Youre being way overdramatic.
2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis
- Thread starter plawolf
- Start date
Lebanon was supposed to be part of the ceasefire but they are getting destroyed and now they’ve been abandoned.
Now many people are angry at China because they think China capitulated to Trump’s threats and pressured Iran to negotiate.
Why is China giving the US an out from its quagmire?
Abandoned? Iran just said they will attack Israel till they regret. The ceasefire was so short that it is almost same timeframe between iranian salvo to israel.
China is partially involved, not fully, as is appropriate. There are two considerations:
- China & US are competitors, is the US going to humiliate itself by surrendering to China?
- US is not directly attacking China, does China need to show its hand more than it just did?
Lebanon will be made part, eventually, this depends on how and when Israel can be stopped. They obviously want to spoil things, and might succeed for a little bit. But, the overall situation will not change. In fact, the longer this drags, both Iran & US risk losing.
Remember, when two fight, it's not necessary for there to be a winner and a loser. someone can win.
At the end of 2024, Iran & to some extent Russia suffered a strategic defeat in Syria. It looks like the US & to some extent Israel are heading the same way.
"I am personally on the American and Israeli side. So, Iranian defeat is ok with me."
Wow, quelle surprise.
Pakistan is the only possible and trustworthy mediator right now. Who in Europe is credible to the Iranians? Pakistan has China and Turkey supporting it, and can bring at least part of the GCC along since the Saudi defense pact.
Trump and Nentayahu trying to get 45 days "ceasefire" windows for restocking ammunition. Firing tomahawks, jdam, also navy ships do need re-armament since they are out at sea. Also land interceptors.....They couldn't get that, Pakistanis tried 14 days, maybe they are idiots and Trump take it.....it's a breather for restocking. When you look at Vietnam war, Afghanistan war....there's no such thing as ceasefire...you fight until the Invaders runs away tail between your legs. Bombs still falling in Saigon when US runs away and causing large migration of Southern Vietnamese Refugees.....similar thing happens in Kabul airport
Do you all understand ramifications of US backing down in this fight. The lost of petrodollar, the lost of control of middle east, the lost of control American imperial nail inside Eurasian mass from World Theory. No, American power wants to give this up easily, not Trump. So keep on fighting, that little Cuba of Israel is doing everything it can to keep Americans in the skin.
The World Island: This combines Eurasia and Africa. The core argument is: "Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland; Who rules the Heartland commands the World Island; Who rules the World Island commands the world".
The World Island: This combines Eurasia and Africa. The core argument is: "Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland; Who rules the Heartland commands the World Island; Who rules the World Island commands the world".
both China and the Soviet Union supported Vietnam, where the US had over 500,000 troops by the middle of the war. Same on a much smaller scale with the Afghans, where Pakistan supported an insurgency, and the US had troops all over the place.
Iran is not like that. The US is mainly sticking to the air and some raids. There is no massive ground invasion yet. Iran also gets to restock and breathe. This mostly looks like a slow decline of the US, not a decisive defeat.
The US might crumble if they go with a ground invasion, since that invites everyone, from China & Russia all the way to Afghan tribal militias to support Iran.
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I don't bout Israel because they are sucking the hell out of the tits of the US, I mean, Is not milk that is coming out anymore, is blood.
But the US is going to bleed themselves in that conflict if this continue for too long. The options they have are going from bad to worse to suicidal.