Cooperation and competition
They will variously involve international collaboration, such as with Germany (MIT), Leicester University in the UK (EP) and American and European scientists on WCOM, and Wu notes these are still open to participation.
In 2011 Nasa was banned by US Congress from collaborating with China except in most circumstances, but China has developed working relationships with ESA and Russia’s Roscosmos and other institutions.
There remains the possibility that China’s space science budget will be increased for the next Five Year Plan period, which would allow one or perhaps two more exciting missions to be approved.
If this happens, candidates will include the X-ray Timing and Polarization (
) probe to test fundamental physical laws in extreme conditions, Search for Terrestrial Exo-Planets (
) to detect earth-like planets within 20 parsecs of our Sun, the Advanced Space-based Solar Observatory (ASO-S) to study solar eruptions and their origins, and a demanding Solar Polar ORbit Telescope (
) mission.
SPORT would need to be launched by the new, heavy-lift
rocket into an orbital plane outside that of the planets, via gravity assist from Jupiter.
These missions will not only involve cooperation, but will be complementing existing missions and ultimately will be competing against other countries and collaborations to make breakthroughs.
The elected missions will be developed during the 13th Five Year Plan period (2016-2020), and launched during the 14th (2021-2025).
National demand and public backing
Looking farther into the future there are outlines of ambitious missions to take China to 2030. These are divided into a series of programs focussing on Earth-like exoplanets, solar activity, black holes, astronomical spectra, celestial bodies and more.
Wu Ji says that beyond budget concerns, there is strong public backing for space science missions, so much so that contributing to human knowledge is actually a national demand.
“People are eager to see some breakthroughs, to say China has [made] a fundamental contribution to fundamental science. This is really a very hot field,” he says, noting that Chinese media and internet lit up with discussions of dark matter during the December launch of the Wukong probe.
Similarly, Nasa’s announcement of the discovery of flowing water on Mars last year sparked
to back efforts in space for exploration and discovery rather than just security and economic needs.
Shenzhou-11 and Tiangong-2
The NSSC is also involved in more immediate space projects. The Centre is a subcontractor for payload subsystems in all the Chinese manned missions, including the Shenzhou spacecraft and Tiangong space labs.
Wu says sensors developed for the
crewed mission and
, which will launch later this year and dock in orbit, have been delivered and are awaiting launch.
Above: Shenzhou-11 seen in February 2016 (CCTV/framegrab).
One instrument Wu’s centre have provided for Tiangong-2 is an ocean topography microwave sensor. “It can measure the topography of the oceans to a very high, precise accuracy, like a few centimetres, and which can be used for study of the Earth's gravity field, and also for El Nino, for example, or this kind of large-scale climate change issues.”
NSSC teams are also working on payloads for the unprecedented
to land on the far side of the Moon in late 2018, and China’s first independent mission to Mars, which involves an orbiter, lander and rover and could launch in
.
“If China is successful in landing Chang’e-4 on the far side of the Moon this will an enormously significant event in the history of space exploration and the exploration of the Moon,” says Ian Crawford, Professor of planetary science and astrobiology at Birkbeck University of London.
Above: The far side of the Moon, as seen by China's Chang'e-5-T1 test mission launched in 2014 (SASTIND)
Contributions to science
While it is early days for Chinese space science, it is looking very capable of making huge contributions.
China’s first ever dark matter probe, dubbed ‘Wukong’ or ‘Monkey King’, is now up and running in orbit after its
.
Dark matter, which makes up five times more mass in the universe than ‘normal’ matter, is one of the most fundamental questions for the physicists. While scientists have inferred its existence through gravity, it does not interact electromagnetically, meaning we can’t see it.
However, Wukong is designed to detect dark matter particles from the very high energy gamma-rays or cosmic rays they may produce when they decay or annihilate, as happens when normal matter and anti-matter collide.
, Professor in the Departments of Astronomy and Physics at Yale University, told gbtimes shortly after launch that China’s science establishment has managed to hone in on a cutting-edge problem with a cutting-edge instrument and also launch at the right time.
Just days before launch, the Large Hadron Collider at CERN detected a signal that could offer tantalising clues to these rays, well within the range of energy the Chinese probe can detect.
“What they have shown is they have a real nose for the problem at the frontier,” Professor Natarajan says, adding that, “everything is aligned for them to make a breakthrough discovery”.
Last month team scientists
the highly-sensitive instruments. “If the calibration goes well, the signs we seek will pop out from the data," said Chang Jin, DAMPE chief scientist and vice director of Purple Mountain Observatory.
The race to detect dark matter is heating up in space and on planet Earth, and China may or may not be able to claim the breakthrough, but it is starting to contribute to answering the fundamental riddles of the universe.
2016 and beyond
2016 will also see three more intriguing missions implemented by NSSC, fulfilling the Chinese Academy of Sciences’ (CAS) Strategic Priority Program which kicked off in 2011.
China is
the world’s first space mission focussing on quantum entanglement (QUESS) in July, the Hard X-ray Modulation Telescope (HXMT) to study black holes later in the year, and April should see the recoverable Shijian-10 space life sciences satellite sent into orbit.
“Now, we are at the beginning,” says Wu, adding that scientists believe the discovery, exploration and research aspects of space activity have to be considered by the Chinese government. “The investment is still very small, so we hope it can be growing in the future.”
“I hope everything will continue and in the future China will have more and more science programs as one part of Chinese space activity.”