Australia's chaotic submarine procurement plans mean that the existing
Collins-class boats will have to go through a major overhaul and refurbishment process to extend their service lives for another decade while we await the nuclear promised land. The Albanese government has now been advised that the planned
Collins life-extension program is "high risk" and that it is unclear if we have the necessary expertise to conduct it:
Nonetheless, the government has confirmed that it is going ahead with the LOTE program because it is the only way of avoiding a significant capability gap as the
Collins-class boats would otherwise retire before the nuclear-powered boats come online. The
pièce de résistance of this situation is that even if everything goes to plan, the life-extension program still implies a diminution in our near-term capabilities as each boat is taken out of the water for up to two years. That is to say, despite all the rhetoric, in the real world, as with surface combatants, our submarine capability is actually going backwards. It's a truly remarkable display of ongoing incompetence.