The person responsible for developing reasoning models at OpenAI. Huge implications
First it was impossible, now it's cost-effectiveness. Next year should be equal cost
I have to once again recite the PSA that artificial neural networks trained by backpropagation do not reason. It doesn't matter how impressive these test results are, these are fundamentally pattern matchers, not reasoning systems. They're a lot closer to autocomplete than they are to intelligence.The person responsible for developing reasoning models at OpenAI. Huge implications
It's still impossible...First it was impossible, now it's cost-effectiveness. Next year should be equal cost
Good thing Huawei slogan is Make It PossibleIt's still impossible...
If you need a mini nuclear reactor to incompletely mimic basic reasoning, you're not creating real intelligence.
Open AI isnt training new models, o3 is just a larger o1 with more inference time compute thrown into itNone of the models have a score of 100. The parameter is a test hard for AI but easy for humans. Since these tests still exist, it means it is closer to impossible so far. Only once 100% is reached do we even start talking true cost effectiveness.
Software also isn't like physical production. A fab that puts $1B into a failed 5 nm pilot plant can reuse the tools for a known 7 nm process with only depreciation loss. At worst the losses can be recouped by liquidating the assets. Spend $1B on training a model that's shit or unprofitable, that money is gone.
I mean this really looks to me like early steam age guys trying to make a robot God with a steam engine and mechanical computer brain rather than build a train.
thats the very definition of hitting a scaling wall.... something new is needed to get to ASIIt's still impossible...
If you need a mini nuclear reactor to incompletely mimic basic reasoning, you're not creating real intelligence.
Non-compete agreements should imo be made illegal, but yeah a shame to see this specific poaching. I like Alibaba's approach on AIIt is reported that ByteDance poached the technical director of Alibaba Tongyi Model with an 8-digit annual salary. Alibaba has previously applied for arbitration on the non-compete agreement