Multiple Chinese ballistic missile firing?
Rocket forces or Chinese missile manufacturers could conduct several ballistic missile shots in the past two days in the usual western areas of China.
The series starts with two first launches that took place this Wednesday August 23 in the morning, first from 02:09 to 02:30 UTC, and then about an hour later from 03:19 to 04:00.
It is also noted that these two shots share the same fallout zone, which is 80 × 40 km, smaller than the previous DF-31 and DF-41 missile tests, for example.
This area also joins the Taiyuan Space Launch Center (TSLC) on the same line of sight and direction, suggesting that the missiles would be launched from this location where a good part of the Chinese ballistic missile tests since now 50 years.
But if the two missiles, probably of the same model, have exactly the same fallout zone, the second shot will benefit from a forbidden overflight segment that diagonally crosses the zone.
A2506 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QRTCA / IV / BO / W / 000/999 / 3958N10514E024
A) ZLHW B) 1708230209 C) 1708230400
D) 0209-0230, 0319-0400
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED bounded BY:
N401204E1044922- N400419E1054447-N394305E1053937-N395047E1044429
BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
A
) (A) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E /
000/999 / A) ZLHW B) 1708230310 C) 1708230340
E) THE YABRAI SEGMENT VOR'YBL'-DENGKOU VOR'DKO 'OF ATS RTE A596
CLSD.
The fall zone and the aerial segment are prohibited from overflying (Image: East Pendulum)
The ballistic missile could have been launched from the TSLC center in the direction of Korla (Image: East Pendulum)
Note that a third shot could have had the same day in the afternoon - indeed, another message to air navigators (NOTAM) was also published, prohibiting any overflight over a single aerial segment.
The latter appears to be on the flight path of another ballistic missile, but this remains to be confirmed.
A third possible shot on 23 August 2017 (Image: East Pendulum)
Two other ballistic missile launches would also be scheduled the next day, on Thursday, August 24, in the southeast of the Taklamakan desert if one believes in the contents of the three NOTAMs concerned.
The first would take place between 02:10 and 03:50 UTC in a 900 km long zone. It could involve one of the units of base No. 56 of the Chinese rocket forces based in the vicinity.
A2528 / 17
Q) ZWUQ / QARLT / IV / NBO / E / 000/999 /
A) ZWUQ B) 1708240210 C) 1708240340
E) SEGMENTS OF THE FLW ATS RTE CLSD:
1.L888: SADAN-NOLEP
2.Y1: SADAN -MAGOD
3.W112: QIEMO VOR 'QIM'-ADMUX
4.W187: SADAN-OBDEG
F) FL000 G) FL999
A2522 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E / 000/999 /
A) ZLHW B) 1708240215 C) 1708240350
E) SEGMENTS OF THE FLW ATS RTE CLSD:
1.Y1: LUSMA-MAGOD
2.W112: TUSLI -ADMUX
3.W192: TUSLI-DUMIN
The no-fly zone in the first launch of ballistic missile on 24 August (Image: East Pendulum)
When the second hypothetical shot, it is indicated by the presence of a forbidden segment of flight, active between 04:40 and 05:40 UTC. However, it is unclear whether this is actually a shorter-range ballistic missile or other type of activity.
A2525 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E /
000/999 / A) ZLHW B) 1708240440 C) 1708240540
E) THE TUSLI - VIKUP OF ATS SEGMENT RTE W112 CLSD.
The closed air segment that could signal the second launch of ballistic missile on August 24 (Image: East Pendulum)
To be continued.
Henri K.
Rocket forces or Chinese missile manufacturers could conduct several ballistic missile shots in the past two days in the usual western areas of China.
The series starts with two first launches that took place this Wednesday August 23 in the morning, first from 02:09 to 02:30 UTC, and then about an hour later from 03:19 to 04:00.
It is also noted that these two shots share the same fallout zone, which is 80 × 40 km, smaller than the previous DF-31 and DF-41 missile tests, for example.
This area also joins the Taiyuan Space Launch Center (TSLC) on the same line of sight and direction, suggesting that the missiles would be launched from this location where a good part of the Chinese ballistic missile tests since now 50 years.
But if the two missiles, probably of the same model, have exactly the same fallout zone, the second shot will benefit from a forbidden overflight segment that diagonally crosses the zone.
A2506 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QRTCA / IV / BO / W / 000/999 / 3958N10514E024
A) ZLHW B) 1708230209 C) 1708230400
D) 0209-0230, 0319-0400
E) A TEMPORARY RESTRICTED AREA ESTABLISHED bounded BY:
N401204E1044922- N400419E1054447-N394305E1053937-N395047E1044429
BACK TO START.VERTICAL LIMITS: GND-UNL.
F) GND G) UNL
A
) (A) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E /
000/999 / A) ZLHW B) 1708230310 C) 1708230340
E) THE YABRAI SEGMENT VOR'YBL'-DENGKOU VOR'DKO 'OF ATS RTE A596
CLSD.
The ballistic missile could have been launched from the TSLC center in the direction of Korla (Image: East Pendulum)
Note that a third shot could have had the same day in the afternoon - indeed, another message to air navigators (NOTAM) was also published, prohibiting any overflight over a single aerial segment.
The latter appears to be on the flight path of another ballistic missile, but this remains to be confirmed.
A third possible shot on 23 August 2017 (Image: East Pendulum)
Two other ballistic missile launches would also be scheduled the next day, on Thursday, August 24, in the southeast of the Taklamakan desert if one believes in the contents of the three NOTAMs concerned.
The first would take place between 02:10 and 03:50 UTC in a 900 km long zone. It could involve one of the units of base No. 56 of the Chinese rocket forces based in the vicinity.
A2528 / 17
Q) ZWUQ / QARLT / IV / NBO / E / 000/999 /
A) ZWUQ B) 1708240210 C) 1708240340
E) SEGMENTS OF THE FLW ATS RTE CLSD:
1.L888: SADAN-NOLEP
2.Y1: SADAN -MAGOD
3.W112: QIEMO VOR 'QIM'-ADMUX
4.W187: SADAN-OBDEG
F) FL000 G) FL999
A2522 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E / 000/999 /
A) ZLHW B) 1708240215 C) 1708240350
E) SEGMENTS OF THE FLW ATS RTE CLSD:
1.Y1: LUSMA-MAGOD
2.W112: TUSLI -ADMUX
3.W192: TUSLI-DUMIN
The no-fly zone in the first launch of ballistic missile on 24 August (Image: East Pendulum)
When the second hypothetical shot, it is indicated by the presence of a forbidden segment of flight, active between 04:40 and 05:40 UTC. However, it is unclear whether this is actually a shorter-range ballistic missile or other type of activity.
A2525 / 17
Q) ZLHW / QARLC / IV / NBO / E /
000/999 / A) ZLHW B) 1708240440 C) 1708240540
E) THE TUSLI - VIKUP OF ATS SEGMENT RTE W112 CLSD.
The closed air segment that could signal the second launch of ballistic missile on August 24 (Image: East Pendulum)
To be continued.
Henri K.