China's SCS Strategy Thread

[plawolf]

I'm not sure as to its authenticity, but it was said that after the last riot in which a few Chinese nationals were killed, China rushed through and passed a new law allowing the Chinese military to protect Chinese nationals in foreign lands.

Even if true, I think it would have largely been symbolic and more a warning rather than China looking for an excuse to start a fight.

I think at most, if things really got out of hand, the PLA would only go as far as to mount extraction and/or search and rescue operations to get its nationals or at least some key VIPs out of harms way unilaterally without explicit approval of the host nation.

However, the host nation would likely be informed and left in no doubt as to the nature of the missions and the consequences of any attempt to intercept or engage them.

That would be totally in line with international norms, and tbh, if things got so out of hand as to require the PLA to take such drastic action, many other foreign nations would be out mounting similar ops to get their own people out.

 

[tidalwave]

I were China I would call for immediate Unification of certain islands still holding by Taiwan for now (Taiwan island later) which belongs to China historically.

Namely , Taiping island in SCS, Pratas islands (Dongsa), Kinmoy, Masu islands. Certain People in Taiwan Say Taiwan is not part of China, But , those islands Taiwan holding are undoubtedly historically Chinese territories. Can't argue with that one,

 

[tidalwave]

Once China take back Taiping island, which is a natural formed island in SCS, then China would have a very strong voice in its claim in SCS.

China should negotiate with DPP of taiwan to return those islands immediately in exchange for Status Quo of Taiwan island itself.

 

[antiterror13]

China feels Vietnam is being disrespectful in its manner and words on protesting China flight to fiery cross and Vietnam's passing out notes to avation bodies of different countries to ask for condemnation of China 's action.

So, China decides to move its oil rig to drill again as punishment against Vietnam. Another riot on Vietnam to protest like in 2014? Let's wait and see.

In future, expect to see Oild rig a tool against Vietnam anytimes China feels it step over the line.

true ... but this time the oil price is going down, only $26-$30 ... not US$140 anymore ... so economically may not be feasible

 

[tidalwave]

true ... but this time the oil price is going down, only $26-$30 ... not US$140 anymore ... so economically may not be feasible

It may not do actual drilling but just to rub some sand into Vietnam's face. lol.

 

[GreenestGDP]

It is unwise for PRC to bully Vietnam, just because Vietnam is much weaker.
Let's think long term 300 years from now and about building the pieces for unifying 1B1R all the way from Indonesia to Russia, and UK.
Let's work Win-Win-Win with Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Burma, Cambodia, Malaysia, Brunei, Singapore, and Indonesia.

1st Project, in 2030 ... ...

Let's expand Eastward from Spratly and squeeze the Philippines out by taking Palawan and Coron and most importantly must JUSTLY SHARE 100% of the spoil with ( Vietnam, Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, Malaysia, Brunei, Singapore, and Indonesia ).

I think landlocked Laos, Brunei, and Singapore will love this project.


2nd Project, in 2040 ... ...

Let's help INDONESIA takes back their stolen islands ( Christmas and Papua New Guinea ) for free as a Goodwill gesture.

 

[tidalwave]

Vietnam is known for its nasty tenacity. Look at how 50k US soldiers killed. Bobbietraps and all.

They are the little bully in Indochina , by bullying Laos and Cambodia. Many cambodiàns felt the present day Saigon was once Khmer land , prey nokor. That's was long time ago, but still.

 

[delft]

Vietnam is known for its nasty tenacity. Look at how 50k US soldiers killed. Bobbietraps and all.

OT, just as Tidalwave's remarks.
Why shouldn't they fight until they have freed their country. Those 50k US soldiers and some 2 or 3 million Vietnamese wouldn't have been killed if there had been free and fair elections for a common president and government in 1956 as agreed at the Geneva conference of 1954.
The Netherlands fought eighty years, from 1568 to 1648.

 

[siegecrossbow]

Once China take back Taiping island, which is a natural formed island in SCS, then China would have a very strong voice in its claim in SCS.

China should negotiate with DPP of taiwan to return those islands immediately in exchange for Status Quo of Taiwan island itself.

I think Japan has a better chance of acquiring Taiping Island from the DPP than China.

 

[Blackstone]

I think Japan has a better chance of acquiring Taiping Island from the DPP than China.

Dream on. There is zero chance the even DDP leaders would give an inch of Chinese territory to the Japanese. Even if Tsai English-language's family were Japanese collaborators in WW2, she wouldn't for fear of being lynched by her consistuents.