2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

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bebops

Junior Member
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In my view, if the Iranian stored the nuke materials in one of those mountainous nuclear facilities, they should use this moment to move it to another place. Yesterday, the search and rescue operation is a small example of what is going to unfold for the nuke retrieval campaign. I've heard they bought jammers. Most likely when the times come for ground operation, they will use jammers too. With jammers, drones will be ineffective and cutting off all navigation signals which will make Iranian counter operation more difficult.

Fighting in the mountainous terrain is not an easy task for Iranians even though it is their home turf. Iranians can only access to that area by trucks vs US using helicopters and C130 to transport their troops to that area.
 
FairAndUnbiased

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
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bebops said:
In my view, if the Iranian stored the nuke materials in one of those mountainous nuclear facilities, they should use this moment to move it to another place. Yesterday, the search and rescue operation is a small example of what is going to unfold for the nuke retrieval campaign. I've heard they bought jammers. Most likely when the times come for ground operation, they will use jammers too. With jammers, drones will be ineffective and cutting off all navigation signals which will make Iranian counter operation more difficult.

Fighting in the mountainous terrain is not an easy task for Iranians even though it is their home turf. Iranians can only access to that area by trucks vs US using helicopters and C130 to transport their troops to that area.
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for rapid reaction, fiber optics FPV drones can have 20 km range.

Iran can also throw some MALE drones with MANPADs and ATGMs at them. If they are willing to trade MALE drones for air to air missiles, they can just send more MALE drones.

this is of course in addition to ground force artillery and rockets.
 
B

bebops

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Michaelsinodef said:
This recount of events seems most plausible:

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The author did a good job of piecing the events together which makes sense if you think about it. Why would US sent 2 jumbo aircraft filled with a hundred of SOF to retrieve a weapon specialist? Finding the weapon specialist is a secondary goal, with the main goal being retrieving the nuke materials on a secret very risky mission.

In event of finding a missing person, drones and helicopters with IR is enough, not 2 jumbo planes filled with SOF.
 
obj 705A

obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
bebops said:
In my view, if the Iranian stored the nuke materials in one of those mountainous nuclear facilities, they should use this moment to move it to another place. Yesterday, the search and rescue operation is a small example of what is going to unfold for the nuke retrieval campaign. I've heard they bought jammers. Most likely when the times come for ground operation, they will use jammers too. With jammers, drones will be ineffective and cutting off all navigation signals which will make Iranian counter operation more difficult.

Fighting in the mountainous terrain is not an easy task for Iranians even though it is their home turf. Iranians can only access to that area by trucks vs US using helicopters and C130 to transport their troops to that area.
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I suppose nuke materials have to be moved further to the north east to complicate any US spec op to regain them.
 
horse

horse

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FairAndUnbiased said:
Why don't they show the pilots alive and talking to the media then?

They gave rescued Jessica Lynch in Iraq an interview immediately and showed her being carried on hospital stretchers on April 1, 2003, the exact day of her rescue. On April 2, 2003, within 24 hours of her rescue, the US military released a video of her.
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Yeah exactly. The Americans always have a war hero in their adventures.

No face, no names.

All bullshit until a face and a name appears.

This is straight out of the movies.
 
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Ringsword

Senior Member
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horse said:
Yeah exactly. The Americans always have a war hero in their adventures.

No face, no names.

All bullshit until a face and a name appears.

This is straight out of the movies.
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Also the mission to grab the HEU has failed -otherwise Trump would be crowing/boasting about it to no end-sounded fishy to me too when the fact of 2 self-destroyed MC130J's were revealed ,used during a rescue mission for 1 man and near Isfahan at that.Iranians have most probably moved all HEU and bomb components somewhere else-deep underground,
 
S

Some1Guy

Junior Member
Registered Member
bebops said:
In my view, if the Iranian stored the nuke materials in one of those mountainous nuclear facilities, they should use this moment to move it to another place. Yesterday, the search and rescue operation is a small example of what is going to unfold for the nuke retrieval campaign. I've heard they bought jammers. Most likely when the times come for ground operation, they will use jammers too. With jammers, drones will be ineffective and cutting off all navigation signals which will make Iranian counter operation more difficult.

Fighting in the mountainous terrain is not an easy task for Iranians even though it is their home turf. Iranians can only access to that area by trucks vs US using helicopters and C130 to transport their troops to that area.
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I don't think for a second that the Iranians don't have the nuclear material spread over several locations in deep underground tunnels. The IRGC are not idiots, they weren't the ones who were tricked by the negotiations two times but the political leadership which is an entirely different situation.

I also don't think that the US knows where the nuclear material is located and just made a bet that was founded upon several months old intelligence that could have been faulty as well so either way i think the operation would have failed even if somehow the US could set up a temporary base of operations in Iranian territory.
 
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Ringsword

Senior Member
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enroger said:
Why? It is the perfect bait.
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Yes,it could be ...some radiological garbage salted with radioactive elements mimicking HEU etc to lure the USA in but the US SOF are no amateur pushovers and the IRGC will have to field its best in a fight to the death to kill/capture the SF's .
 
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