China ICBM/SLBM, nuclear arms thread

[antiterror13]

More silos than missiles is a stupid strategy that no country ever used.

the USA planned to have 200+ hardened sheltered for "only" 50 MX ICBM. The U.S. deployed hundreds of silos for Minuteman ICBM, far more than needed for a one‑to‑one counterforce strike. The Soviets had to plan to hit every silo to be sure.

More silos is useful as it forces an adversary to waste far more warheads than you actually have missiles to protect. This is called a “shell game” basing strategy.

The logic; suppose you have 100 missiles but 300 silos. An adversary doesn’t know which silos are empty or decoys. To guarantee destroying your missiles, they must target every silo. That means they must spend at least 300 warheads (likely 3x 300) to eliminate 100 missiles. This multiplies the cost of a first strike and makes it irrational. It’s pure deterrence math.

USA, Soviet and now China were/are doing it for the same logic. Remember that China also have many mobile ICBM, IRBM. This silo is to make the calculation much more complicated and difficult

 

[Kalec]

China about to have three ICBM launch windows in the early morning of 10/25/2024.

A typical ICBM launch from Taiyuan or Jilantai, shame they don't continue to launch into the Pacific Ocean.

The launch notable comes with five NOTAM zones with three of them overlapping together and the impact point is Minfeng ICBM impact zone.

View attachment 137760

Notam data:

There will be an ICBM test on Dec 28 almost as the same to this one but with four drop zones instead of three.




NOTAM info:

A4778/25 NOTAMN Q) ZLHW/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3949N10526E012 A) ZLHW B) 2512280540 C) 2512280659 E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N395500E1054000-N400000E1052600-N394000E1052700-N394500E1054000, BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL. AIRCRAFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE AREA. F) SFC G) UNL

A4779/25 NOTAMN Q) ZLHW/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3944N10113E030 A) ZLHW B) 2512280540 C) 2512280659 E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N395900E1014800-N395700E1003800-N393000E1003900-N393200E1014900, BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL. AIRCRAFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE AREA. F) SFC G) UNL

A4780/25 NOTAMN Q) ZLHW/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3910N09339E031 A) ZLHW B) 2512280540 C) 2512280659 E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N392700E0941200-N392000E0930100-N385300E0930600-N390000E0941700, BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL. AIRCRAFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE AREA. F) SFC G) UNL

A4781/25 NOTAMN Q) ZWUQ/QRDCA/IV/BO/W/000/999/3834N08748E015 A) ZWUQ B) 2512280540 C) 2512280659 E) A TEMPORARY DANGER AREA ESTABLISHED BOUNDED BY: N383300E0880700-N384700E0873900-N383700E0872900-N382100E0875300, BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS:SFC-UNL. AIRCRAFT ARE FORBIDDEN TO FLY INTO THE AREA. F) SFC G) UNL

 

[ACuriousPLAFan]

Cross-posted from the PLAAF News Thread.

The PLARF guys could just cover the TEL with the China Post camo/tarps, and we the public wouldn't know any better.

Case-and-point from a few days ago, but with a different camo (and they even added a crane lift hook for realism lmao):

 

[magmunta]

Here is a video of this disguised launcher.

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[RoastGooseHKer]

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China expands nuclear warhead manufacturing capacity, research finds​

Satellite images suggest China is growing the sites where it makes warheads, while also preparing to retaliate faster — signs of its nuclear ambitions.