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Strangelove

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Foreign firms refute ‘investor flight’ hype; temporary disruptions do not represent long-term outlook

By GT staff reporters Published: May 08, 2022 10:54 PM Updated: May 08, 2022 10:39 PM

Yantian Port in Shenzhen, South China's Guangdong Province Photo: VCG

Yantian Port in Shenzhen, South China's Guangdong Province Photo: VCG

Stringent anti-epidemic measures adopted in some key Chinese cities including Shanghai and Beijing, in hopes of curbing the rapid spread Omicron variant and bringing back sound bounce after a temporary economic shock, may inevitably hurt some foreign firms' performance, yet some Western media outlets are exaggerating the situation, hyping the "investor flight" theory, warning that such measures will result in a large-scale retreat of foreign firms and undermine China's attractiveness in the long run, which Chinese experts and industry players have dismissed.

The "ditch China" claim has been refuted by many foreign firms and industry players, who reasserted their confidence in the world's second-largest economy and its key role in the global industrial chain, and also appreciated the government's efforts of striking a balance between epidemic control and work resumption.

Observers and experts are also calling for foreign investors to ride out the temporary difficulties together with the Chinese and the Chinese market, believing in its ability in the fight against virus, and once this round of outbreaks ebbs away, those sticking to their vision will have a lot to gain.

From a global perspective, China is still one of the world's fastest-growing major economies and home to the world's largest population, which are conditions attractive to many multinationals, ranging from auto companies and financial institutions, analysts said.

Still represents future

"It's very difficult to shift in the sense of to move out of China and to take your operations out of China,"Jorg Wuttke, president of the EU Chamber of Commerce in China, told the Global Times.

"Standard Chartered is firmly optimistic about China's long-term development prospects, and we are full of confidence in the opportunities brought about by China's development," the firm told the Global Times on Sunday.

The company said it will invest $300 million into China-related business in the next three years to help its clients seize opportunities arising from China's continuous reform and opening-up.

Texas Instruments Semiconductor Technologies also denied reports saying it is about lay off staff in China in a Sunday-released announcement, stressing that China is still its "most important global market."

Tesla is confident about China's development, and the epidemic was just a temporary test and challenge, Vice President Tao Lin was quoted as saying by domestic media on Sunday. "We've also seen the ability of all walks of life to cope with challenges from the process of resumption of work, and believe that [production] will soon return to normal."

Tesla, the US electric carmaker, although suffering disruptions in the latest outbreak in Shanghai, generated $4.65 billion in China in the first quarter of 2022, a year-on-year increase of 52.8 percent. China is now Tesla's second-largest market, accounting for 24.8 percent of the company's revenue.

Also refuting the "investor flight" claim is official data, showing that foreign direct investment flowing into China rose by 25.6 percent to 379.87 billion yuan ($59.09 billion) year-on-year in the first quarter of this year.

A survey conducted by the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade on foreign companies' degree of satisfaction of China's policies shows that 86 percent of the surveyed enterprises were satisfied with China's foreign investment stabilization policy.

"There are also indeed political motives behind the spread of the ditching China theory, especially during the current Russia-Ukraine conflict," He Weiwen, former economic and commercial counselor at Chinese Consulate General in San Francisco and New York, and senior fellow of China and Globalization, told the Global Times on Sunday.

The US wants to take this opportunity to block China from the global supply chain, restructure the current global economy distribution and establish "small cliques" in the economic sector to curb China's rise, He said.

Support from the govt

The ferocious Omicron flare-up has indeed caused great challenges to foreign businesses in China since March, as Starbucks, Apple and other major US-listed companies have warned in quarterly earnings reports of the negative impact of current outbreaks to their businesses.

For instance, Starbucks said same-store sales in China fell by 23 percent in the quarter ending April 3 from the same quarter last year. That is far worse than the 0.2 percent increase analysts expected, according to FactSet.

But the coffeehouse chain said it still expected its China business to be bigger than the US in the long term.

Apple said the epidemic restrictions would likely hit sales in the current quarter by $4 billion to $8 billion - "substantially" more than in the last quarter. The other factor is ongoing chip shortages, CNBC reported, citing management as saying on an April 28 earnings call.

Chinese authorities, while fully aware of the situation, have been working on the situation over the past weeks. Foreign firms are also on the very first batch of lists with government support to encourage work resumption.

China's Ministry of Commerce (MOFCOM) said on April 21 that it will go all-out in further coordinating and solving difficulties, including transportation snags and production and operation resumption issues, that foreign-funded firms have encountered in China while ensuring effective epidemic control.

Specific efforts, including smoothing transportation channels, optimizing epidemic prevention and control measures, organizing and ensuring emergency and key supplies, have been carried out.

In a recent meeting between Commerce Minister Wang Wentao and foreign business representatives in China, issues on the supply chain disruption posed by the epidemic were also being addressed as part of the Chinese government's active response to foreign business concerns.

China's key role in supply chains, and its interconnected relations and labor distributions with other major economies in the world will be a source of attractiveness for foreign firms for a relatively longer time, He Weiwen said, noting that the attractiveness will not be fundamentally undermined by short-term disruptions.

Companies are also eyeing new opportunities such as the digital economy, which also represent a path to their future growth. Yu Feng, President of Honeywell China, told the Global Times on Sunday that the low-carbon and digital economy have brought it "broad prospects" for development.

But China's advantage still lies in manufacturing medium and low-end products, He Weiwen said, noting that China has to strengthen its role in high-end manufacturing as soon as possible, though there would be "extreme challenges before China can make it."
 

Nutrient

Junior Member
Registered Member
Some people here are constantly whining that China is taking an economic hit from the Shanghai lockdown. Of course there is a hit. Nothing comes for free.

The same people should compare China's performance against the West. These countries have mostly given up and allowed the virus to rip through their populations. Why don't the whiners mention how many have died in the West versus China? The whiners don't care, the dead don't matter to them?

Let the whiners also be honest enough to compare the Middle Kingdom's overall economic performance vs the West. I refer to real economic growth, not the kind of "growth" that one gets by inflating the currency.
 

Bellum_Romanum

Brigadier
Registered Member
Some people here are constantly whining that China is taking an economic hit from the Shanghai lockdown. Of course there is a hit. Nothing comes for free.

The same people should compare China's performance against the West. These countries have mostly given up and allowed the virus to rip through their populations. Why don't the whiners mention how many have died in the West versus China? The whiners don't care, the dead don't matter to them?

Let the whiners also be honest enough to compare the Middle Kingdom's overall economic performance vs the West. I refer to real economic growth, not the kind of "growth" that one gets by inflating the currency.
I have tried to make this point over and over again but some of us seems to either get carried away by the constant barrage of negative news either from traditional media, social media, social circle of friends and families in the west since most of us who comments on this forum live in the west. And in some respect some of us IMHO just want China to succeed so badly that any negative news gets us down.
 

Overbom

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China’s monthly imports of Russian products including energy hit a record high in April, with Beijing defying mounting Western pressure to distance itself from Moscow following its decision to invade Ukraine.
The value of imports from Russia – which has been hit by a barrage of sanctions by the United States and its allies – rose to a new high of US$8.89 billion in April, up 56.6 per cent from a year earlier and 13.3 per cent above March, according to South China Morning Post calculations based on data of the General Administration of Customs
Julian Evans-Pritchard, a senior China economist of Capital Economics, said the pick-up in value of Russian imports could largely be explained by higher energy prices
 

Equation

Lieutenant General
I have tried to make this point over and over again but some of us seems to either get carried away by the constant barrage of negative news either from traditional media, social media, social circle of friends and families in the west since most of us who comments on this forum live in the west. And in some respect, some of us IMHO just want China to succeed so badly that any negative news gets us down.
Rather the constant barrage of negative news about China ONLY affects the Asians and Chinese that's living in the West (like you said), but it doesn't affect the Chinese in China. They already know that the West is desperate and doing everything they can to stop China from rising. Western media doesn't care about what the Asians or Chinese living here in the west feels or thinks about their rhetoric, rather they think about the actual Chinese living in China, hoping that their words can push the Chinese people to overthrow their own government. Thankfully that's not happening. This anti-China rhetoric didn't come over night, rather a constant rising of China has caused them many consternations about their worldly status for decades.
 
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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
I am starting to believe that zero covid is about power,
Yeah, the power to stop COVID like China did once before.
and in that case we are witnessing attempts to overthrow Xi with such movements intended to incite people internally.
I haven't witnessed any. Post them so we can witness them together.
If Xi will wade into this policy, and lockdowns will be constantly appearing in different cities
And cause China's economy to grow a little slower whereas according to the opposite Western policy, the whole country will fall into recession with over 1 million deaths in a population 25% the size of China's.
like Hu Xijin said in recent commentary, then that's a last year of his standing as a general secretary of CPC,
Hu Xijin said that? Hu's about to disappear and become "who?" Unless you made it up.
or if he manage to take 3rd term he will be a paper president with no real power.
We don't do that in China; this kind of crap is played in the West and maybe Poland (I don't know; I don't follow developments of small unimportant countries, sorry).
 

gelgoog

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Foundation completed for Chinese SMR turbine building​

06 May 2022

...

The final concrete for the foundation slab was poured at 2.00am on 3 May, China National Nuclear Corporation (CNNC) announced. The construction period for the slab was 169 days and it was completed ten days ahead of schedule.

...

Construction of the multi-purpose 125 MWe pressurised water reactor (PWR) - also referred to as the Linglong One - officially started on 13 July 2021 following final approval for its construction being given by China's National Development and Reform Commission the previous month.

Once completed, the Changjiang ACP100 reactor will be capable of producing 1 billion kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, enough to meet the needs of 526,000 households. The reactor is designed for electricity production, heating, steam production or seawater desalination.

...

Under development since 2010, the ACP100 integrated PWR's preliminary design was completed in 2014. The major components of its primary coolant circuit are installed within the reactor pressure vessel. In 2016, the design became the first SMR to pass a safety review by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
 
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