China's Space Program Thread II

by78

General
Ziwei has completed a series of tests of its B300-L cargo ship named Dier-3. The tests included electromagnetic compatibility test, payload separation test, etc. Dier-3 has now entered final assembly and launch preparation stage.

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A B300-L (Dier-3) at the assembly plant. The section in the image is the service module.

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by78

General
Construction has begun on another 40-meter-diameter radio telescope and associated facilities, which are located in the Changbai mountains. This telescope will also be used for China's deep space exploration program.

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The 40-meter-diameter antenna dish for the radio telescope has been installed at the new Changbai Mountains observatory, which along with a similar facility being built in Tibet, are a part of the critical infrastructure for future lunar missions and deep space exploration.

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ZachL111

New Member
Registered Member
Apologies if this has already been asked or covered here, but I haven't been able to find much on this. Based on current launch rates, how many launches are we going to see for 2024 across all platforms (smaller and larger, private and state-owned, etc) into orbit? The only really common reference number on the English web at least is 100, that comes from the Blue Book, so I am just wondering if there have been any estimates on this topic. Thanks!
 

escobar

Brigadier
Apologies if this has already been asked or covered here, but I haven't been able to find much on this. Based on current launch rates, how many launches are we going to see for 2024 across all platforms (smaller and larger, private and state-owned, etc) into orbit? The only really common reference number on the English web at least is 100, that comes from the Blue Book, so I am just wondering if there have been any estimates on this topic. Thanks!
2024 space plans include 100 launches but given the current launch cadence I would be surprised if it exceeded 70
 

ZachL111

New Member
Registered Member
2024 space plans include 100 launches but given the current launch cadence I would be surprised if it exceeded 70
Hmm, ok. In H1 of 2024, they had 30 launches, 29 successful, so (on top of the 8 launches that have happened since then this year) they will have to get 30 more from now till 12/31/2024 to hit a 70 launch target. It's certainly doable, China seems to average about 40-45 launches in H2 in 2022 and 2023, so combining that with the 30 launches from H1 of this year, it'll likely hit about 70-75.

I was certainly hopeful that they could somehow hit 100, but obviously highly doubtful like you mentioned.
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anzha

Captain
Registered Member
Some news, pop sci write ups in the West first:

Galactic Energy's launch:

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DRO's spacecraft reached their lunar retrograde orbit:

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The interesting proposal for Lunar communications by Chinese scientists & engineers:

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Deep Blue Aerospace secured more funding:

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Scientific papers:

Moon:

A moderate-Ti lunar mare soil simulant: IGG-01

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Mars:

Seasonal cap dynamics at the South Pole of Mars in the 36th Martian year, observed by Tianwen-1

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Technology dev:

Real-time fault-tolerant guidance for launch vehicle ascending flight under thrust drop failure

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Ignition and flow combustion characteristics of hydroxylammonium nitrate - based liquid propellant based on electric method

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Criteria for selection of point-ahead angle compensation strategy in intersatellite laser ranging interferometry of TianQin based on research of tilt-to-length coupling noise

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Path planning of 6-DOF free-floating space robotic manipulators using reinforcement learning

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Reinforcement learning-based multi-impulse rendezvous approach for satellite constellation reconfiguration

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Design and analysis of a novel deployable grasping manipulator for space object capture

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Orbit determination for spacecraft with continuous low-thrust using nonsingular Thrust-Fourier-Coefficients and filtering-through approach

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An ultra-compact mechanical interface universal design for orbital replacement unit

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The effect of projectile nose shape on the formation and expansion of impact-induced ejecta for sand target

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Chain tethered satellite formation reconfiguration: An event-triggered practical prescribed-time control approach

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WDICD: A novel simulated dataset and structure-aware framework for semantic segmentation of spacecraft component

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Lifetime experiment and analysis of an electrowetting ionic liquid electrospray thruster

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escobar

Brigadier
Another day, another launch. A KZ-11 rocket successfully launched four satellites into orbit. The satellites are Wuhan-1, an ultra-low-orbit experimental satellite, Tianyan-22, and Lingque-3 01.
The VLEO satellite has started its decent from an initial orbit altitude of ~531 km. CASIC Chutian-001 is the first of a planned constellation of 300 satellites. Note that on July 22, 2023, a satellite of a similar purpose, Qiankun-1, from C-SPACE was launched into an orbit at an altitude of 485 km; it is now at altitude of 166 km. CAST Shiyan-25 is also testing new earth observation technologies in a VLEO; launched at an altitude of 320km now at 285km.
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