China does not need a single engined gen 5 fighter jet, this aircraft is the wish of other countries that cannot afford to buy and operate the expensive twin engine 5th gen fighter.
The reason being
1) complication of logistic management and human resource management for having 3 types of 5th gen fighters
2) why develop a new 5th gen fighter for PLAAF when 6th gen fighters are in development stage? Won't this take away development fund for 6th gen?
3) local point air defence belonged to the era of short range J6 and J7 fighters, today's air defence emphasis is on 1st and 2nd island chains.
The real question is will China develop a new single engined 5th gen fighter for export purposes, just like JF-17 Thunder. Will there be enough export sales order to justify the development costs? Remember the sales failure of F-20 Tiger Shark?
Who is to say that the design needs to be 5th gen? It could be 5.5 gen or 6th gen even if they want to.
They already have existing airframe designs they can consider like the US McDonnell Douglas X-36 or Boeing Bird of Prey demonstrators.
Both of those airframes reduce radar cross section further by not having vertical surfaces on the tail. I suspect whatever airframe they come up with for NGAD or F/A-XX will also dispense with vertical surfaces.
So, basically a new airframe design without vertical surfaces, powered by a single WS-15 engine, with stealth nozzle, optionally manned.
I honestly think some sort of drone could 'replace' the J10, or at the very least, kind of take on the role of a single jet engine fighter.
It would be a very high tech, expensive drone (that would need something like a WS15), but still a drone.
I think I'll go all-at-once, easier that way.
To clarify, if there is the need and incentive to develop and build one, China certainly can come up with a single-engine fighter model, which certainly isn't limited to 5th-gen only. Of course, 5.5th-gen or even 6th-gen is possible.
However, as
@lcloo had explained, it doesn't make much sense for China to procure proper single-engine fighters to be used as the main fighting assets for the PLAAF and PLANAF in war, whether the fighter is a 5th-, 5.5th- or 6th-gen.
This is also considering the significant upgrades and advances expected to be present on 5th-, 5.5th- and 6th-gen fighters into the future, which are only getting ever power-hungry-IER than before - And here, I strongly believe that having only one engine may no longer be sufficient at providing enough power to keep all those computer systems onboard running (just look at the ongoing debacle with the F-35's engines).
Besides, all conceptual illustrations of 6th-gen fighters that have been published around the globe right now (NGAD, F/A-XX, GCAP, FCAS, PAK-DP, LDJ-XX (China's 6th-gen, notional designation), etc) shows twin-engine designs. Therefore, I believe that twin-engine designs are going to be the mainstream for proper fighter jets in the future.
But, just slid in some food-for-thought deviation.
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After some thoughts, I believe that China could pick either one of the two options that I could think of in order to develop a single-engine 5/5.5/6th-gen fighter:
#1 - A true-purpose single-engine light fighter (e.g. Su-75).
This light fighter would be fully equipped with advanced features typically found on other 5th-gen fighters and future 6th-gen fighters. Therefore, this light fighter will the more capable of the two options.
But, as I have mentioned above - Although the benefits brought by the single-engine 5/5.5/6th-gen fighter is commendable, yet since China has no need for single-engine 5/5.5/6th-gen fighters, hence this light fighter would only be viable for the export market.
This brings alongside some caveats associated with the developmental and sale of the fighter itself:
- The developmental project would have to be funded by the company(ies) responsible for the development of the fighter, as the Chinese government is unlikely to help funding something that isn't expected to see usage by the PLA;
- The price tag of the fighter would be comparably higher than the below option (though still lower than proper twin-engine fighter jets), hence the marketability of the fighter to overseas customers could be rather limited (though still not as limited as trying to market proper twin-engine fighter jets); and/or
- The risks whereby the profit earned from the sales of the fighter being unable to cover the relatively higher developmental cost of the fighter (hence incurring significant losses for the company(ies)) is much higher, etc.
#2 - A dual-purpose single-engine jet trainer-cum-light fighter (e.g. JL-8 and T-7).
This jet trainer/light fighter would only be equipped with some of the advanced features typically found on other 5th-gen fighters and future 6th-gen fighters. Conversely, this jet trainer/light-fighter would be equipped with all, yet reduced to a certain degree of advanced features typically found on other 5th-gen fighters and future 6th-gen fighters. Therefore, this jet trainer/light fighter will the less capable of the two options.
Despite the caveats, however, there are several benefits associated with this approach:
- The versatility of the fighter's role means that there is still likely to have markets in China, i.e. becoming advanced jet trainers for PLAAF and PLANAF cadets (complementing or replacing JL-10s) to undergo 3rd-stage (advanced) fighter pilot training, before graduating onwards to fly proper 5th and 6th-gen fighters;
- The developmental project might be able to receive funding from the Chinese government;
- The comparably cheaper price tag than the above option could open the marketability of the fighter to greater number of foreign customers with shallower pockets; and
- Cheaper developmental costs means lower risks of incurring loss from the sale of the fighter (or conversely, higher chances of earning profits) for the company involved in the fighter's developmental project, etc.
So, it depends on which option is the preferable choice for China. (Personally, the 2nd choice is more attractive for me. But, eh.)
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Bringing back the discourse on whether China needs a single-engine 5/5.5/6th-gen fighter at all -
@Michaelsinodef's idea is actually better, IMO. Similarly,
@99PLAAFBalloons and
@Blitzo have also discussed on this topic, so I won't dive any deeper.
Tl; dr - If China intends on developing a single-engine 5/5.5/6th-gen fighter for active service by the PLAAF and PLANAF, might as well for her to develop loyal wingman-type UCAV fighters based around that premise instead.
As an addition - With the growing capabilities of 6th-gen fighters and wingman-type UCAV fighters (and thus, their dimensions and weights), it will only be a matter of time before
loyal wingman-type UCAVs become as large and as heavy as the medium-weight, medium-size fighters of today*.
*Regarding the
bolded sentence: Of course, this also applies to other types of large UCAVs that are non-fighters (e.g. bombers, tankers, AEW&C, ASW ELINT, SIGINT, EW, ECM etc). But this is going beyond the current scope of discussion, so I'll stop here.