2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

ACuriousPLAFan said:

https://twitter.com/i/web/status/2040321909586636830

Place the whole-ass HQ of an entire numbered fleet right at the doorstep of the enemy with substantially-sized and capable tactical missile and drone arsenals - All while NOT having the necessary capabilities to credibly defend the HQ against such threats (let alone keeping them functional beyond skeleton crew-level of capability) - Sounds really stupid if not downright incompetent.

Speaking of which, there is also one other USN numbered fleet's HQ which is located abroad and within proximity of the opposing side's homeland, i.e. 7th Fleet at Yokosuka. And if the blaze of Operation AR reaches the Japanese home soil, the treatments that the 7th Fleet HQ can expect to face will make what has happened to the 5th Fleet HQ mere child's play.

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It's hubris, you can hear it whenever Hegseth speaks. Trump's regime is full of the worst form of American negative stereotypes, they're like walking caricatures. When Hegseth and that General start their usual press conference, I find myself beginning to watch to get any new information or updates then reflexively putting the tv on mute soon after they start talking, preferring to catch cliffnotes later. I don't know how some folks can be so damn unlikeable with zero redeeming qualities between all of them.

The war is going the way anybody with a functioning brain thought it would go; an absolute disaster for the US (so far). They parked their fleet at the doorstep of the enemy because they thought if they started bombing Iran they would just tuck tail and give up. They envisioned another Venezuela and boy were they wrong and why? Hubris.

I think that we see currently in Iran is an information and initiative advantage developing in the Iranians favor.

Iran lost most likelly superfical part of they capability. At the end of the day it is what they perpared for 25 years : military and civilian assets surviving tomahawk missiles and gravity bombing .

And make things better for them, the integration of Iraniai intelligence gathering, and Command and Controll advancing ligthspeed with the integration of Russian/Chinese inteligence and equipment.

So, quality and quantity about the position, status, capability of USA assets growing on Iranian side.

USA oposite

Loss of radars, data gathering tools , processing equipment, military personel on site.

Assets pushed back , stretched to limit, giving more and more detection opportunity.

IRan detecting and reacting quicker , USA slower.

At the begining of the war USA has perfect picture, but as time going the picture degrading faster.


so, now the quality and safety of intrustions decreasing, chance of shoot down increase .

It is like fighting with an oponent with damaged in the eyes. As time passes regardless of the weight,skill and capability differences the party with better situation avarness win .

Ringsword said:

Here I thought that the A10(titanium cockpit I've read) -which was designed to fight/survive over the European battlefied versuses the Soviet mechanized infantry divisions with their organic air defence units armed with ZSU23's,RPG'S and mobile SA series SAM's and they get shot down /damaged by Iranian AD systems which is very commendable but certainly not in the league of the Soviet Ground Forces at their height in sophistication/volume-wow,what's going on?

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If i recall correctly, the entire A-10 fleet were expected to survive approx 2 weeks against a Warsaw Pact attack. It wasnt going to last long. Everyone knew that in the Cold War.

Ringsword said:

Here I thought that the A10(titanium cockpit I've read) -which was designed to fight/survive over the European battlefied versuses the Soviet mechanized infantry divisions with their organic air defence units armed with ZSU23's,RPG'S and mobile SA series SAM's and they get shot down /damaged by Iranian AD systems which is very commendable but certainly not in the league of the Soviet Ground Forces at their height in sophistication/volume-wow,what's going on?

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They were always considered expandable in a cold war gone hot scenario. It was just with the US industrial base during the cold war they could accept the losses much better than today.

A lot of things that were once not a big deal to the US of yesteryear might as well be lost tech today. You only need to see the SLS rocket taking off the other day with space shuttle main engine for another example.

I just bumped into the TWZ's article with regards the F-15. They certainly aren't taking things well.

sheogorath said:

I just bumped into the TWZ's article with regards the F-15. They certainly aren't taking things well.

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What is this nonsense? Why would the U.S. send rescue missions to Iran if nothing got shot down???

siegecrossbow said:

What is this nonsense? Why would the U.S. send rescue missions to Iran if nothing got shot down???

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And I'm sure Iran keeps a depot full of western aircraft parts just for shits, giggles and psyops, apparently.

sheogorath said:

I just bumped into the TWZ's article with regards the F-15. They certainly aren't taking things well.

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or the " laundry lint mechanism" in the F15's have once again caught fire -indistinguishable to you noobs -from an impact of a high explosive AA round or a MANPAD warhead -so please ...it just crashed-have they caught the WSO yet???

sheogorath said:

I just bumped into the TWZ's article with regards the F-15. They certainly aren't taking things well.

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Reddit is full of stupid explanations like this, a lot of these people have been so brainwashed they can't fathom their military can take losses. What's so funny about it is that even if what they're saying is true it still doesn't show them in a good light because it speaks to the quality of their military hardware.

Ringsword said:

Here I thought that the A10(titanium cockpit I've read) -which was designed to fight/survive over the European battlefied versuses the Soviet mechanized infantry divisions with their organic air defence units armed with ZSU23's,RPG'S and mobile SA series SAM's and they get shot down /damaged by Iranian AD systems which is very commendable but certainly not in the league of the Soviet Ground Forces at their height in sophistication/volume-wow,what's going on?

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Modern air defense weapons have advanced significantly, and aircraft like the A-10 are no longer as survivable on the battlefield as they used to be. It is also possible that the long-standing battle with the shepherds has led most people to have the misconception that the A10 can safely perform low-altitude support missions.