btw I don't say this just farcically.
Erik Brynjolfsson of Stanford University has said that he expects ai “to power a productivity boom in the coming years”.
For such an economic transformation to take place, companies need to spend big on new software, communications, factories and equipment, enabling ai to slot into their production processes. An investment boom was necessary to allow previous technological breakthroughs, such as or the personal computer, to spread across the economy. From 1992 to 1999 American nonresidential investment jumped by 3% of gdp, for instance, driven in large part by extra spending on computer technologies.
Yet so far there is little sign of an ai splurge. Across the world, capital expenditure by businesses (or “capex”) is remarkably weak.
Surely, with all the excitement about generative ai’s potential, spending on information technologies is at least soaring? Not quite. In the third quarter of 2023 American firms’ investment in “information-processing equipment and software” fell by 0.4% year on year.