Surprisingly even in Jiangnan there is water stress.
There's a reason Sichuan and especially Chengdu has had absolutely ridiculous growth rates recently. It has both high population and high water resources per capita.
China demographics thread.
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There's a reason Sichuan and especially Chengdu has had absolutely ridiculous growth rates recently. It has both high population and high water resources per capita.
Somehow this missed me, apparently China's TFR is already down to 1.09 in 2022! And some sources saying that it is down to 1.02 in 2023!!!!
For context, South Korea crossed TFR of 1 in 2018. With this trend, China may cross TFR of 1 in a few years. Just 6-7 years behind, and the pace of decline is much faster than Korea, at a wealth level significantly lower than Koreas.
People are taking this too lightly. It's not like you can wake up one day and suddenly fix this, the later you start the harder it gets, because the number of child bearing women also decrease dramatically. In my opinion this is THE biggest long term challenge for China.
For context, South Korea crossed TFR of 1 in 2018. With this trend, China may cross TFR of 1 in a few years. Just 6-7 years behind, and the pace of decline is much faster than Korea, at a wealth level significantly lower than Koreas.
People are taking this too lightly. It's not like you can wake up one day and suddenly fix this, the later you start the harder it gets, because the number of child bearing women also decrease dramatically. In my opinion this is THE biggest long term challenge for China.
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Do Russia willing to accept them when there are already increasing percentage of Mongolian group (like tuvan and other groups) inside Russia?
Also I don't think Russia gonna doing well economically after Ukraine war no matter how the outcome.
Russian economy is growing and they are OK with cheap labor.
What do you think the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps do all day? What do you think the PLAN soldiers on SCS islands do, sit around and watch the radar screen? China has a tuntian (tunkun) policy since the Western Zhou dynasty almost 3000 years ago. Unlike many other countries, China wasn't magically gifted 1.4 million km2 of arable land. The Chinese toiled for many generations to build China into the land it is today. Mountains, deserts, swamps, rivers, oceans were all no match for Chinese ingenuity and hard work. It's a joke that you think the Chinese people with 21st century technology can't turn Outer Mongolia into the green steppe again.
Unlike other barbaric/nomadic/colonial cultures, the Chinese mentality isn't just to exploit the resources of their homeland, the Chinese people have long attachment to the land and actually put in the effort to improve it. 绿水青山就是金山银山 isn't just Xi's political slogan, it is one of CPC's guiding principle and it reflects the agrarian based Chinese culture.
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This is already changing with the recent events involving Russia. The illusion of Russia being this ultra-badass warrior state is gone and their declining power is clear to see, while China's quality of life and power is just getting clearer and clearer. Turns out that Russia was borrowing alot of their power and prestige from the soviet union. Not to mention Russia current sabre rattling towards central Asia and throwing their rural poor central Asian men into the War.
If Mongolia was a part of Russia, a lot of their men would be in the frontlines today. Yeah 10 years ago Mongolians would have clearly preferred to join Russia, but today it's changing and 10 years from now... who's to say how Russia would look like and if Putin and his inner circle of soviet boomers would stop trying to recreate the soviet union by invading former soviet states.
In most models of climate change, rainfall actually increases in northern China. This might not be a good thing however, since a lot of that could be in brief period of heavy rainfall that could easily cause flooding. And of course, take this kind of climate modelling with a large grain of salt, different models produce different results depending on what parameters you input and they're not 100% accurate.
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If the cost of renewable energy generation continues to decrease at the same pace as we've seen in recent years, large scale desalination of sea water will soon be economically viable.
FriedRiceNSpice
Captain
Water can be diverted (as already being done on a massive scale to North China) but water cannot be created. China as a whole has a water shortage. Areas in the northern part of China proper lack water. To divert water to Mongolia would mean increasing the water stress on other far more important regions. Just because it can be done does not mean it should be done. What benefit does a green Mongolia bring? Even if affordable seawater desalination comes online in the near future, it is still not going to be a worthwhile expenditure of resources to greenify Mongolia. And extracting resources has nothing to do with mentality towards exploitation. China has a massive demand for natural resources, and resources are being extracted all over China. If there are minerals that are needed by Chinese industry in Mongolia, why not extract it? What would make Mongolia special in relation to other regions of China that would make it worthy of being greenified and its mineral wealth preserved and left in the ground? There are barely anyone living there.
It's already economical. Israel employs desalination at massive scale and the cost is minimal, especially for household uses. If we have nuclear fusion ready, you can literally just boil water, and transport 100% pure H20 via pipelines to anywhere on Earth.
The Malthusians were wrong, are wrong, and will be wrong. Human ingenuity has always beaten any resource constraints to human expansion.