China's SCS Strategy Thread

High minded ideals are all well and good, but what approach works also depend on the intended recipient.

The likes the France and the UK will just laugh at your moral high road and keep scoring cheap shots unless you stand up to them and make it clear that you are ready and willing to make them pay if they cross you.

Often you will find these weakening powers of yesteryear are only acting though because they didn’t expect you to push back, but as soon as their own interests are put on the line, they back off meek as you please.

China exists in the real world, and need to learn to play a little dirtier when dealing with the uglier realities of this world rather than keep being principled and take the moral high road all the time.

This particular issue inherently favors an international PR win by China if it addresses the issue directly rather than indirectly, I never said anything about China winning by not pushing back at all.
 

solarz

Brigadier
It's not necessary for China to be vindictive nor is it appropriate or effective for it to respond indirectly when it comes to this particular topic. There are many countries that have a similar position as China on the related subjects of sovereignty and security, as well as similar negative experiences with colonialism and gunboat diplomacy, so this is a rare topic where China is set to win from an international hearts and minds perspective as long as it can stand up for itself and speak up about it directly.

"International hearts and minds" is a myth created by western propaganda. To the West, "international" means countries that share their values.

In geopolitics, there is only national interest, and that is as it should be.
 

advill

Junior Member
It's quite desponding to hear of Trade Wars, and now the Security Issues in the South China Sea. I watched the Shangri-La Dialogue TV speeches by the American "Mad Dog" (that's his US Marine nick name I believe) Mattis "barking", & the "Fiery Dragon" Chinese PLA General rebuttal. US & China are 2 Major military/naval powers that really matters. What has happened to Diplomacy? As suggested by China in the response to Trade War with the US - "Can we meet half way" through sensible negotiations? Posturing, ferocious barking, awesome fire will only escalate problems in the South China Sea. Strength in numbers (ships) and weaponries will not help. Potential Alliances can also be made by both opposing sides. God forbid if there are any accidental or real encounters at sea. Time to be realistic as analyses by both sides have, and continue to be made. Respective National & Military Diplomacy by the parties concerned are expected by the people of our region to ensure Peace.
 
The facts speak for themselves, once again it is the Western colonial powers' self-serving aggression and interventionism that the rest of the world is supposed to cater to.

I so admire that China has not kowtowing to the West. It would probably be easier than taking a principled approach. Of course not saying everything China does is benevolent and without fault. At least there is a conscious effort to do so to deflect from the constant negative coverage.
 

james smith esq

Senior Member
Registered Member
Any truth to this? It is a FAUX news report.

China removes missile launchers from disputed island after row with US, images show
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China apparently removed surface-to-air missile systems from the contested islands in the South China Sea, new satellite images show. The initial move to place the weapons on the island,
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by Fox news, angered U.S. officials who immediately disinvited China from the Rim of the Pacific Exercises.

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New images show China apparently removed surface-to-air missile systems from the contested islands in the South China Sea. (ImageSat International )

Satellite images taken on May 20 showed two new launchers on the northern shore of the disputed island, next to a radar system, all covered by a camouflage net. But recent images taken on Sunday by
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show that the HQ-9 systems and the camouflage nets have been removed.

1528217262666.jpg

Satellite images taken on May 20 showed two new launchers on the northern shore of the disputed island, next to a radar system, all covered by a camouflage net. But recent images taken on Sunday by ImageSat International show that the HQ-9 systems and the camouflage nets have been removed. (ImageSat International )

It is unclear if this is a drill, or a reaction to the U.S. efforts to stop the Chinese militarization of the Island. U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis said the Trump administration's recent decision to disinvite China from a multinational naval exercise this summer was an "initial response" to Beijing's island activity. Mattis called the U.S. action a "relatively small consequence.” He said China could face more severe punishment in the future.

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The initial move to place the weapons on the island, first reported by Fox news, angered U.S. officials who immediately disinvited China from the Rim of the Pacific Exercises. (ImageSat International)

"Despite China's claims to the contrary, the placement of these weapons systems is tied directly to military use for the purposes of intimidation and coercion," Mattis said during a speech at the annual Shangri-La Dialogue. The Pentagon said the provocative move by China raised tensions in the region years after China’s president pledged not to militarize the disputed islands. "We have strong evidence that China has deployed anti-ship missiles, surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems, and electronic jammers to contested features in the Spratly Islands region of the South China Sea," Marine Lt. Col. Christopher Logan, a Pentagon spokesman.

"China's landing of bomber aircraft at Woody Island has also raised tensions."
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, said the bomber had landed on Woody Island, the largest of the Paracel Islands in South China Sea that is also claimed by Taiwan and by Vietnam.
 

manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Any truth to this? It is a FAUX news report.

China removes missile launchers from disputed island after row with US, images show
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Those are mobile SAM systems, basically trucks. The May 20th picture looks like they just got unloaded and were lined up on the beach and and now they could have been driven anywhere on the island including into sheltered structures. You don't leave mobile SAMS lined up out in the open in one area as they deploy. That the line-up area is empty is completely normal and expected as they scatter into the island on deployment.
 
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Hendrik_2000

Lieutenant General
Exactly exposing it to salty air will induce corrosion and tropical heat will play havoc with sensitive electronic So yeah they probably hidden in one of those missile garage
Why built a missile garage if you don't use it. BTW the garage has retractable roof
 
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manqiangrexue

Brigadier
Any truth to this? It is a FAUX news report.

China removes missile launchers from disputed island after row with US, images show
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This is just too stupid; I mean they saw 5 trucks get off-loaded onto an island and just because they're not in the original positions anymore after 10 days, they assume that these trucks had been sent back?? That's like seeing a package left on your neighbor's porch in the morning and when you don't see it anymore later that afternoon, you assume that means FedEx took it back!

After some searching, I'm seeing that this article, obviously written by someone who doesn't know how a mobile SAM is supposed to be deployed, is quite wide-spread, and with many Trump supporters in the comments cheering this as a win for Trump. So now, I can't help but wonder if this piece was written and spread purposefully to misdirect the American public in the face of recent criticism that the US has no effective strategy against China's activities in the SCS. China certainly won't step out to correct them on such an "error" and that's what they're counting on to give some PR points to Trump.
 
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Air Force Brat

Brigadier
Super Moderator
Indeed, while the bare faced hypocrisy of the western powers is nauseating (where are their much vaunted rules based world order when it came or Iraq, Libya, Syria etc?!), at the end of the day, beyond wasting their taxpayers’ money, what does these British and Fench publicity stunts do? If the mighty USN could not achieve anything meaningful with FON, what would a few under armed and over priced European ships add to make any meaningful difference to the tactical or strategic picture?

Although at a strategic level, Beijing should consider going out of its way to creating problems for the British and French when the opportunity next presents itself just to remind them that choices have consequences and costs for them as well.

Both would be especially vulnerable with all the Brexit stupidity going on.

Get the British and/or French to send a big trade delegation to come at the same time as their ships plan to do their FON. See how firm their convictions are then.

Man! I haven't had this much fun since Ronald Reagan occupied the White House! too bad we can't clone Mattis, and Pompeo!
Man I love it! The British and the French military are just as encouraged as I am to have Trump in the White House!

Ok, I gotta go turn down the radio, the "Honey Badger" is scowling! I don't think she likes "WHO LET THE DOGS OUT!"
 

advill

Junior Member
Those who have been preparing for hostilities use all forms of military strategies. Leaders/Politicians of all shades will initially gloat at their "successes" in making threats, & thinking their opponents would be afraid etc. They are usually happy to be cheered by their supporters and allies for their "bravery". A Chinese saying worth noting is "Pride goes before a fall; a haughty Army (my add on: Other Military Forces) will definitely lose in battle. Another good quote was by Winston Churchill: "If we open a quarrel between past and the present, we shall find that we have lost the future".
 
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