The things is there are nothing actual holding China back they are just slow with reusable rockets for some reason. I don't think China will catch up either to usa by 2030 usa is launching reusable rockets way faster while China is launching reusables 1 to 3 per year for something important as reusable rockets there seem to be no urgency to get up more and to get more spacesail satellite to compete with and rival starlink/starshield
You guys are talking as if it’s easy toaster reusable tech and even more important to scale it up . If it was that easy then don’t you think China or even Europe/Russia would have done the same ? In fact forget foreign countries , don’t you think even other US space companies who have tried(and failed so far) to to compete and keep up with space X in this sector like Blue origin/ ULA/ rocket lab etc would have done the same ?
I said a while ago, just because space X has made it look easy doesn’t mean you guys should underestimate the degree of technology and complexity needed to achieve this and most of all scale it up . It’s been over 10years and the only other company that has been able to achieve a successful rocket landing is blue origin, and they did it only very recently . The question now is can they even ever hope to match spacex in scale and payload? I doubt that.
I’m not even talking about starship (who has no equivalent in the world as everyone is far behind , maybe only along march 9 might try and be a match, but that’s in the future maybe a decade from now at best, and nothing is even guaranteed about it yet.
People tend to underestimate what musk has achieved with space X and blame other companies for lagging behind, which I don think it’s right. just because a student outperforms others in a sector doesn’t means the others are weak/stupid/slow per se.
Anway, China is not in a direct competition with the US or spaceX in space. China would have her own goals and objectives to achieve. . Granted they also learn from spacex success and adopt some of their practices (Leo constellation, reusable rockets , starship like rocket etc). So they don’t compete directly anyway, since China isn’t really open for global launch market due to US sanctions for decades now .