I didn't say anything about Russia holding US bonds. I said the US Financial institutions holding Russian sovereign bonds (attractive yield). These institutions are now banned from buying Russia's debt.
Its not like the only investors in the world are American! Russia has long ago insulated itself including having bypasses to SWIFT for its domestic inter-bank clearing
It has, but there are still plenty of sanctions thats can be applied to damage Russia even more.
I think you have a point here, but I still think that Russia would need to raise cash. (Who knows what the US and the EU will do to force Russia to spend more money)
Conjecture, as Putin pointed out the European Sanctions cost Russia 50 billion but the EU 100 billion! The Crazy Ivans can outlast the West in that war of attrition!
Before you go with an oil embargo Russia as the 2nd largest producer will just send prices through the roof and with pipelines and trains to China it won't be much of an embargo
Agreed that China will cover Russia's back. However it will still require something. Maybe help for Taiwan or allow more Chinese influence in Central Asia.
There is no way that Xi will not help Putin. But there is also no way that Russia will get free help. Maybe very generous help but China will require some geopolitical help somewhere.
If China doesn't request anything in return then I would truly believe that China and Russia are very very close to an alliance and they have an unprecedented trust between them, we will see
That's the kind of BS transactional diplomacy the US conducts, If its cash the Russians need China can buy Russian bonds or extend the oil and gas barter agreement they have in place. If its manufacturing capacity then for example they can pay them for licenses for AL-41, S-400 etc and build them using the licensing deal as the financial offset, there are plenty of Chinese SoEs to do it that are immune to US Sanctions because they do no business with the West unlike their private enterprise counterparts!
That's why going after Russia and China at the same time is just bonkers, they must have smoked too much of the weed they've been legalising!
China's already signed up all of Central Asia to the B+R and invested heavily in Uzbekistan to offset their BCI cotton embargo, it has no Geopolitical ambitions in Central Asia because they understand win-win and buffer states what's the point in antagonising Russia when what they are after is access routes and trade neither of which Russia has a problem with.
Maybe it doesn't, maybe it does, but Biden might also try to force Russia's hand. If they start talking about accepting Ukraine into NATO then Russia would have to invade. There is also the water crisis in Crimea. Complex stuff
Ukraine in NATO been there tried that didn't go anywhere because no one in Europe wants a real fight with the Russians and no the Russians don't need to invade as I said there's a proxy war in place the Ukrainian forces have not been able to take back eastern Ukraine, the only way they can is with foreign boots on the ground, that's not going to happen because 80,000 Russian troops with home court advantage on the border says so!