China's Space Program Thread II

ZachL111

Junior Member
Registered Member
Is that the target for this year?
I was thinking 100 will be a very good achievement
Yep, last year I too was of the same mindset, that 100 this year would be great, but as Tomboy said, they nearly hit it, and they ramped up launches in December. So I think most predictions have been somewhere in 120-140 range this year, that is my prediction as well.
 

TheRathalos

Junior Member
Registered Member
Yep, last year I too was of the same mindset, that 100 this year would be great, but as Tomboy said, they nearly hit it, and they ramped up launches in December. So I think most predictions have been somewhere in 120-140 range this year, that is my prediction as well.
CAS Space Founder and Chairman Yang Yiqiang said in february that 140 launches are expected this year.


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meedicx

Junior Member
Registered Member
Do we actually know the exact costs of 1-way Chinese commercial rockets sending satellites? People always assume Falcon-9 is cheaper since it's re-usable. However, I saw an interesting comment from the Kinetica-2 lead:

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Is the bottleneck less to do with the cost of rocket launch and more with other upstream supply chain issues like building enough satellites?
 

Tomboy

Captain
Registered Member
Do we actually know the exact costs of 1-way Chinese commercial rockets sending satellites? People always assume Falcon-9 is cheaper since it's re-usable. However, I saw an interesting comment from the Kinetica-2 lead:

View attachment 172668
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Is the bottleneck less to do with the cost of rocket launch and more with other upstream supply chain issues like building enough satellites?
Even if they can get launch costs lower than F9 (F9's margins are very high currently anyhow, AFAIK), the main bottleneck with unreuseable rockets is turnaround time. Being cheap doesn't matter if your production capacity is capped while reusable rockets can have turn around times as short as 1.5 to 2 weeks, possibly even lower as more advanced methane based rockets enter service.
 

sunnymaxi

Colonel
Registered Member
Qingzhou-1 cargo spacecraft.

Image
 
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