How are they exactly finished for a deal that didn't last 24h and in which they didn't really stop hammering the Emiratis exactly and what could the israelis have achieved other than more terror bombing of Lebanon?
2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis
- Thread starter plawolf
- Start date
Imagine a country Israel, not even half of Cuba size, wants to dictate events on the middle east. Their grip broken when US bases was taken out from GCCs overnight....
They have nukes, nobody want to bring them to the final countdown... or corner them too much. Thats the bigget problem in the middle east and why Israel are still there dictating a lot.
Best case scenario is bringing them in a fetal position and stop their expansion.
the advantage was that lebanon was depleting their AD while iran attacks are coming and they were cordinating recent attacks. now that lebanon is out they can focus on iran. GCC are not the problem here and they are not hammering them. iran had the chance to win in this since all AD for everyone involved were almost depleted but just last time they stopped and now the ennemy will resupply and come back stronger
What are you on about?. How the last 24 hours have affected "Lebanon" capacity to deplete israel's already mostly nonxistant AD?.
And how exactly where will they be able to ressuply all the depleted magazines in this time frame?.
I'm not sure if you think they will do some sort enchantment and all the interceptors and JASSM they have wasted will suddenly reappear or what.
plawolf
Lieutenant General
You do realise AD missiles don’t just spawn on command right? Israeli AD stocks are already largely depleted. A few days/weeks even months will not materially see much change in the number of interceptors Israel might be able to make available.
OTOH, if the ceasefire holds, Iran can receive vast quantities of materials and supplies that can make a massive difference to their war fighting capabilities.
Hell, China just shipping in a few dozen thousand high end inflatable decoys will be enough to allow the Iranians to completely change how they fight since they would be able to field so many highly convincing decoys as to make America and Israeli airstrikes into a low probability threat of actually hitting real military hardware even when operating in broad daylight.
Has Iran lost anything in this ceasefire?
Some people say that the U.S. can obtain supplies, but during the war, the U.S. camp’s weapons production capacity was not restricted, and it could be rapidly transported worldwide; on the other hand, Iran’s own weapons production capacity was limited due to the bombing.
Some say Iran has lost morale because it compromised at this critical juncture, naively believing the aggressors’ crude lies? Iran has not compromised; it has clearly laid out the conditions for a permanent ceasefire and demonstrated to the entire world its sincerity in seeking a peaceful resolution to the Middle East conflict. On the contrary, the United States and Israel are still scheming to tear up the ceasefire agreement and preparing for the next round of slaughter. The world has clearly witnessed the vicious, hypocritical, and ugly true nature of the United States and Israel.
How could the Iranians not be aware of the hypocrisy of the United States and Israel? Especially since China has also been pushing for this ceasefire agreement—China’s strategic understanding is among the best in the world, and its decision-makers would certainly not believe that the United States is sincerely seeking peace, much less peddle false hopes of peace to Iran. It is therefore clear that the Iranians are well aware that this ceasefire will not last.
Faced with two military superpowers intent on genocide, Iran has no chance of winning this war through soft power; what is currently forcing the U.S. to retreat is Iran’s formidable arsenal of missiles and drones. Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and its destruction of military and energy facilities belonging to the United States, Israel, and their allies require no legal authorization; these actions are entirely supported by Iran’s military hard power. A two-week lull will not alter the military balance between the two sides in any way; it will merely lead to a swift end to the ceasefire, followed by a return to the previous state of strait blockades and drone and missile strikes.
Israel will continue to face Iranian airstrikes with no means of intercepting them; U.S. weapons will remain in short supply; the Navy will still be unable to approach Iran; and ground forces will dare not advance. Moreover, the hypocritical and ugly true nature of the United States and Israel will once again be exposed to the world.
Some people say that the U.S. can obtain supplies, but during the war, the U.S. camp’s weapons production capacity was not restricted, and it could be rapidly transported worldwide; on the other hand, Iran’s own weapons production capacity was limited due to the bombing.
Some say Iran has lost morale because it compromised at this critical juncture, naively believing the aggressors’ crude lies? Iran has not compromised; it has clearly laid out the conditions for a permanent ceasefire and demonstrated to the entire world its sincerity in seeking a peaceful resolution to the Middle East conflict. On the contrary, the United States and Israel are still scheming to tear up the ceasefire agreement and preparing for the next round of slaughter. The world has clearly witnessed the vicious, hypocritical, and ugly true nature of the United States and Israel.
How could the Iranians not be aware of the hypocrisy of the United States and Israel? Especially since China has also been pushing for this ceasefire agreement—China’s strategic understanding is among the best in the world, and its decision-makers would certainly not believe that the United States is sincerely seeking peace, much less peddle false hopes of peace to Iran. It is therefore clear that the Iranians are well aware that this ceasefire will not last.
Faced with two military superpowers intent on genocide, Iran has no chance of winning this war through soft power; what is currently forcing the U.S. to retreat is Iran’s formidable arsenal of missiles and drones. Iran’s blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and its destruction of military and energy facilities belonging to the United States, Israel, and their allies require no legal authorization; these actions are entirely supported by Iran’s military hard power. A two-week lull will not alter the military balance between the two sides in any way; it will merely lead to a swift end to the ceasefire, followed by a return to the previous state of strait blockades and drone and missile strikes.
Israel will continue to face Iranian airstrikes with no means of intercepting them; U.S. weapons will remain in short supply; the Navy will still be unable to approach Iran; and ground forces will dare not advance. Moreover, the hypocritical and ugly true nature of the United States and Israel will once again be exposed to the world.
my rant about iran was because they didn't include lebanon in the agreement wich is the biggest betrayal possible for lebanon that gought with them until now
the tragedy that happened today was facilitated by the fake ceasefire
and the US gave greenlight to destroy lebanon even if they say otherwise
FriedRiceNSpice
Major
What's to stop Iran from continuing to hammer Israel?