To be clear, I am not suggesting a nuclear strike against and quite the reverse I was suggesting that nuclear could not be won and won't be used from the beginning.
I think the current "showdown" is very related to the strategic nuclear weapon right now.
Dudes are simulating hundreds of scenarios about US - China fighting in westpac in their head, but unfortunately It will never actually happen. Just as the Ukraine war, US will never directly intervene as long as nuclear weapons concerned.
However, the nuclear weapon demonstrates a resolve, about whether one is willing to launch a military operation at their cost.
Nuclear war doesn't exist but nuclear coercion did exist. Mark my word, China will never go all-out in Taiwan before achieving MAD with US, a.k.a free from US military coercion.
Ukraine is a relatively small country with no nuclear weapon compared to Russia, but it never cedes Donbas from their sovereignty. Whether one supports Ukraine or not, the answer is so clear that no country will ever tolerate a formal independence of their territory.