2026 Iran War Strategy and Analysis

tamsen_ikard

Captain
Registered Member
It’s better to collapse humiliated than to collapse humiliated after 50,000 soldiers die in a hare brained land based assault on Iran.
But that's exactly how humans operate. This has happened many many times in history where countries refuse to give up on wars they cannot hope to win just so they can have the satisfaction of trying their hardest. Most empires die because of over extension and exhaustion because they try too hard to keep their previous prestige/land.
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
This is not about "empire " , USA or whatever.

The real group of leaders are the billionaires.

At least 25% or probably more than half jews.

The billionaire class finance the full congress, they have in practice full controll above the lawmakers, best part of the inteligence agencies and military.
Most likelly the juridicary as well.

The jews has Israel as hobby project .

The power is they main project.

Few issue with them:
1, they narcitistic, many of them inherited they money, and living for decades or full life in a hermetically separated enviroment, where everyone treat them as god.
2. they want power. Money is one of the way to get that. They bend the laws, rules and make ones that they fit them. They need the international system to thirve.


They making the decisions .

They controlling the war in Iran, they deciding what to do.

They cornered, due to they narcisism and by seesing themselves as special and godlike they considered Khomeini like that as well.

And because they are the conter of universe, and Kohmeini similar to them, if he die, everything die.

Only luck is there is a ticking clock.

If they can't defeat Iran in two weeks, then the coming recession/oil shock can start to destroy the empires that they made.

And there can be a point when they lost too much to accept anything, including Iran power over the strait.
 

TK3600

Colonel
Registered Member
It’s better to collapse humiliated than to collapse humiliated after 50,000 soldiers die in a hare brained land based assault on Iran.
Vietnam war says they will double down, leave the mess to next administration, until it is so untenable one of the administration had to pull out, with the excuse it is previous administration's fault. The party that started the mess will say the current ruling party is messing up the situation (despite they caused it). This is what American political system incentivise. Never admit mistakes, always leave the problem to the next one and benefit from next man's struggle.
 

TK3600

Colonel
Registered Member
On topic of attrition, economic cost, I want to say, do not underestimate American will power. While it is true Americans and Israel as countries are being hit harder than ever, their ruling class is not. On the stock market there is controlled volatility induced by war and Trump admin insider trades. The war in fact is enriching the billionaire class, including the Jewish billionaires linked to Israel. They can in fact be willing to extend the conflict, even if the country is being harmed, because they are insulated from the fall outs. They are in fact gaining more money from it. It is the average American working class reaping the consequence of their ruling class. As such do not expect US and Israel to back down from simple economic threats.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Vietnam war says they will double down, leave the mess to next administration, until it is so untenable one of the administration had to pull out, with the excuse it is previous administration's fault. The party that started the mess will say the current ruling party is messing up the situation (despite they caused it). This is what American political system incentivise. Never admit mistakes, always leave the problem to the next one and benefit from next man's struggle.
that only works if they actually get a foothold to be bogged down by.

they could always just get wiped within 1 day and lose.
 

TK3600

Colonel
Registered Member
that only works if they actually get a foothold to be bogged down by.

they could always just get wiped within 1 day and lose.
Americans could always just keep the status quo are resume attacking Iran, or enter ground conflict with Yemen and Lebanon. The goal is not for American geopolitics, it is for wealth transfer to Israel, whether through Israeli national power (territory), or through wealth of its ruling class.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
Americans could always just keep the status quo are resume attacking Iran, or enter ground conflict with Yemen and Lebanon. The goal is not for American geopolitics, it is for wealth transfer to Israel, whether through Israeli national power (territory), or through wealth of its ruling class.
they can't keep attacking Iran. Their airframes will literally wear out and munitions will be finished before they deal enough damage to Iran, especially considering they need multiple refuelings to even reach Iran at this point. they need to do something decisive soon.
 

FairAndUnbiased

Brigadier
Registered Member
At this point Iran is punching far above its weight. I am actually thinking that we need to re-examine how to evaluate military strength and the immense importance of doctrine.

Iran has basically no navy and a 1970s air force. Yet it is inflicting immense damage in a 1v2 and bringing the west to its knees. If it decisively defeats a ground invasion it would be at least comparable with Russia, which allowed a Ukrainian occupation of Sudzha to persist for months. A few months ago to even suggest that Iran would be comparable to Russia would be lunacy yet it doesn't look so far fetched now.

The key here is that drones (not just FPV but water, MALE and attack) and ballistic have changed the game. You don't need a manned air force or even turbofan engines to strike back anymore. You don't need expensive helicopters to provide CAS. You don't need tanks or air power to beat tanks.

Tankers, AWACS and manned subsonic platforms in general have been shown to be ridiculously vulnerable now. Chinese acquisition of many AWAC and manned tanker platforms may have not foreseen this development. Fighter type platforms on the other hand have been surprisingly survivable.

Many lessons to be learned by big panda.
 

TK3600

Colonel
Registered Member
At this point Iran is punching far above its weight. I am actually thinking that we need to re-examine how to evaluate military strength and the immense importance of doctrine.

Iran has basically no navy and a 1970s air force. Yet it is inflicting immense damage in a 1v2 and bringing the west to its knees. If it decisively defeats a ground invasion it would be at least comparable with Russia, which allowed a Ukrainian occupation of Sudzha to persist for months. A few months ago to even suggest that Iran would be comparable to Russia would be lunacy yet it doesn't look so far fetched now.

The key here is that drones (not just FPV but water, MALE and attack) and ballistic have changed the game. You don't need a manned air force or even turbofan engines to strike back anymore. You don't need expensive helicopters to provide CAS. You don't need tanks or air power to beat tanks.

Tankers, AWACS and manned subsonic platforms in general have been shown to be ridiculously vulnerable now. Chinese acquisition of many AWAC and manned tanker platforms may have not foreseen this development. Fighter type platforms on the other hand have been surprisingly survivable.

Many lessons to be learned by big panda.
Or more likely answer: Ukraine is stronger than US and Arabs in ground combat.
 
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