidays to offset some of the weaker aspects. Will be interesting to see how the recovery will continue for the rest of the year. Most concerning of all is that youth unemployment rose to 21%.

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azn_cyniq

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6.3% growth for Q2, below predictions of 7.1%. Still enough decently performing sectors in the economy on top of the revenge spending during public holidays to offset some of the weaker aspects. Will be interesting to see how the recovery will continue for the rest of the year. Most concerning of all is that youth unemployment rose to 21%.

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Perhaps it's time for stimulus. Retail sales are doing poorly, whereas industrial production is doing fine.
 

Blitzo

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Good god if you consider him to be one of the best China commentators on Twitter then that just says a lot about you
What are your objections exactly? He always comes across as even handed on most of his posts. Not to mention whatever you feel about him doesn't invalidate what he wrote. Even in the comments people from moderate Sinophiles like Ralph Litzinger to the hardcore pro-China nationalist like Cyrus Janssen seem to be in agreement.
 

mossen

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YoY numbers are noisy because of last year's lockdowns during the same period. It's better to look at QoQ but at an annualised pace. QoQ was 0.8% and annualised that comes to 3.2%.

Zooming out, we can see the big drop in Q2 of 2022 in this graph:

F1NKZiCagAEjXlt.png

China's GDP has been expanding between the 4-5% band since before Covid. Which is actually not that bad. Everyone understands that the era of superhigh growth is over. The focus should now be on quality of growth.
 
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