China's SCS Strategy Thread

4Tran

New Member
Registered Member
Bro do you know the combat radius of this aircraft? 440km

The FA-50 has a combat radius of approximately 444 kilometers (239 nautical miles) when configured with a centerline fuel tank, two AIM-9s, and two AGM-65s. The single-seat variant of the FA-50, with a 300-gallon auxiliary fuel system, is expected to increase this radius by 20% to 30%,

Do you the distant from Puerto Princesa airbase to Kalayaan Island in the SCS? 520 km

The distance between Puerto Princesa City and Pag-asa Island is approximately 280 nautical miles (520 km), which is about 320 miles. This island, also known as Thitu Island, is located in the Spratly Islands in the South China Sea and is the administrative center of the Kalayaan municipality.

So when we do the math this aircraft is ideal for COIN operation NOT to patrol the SCS.
It feels like a signal to the US that Philippines isn't going to get involved in a fight with China unless they are attacked. South Korea is pretty much already ruled out, so that leaves just Japan as a potential belligerent ally for the US. While Japan won't say so publically, I think that they see the writing on the wall, and the US will be on their own if war breaks out.

Will CN use its levearge though to pressure Singapore?, but i doubt theyll pressure them tho...
Absolutely not. China's relationship with Singapore is pretty solid, and this nothing conference isn't worth it.
 

GulfLander

Major
Registered Member
Sagittarius Mines, Inc. (SMI), developer of the controversial $5.9 billion Tampakan copper-gold project, has hailed the appointment of its chairperson, lawyer Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro Jr., as Secretary of the Department of National Defense (DND).
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!

(He seem to be a mining company chairman? do they export to CN?)
 

GulfLander

Major
Registered Member
US Pressuring Vietnam to Downgrade Economic Ties With China: Report

Washington is driving a hard bargain in its ongoing trade and tariff negotiations with Hanoi.

(Lutnick seems to say same yhjng dutimg the questioning of Sen Kennedy?)

Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
...

Trump’s tariffs to squeeze Vietnam even if it lifts all duties on US goods: Lutnick
US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick said responding in kind to Hanoi would be a ‘terrible deal’
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
....

US, Vietnam to hold new round of trade talks by end of next week, Hanoi says
Please, Log in or Register to view URLs content!
....
 

GulfLander

Major
Registered Member
Ph def sec Teodoro seems to be spreading the "expansionist China" narrative accdg to the video title?
The Philippines’ Defence Minister has a warning for New Zealand of what he calls China’s desire for “world domination”, and he's urging Kiwis to take the threat seriously. It comes on the back of a new defence pact signed between our two nations. Senior Correspondent Lisette Reymer reports from Manila.
 

antiterror13

Brigadier
It feels like a signal to the US that Philippines isn't going to get involved in a fight with China unless they are attacked. South Korea is pretty much already ruled out, so that leaves just Japan as a potential belligerent ally for the US. While Japan won't say so publically, I think that they see the writing on the wall, and the US will be on their own if war breaks out.


Absolutely not. China's relationship with Singapore is pretty solid, and this nothing conference isn't worth it.
Even if the Philippine had wanted to get involved , what actually they can bring to the conflict, apart from talking ?

I doubt Japan would get involved directly (unless get attacked), remember Japan has been and will be forever close neighbour to giant China, whether they like it or not, while USA is thousands miles away and Japanese know that sooner or later the US will be eclipsed by China and gone from Asia. Japanese are not stupid, they just polite and not saying it openly

Current Philippine govt and officials are interesting and stupid, do they really think the US is ready to die for them?
 

4Tran

New Member
Registered Member
Even if the Philippine had wanted to get involved , what actually they can bring to the conflict, apart from talking ?

I doubt Japan would get involved directly (unless get attacked), remember Japan has been and will be forever close neighbour to giant China, whether they like it or not, while USA is thousands miles away and Japanese know that sooner or later the US will be eclipsed by China and gone from Asia. Japanese are not stupid, they just polite and not saying it openly

Current Philippine govt and officials are interesting and stupid, do they really think the US is ready to die for them?
Vietnam is a good example for what Japan can do because they seem to get the China dilemma the best. Vietnam is one of the countries that most aggressively opposes China in the South China Sea. And it makes sense if you think about it: Vietnam has fought wars against Japanese, French, and American occupation forces. But what country is Vietnam most afraid of? It's China. And that makes a lot of sense because after Vietnam's other enemies stop fighting, they leave but China is always right there. As a result, over the last 2000 years, China has occupied Vietnam for centuries and been at war for centuries.

But if China were to ever go to war against Taiwan, what is the likelihood that Vietnam would join the war against China? It's zero. The reason is quie simple: if China wins in such a scenario, they will be able to enact whatever retribution it wants against Vietnam, and there's nothing the latter can do about it, and no country will jump in to intervene. Even if Vietnam would be on the winning side, they're still screwed. Why? It's because China will still be there, and it will regain its strength eventually. It might take five years, or it might take thirty years, but it will get there. And when it does, it will be sure to make Vietnam's life miserable.

Japan is in pretty much the same situation as Vietnam. China seizing Taiwan will expose Japan's disputed territory but going to war would lead to much more dire consequences regardless of which side wins. This decision is all the easier to make as it becomes ever more clear that not only is it unlikely for the Americans to win in the Western Pacific, but their odds look worse and worse by the year.

The Filipino leadership isn't interested in any conflict with China. The Filipino military is anemic and would offer almost no combat value against China. Instead, they're motivated by two factors. The first is that as long as Philippines is aggresive against China, they get credit from the US and cash it in for monetary and other types of incentives. The other is that the Americans have some sort of leverage over Bongbong Marcos so he has to do their bidding. I don't think that this leverage is strong enough to force Philippines to become a belligerent though.
 
Top