If inflation really is cooling, and this isn't just more fake shit, then it's because employment is getting hammered and demand is hurting across the board.
The problem is how to cut interest rates without causing inflation, especially in food prices, and now with tariffs.
FED planners don't really care much about a recession, as much as they do about stagflation or even inflation that could turn into hyperinflation. They'd rather receive their enormous pensions and not have their purchasing power annihilated by their reckless economic/monetary policies.
The American economy is in trouble.
Low emergency savings: 24% of Americans have no emergency savings; 59% unable to cover US$1,000 in 2025
Unemployment Rise: The rate rose to 4.2% in July 2025, the highest since October 2021, with the number of unemployed increasing by 221,000
Low Job Creation: Only 73,000 jobs were added in July 2025, with downward revisions from 258,000 in previous months
Credit Card Debt: Total reached US$1.21 trillion in Q2 2025, with 6.93% of balances delinquent
Car Loan Delinquency: The 90+ day rate reached 5.0% in Q1 2025, above the historical average
Debt-Committed Income: Payments consumed 11.25% of disposable income in Q1 2025
Food Inflation: Prices rose 3% in the 12 months to June 2025, putting pressure on items such as meat and eggs.
Decline in Real Estate Sales: Sales fell 2.7% in June 2025, to 3.93 million annually, the lowest level in nine months.
Increase in Foreclosures: Grew 7% in the first half of 2025, totaling 140,006 properties.
Increase in Bankruptcies: Total bankruptcies rose 11.5% in the 12 months to June 2025, with an acceleration in commercial and individual bankruptcies.
Unrealized Bank Losses on Government Securities: Losses totaled US$413 billion in Q1 2025, representing approximately 8.6% of face value. In a rush to withdraw, forced sales could lead to bank insolvencies and failures.
National Debt and Interest Costs: Total debt reached US$36.2 trillion in June 2025, with interest costs projected at US$952 billion for the year, exceeding 3.2% of GDP.