Chinese Economics Thread

Philister

Philister

Junior Member
Registered Member
mossen said:
A much bigger reason for low births is insane housing costs. The price-to-income ratio in cities like Shanghai or Beijing make even London look cheap by comparison. Who is going to have kids if you can't afford big apartments and/or houses relatively easily?

Another issue is lack of religiosity. Religion drives fertility. For an atheist nation there are hard limits. Maybe China can get to Japan's 1.4 TFR from today's 1.1. The key issue should be to avoid rock-bottom TFR like South Korea's 0.8 TFR.
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Religion isn’t useful as people would normally expected, just look at Saudi( most devoted Muslim country?) or SK( currently one of the most Christian countries in the world) , once industrialized or partially industrialized or just being exposed to industrialized world, birth rate just drop like a waterfall, immigration could help, but not for long.
I get a feeling that whatever you do, once it dropped, it’s beyond save , about housing costs , which is far worse in China than in the US, but I don’t see Chinese immigrants living there having a significantly higher birth rate anyway .
 
Philister

Philister

Junior Member
Registered Member
dengyeye said:
There should absolutely be American 'experts' in the same vein as China 'experts', just to show westerners how ridiculous the likes of Gordan Chang, Peter Zeihan, etc are. Qualifications to apply:

1. Must have never visited America
2. Must get all your information on America from propaganda news channels
3. Must not know how to speak a lick of English
4. Must unsuccessfully predict the collapse of the American economy every year, for the past 30 years
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6.must be stupid enough to not hiring an interpreter but smart enough to master the google translate ( which makes it much worse)
 
T

tonyget

Senior Member
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Tam said:
A stronger Yuan means more expensive Chinese exports, which results in higher global inflation, which can boomerang right back at you.
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A weaken yuan，the increased cost of raw materials and energy input will eventually pass through to final products. So the exports price will still rise anyway.

Tesla just rise car price produced in ShangHai，citing cost of raw materials increased.

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