2025 Israel - Iranian conflict

Moonscape

Junior Member
Registered Member
The next moves of event is clear. Just like last time, both sides pretended to be tough on each other, may be another round of exchange (performance), but eventually "reluctantly" and "considering the bigger picture" let the GCC countries pass on the message for negotiations, and in the deliberately lengthy negotiations, the public gradually forgot about this matter.
Yea. I believe the US also told Iran, ahead of time, where the US was going to bomb and when the US was going to do it. Performative warfare.
 

obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
The GCC finances the US. They earmarked billions in investments to Trump just last week. Also if the GCC can't export its oil and gas then Russia will get more money for theirs.
Russia can supply offensive weapons to Iran and claim they were already there. It is as simple as that. Iran did the same thing in the Ukraine war.
Putin lacked the courage to supply Iran with the S-400 to take down the B-2. and now you think he will supply Iran with the necessary capabilities to harm the KSA and co. ? get real.
 

Anlsvrthng

Captain
Registered Member
I think many doesn't capture the problems that the USA caused with its completly idiotic decision to bomb Its IAEA protected sites.

Now, if the Russians wants to keep Iran in the NNP treatry they (and the sino big bro) neeed to give everything that Iran needs.

Last thing that Russian needs is a nuclear Iran, but to convinve them Iran have to feel the love from the big brothers.

Love means SAMSs, Iskanders, Gerans and whwatever Iran needs. Including aircrafts manned by sending countires.
 

RottenPanzer

Junior Member
Registered Member

What took them so long in posting this?
Will take this with a little pinch of salt really.


The US also notified the Iranians in targeting those bases before hand, so nothing really changes so far except gung-ho diplomacy.

Israel has air supremacy over Iranian airspace. bombers are flying willy nilly over Iranian airspace. I'm pretty sure Iran's drone and missile factories have been significantly degraded if not completely destroyed at this point. so this 50 drone per day figure is probably at best 5 or 10 drones a day that they can produce under this constant bombing.

Russia will not supply Iran with offensive weaponry. especially after how Iran essentialy commited an act of war against Arab gulf countries. after the foolish Iranian strike on Qatar Iran can kiss any chance of offensive Russian weaponry goodby. Russia will not risk having it's weapons striking GCC land harming it's relations with the GCC.
the best thing Iran could hope to get from Russia are defensive weaponry like the S-400 or something since such weapons would pose no threat to the GCC.

Air Supremacy?
Even the Israel's own Air force didn't admit as far as that.


Screenshot_2025-06-24-02-13-01-80_0b2fce7a16bf2b728d6ffa28c8d60efb.jpg

I inquire you to take posts from people like OsintTechnical with a pinch of salt. They are a leading figure of the whole NAFO crowd, i would not take an OSINTer who posted memes on their main posting account as fully credible. OSINTDefender is better alternative if you're seeking for a more western centric ones.
 
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obj 705A

Junior Member
Registered Member
I think many doesn't capture the problems that the USA caused with its completly idiotic decision to bomb Its IAEA protected sites.

Now, if the Russians wants to keep Iran in the NNP treatry they (and the sino big bro) neeed to give everything that Iran needs.

Last thing that Russian needs is a nuclear Iran, but to convinve them Iran have to feel the love from the big brothers.

Love means SAMSs, Iskanders, Gerans and whwatever Iran needs. Including aircrafts manned by sending countires.

you are saying Iran will essentialy blackmale Russia by telling them "give us weaponry to attack the Arab gulf states or we will go nuclear".
that will never happen.
if Russia helps Iran to strike the gulf states by providing them with the weaponry then Russia will basically be sacraficing it's relations with the Arab world for the sake of Iran. does that make any sense? the only case in which Russia would do that is if they thought that the chances of the GCC regimes falling are higher than than that of the Iranian regime to fall in which case helping Iran strike the GCC would be ok.

actually not only has Iran killed any chance of getting Russian weaponry with this foolosh strike on Qatar. but Iran also killed any chance that they would get offensive weaponry from Pakistan. Pakistan will not provide weaponry to Iran that will be used against the KSA, Qatar etc..

Iran cannot produce a nuke now anyway. they lacked the courage to do it when they had the chance. and now after all their nuclear sites have either been damaged or evacuated they probably can't produce a nuke even if they wanted to.
and if Iran by any chance does produce a nuke under all this pressure then Russia wouldn't mind it. in fact secretly they would be happy. but publicly they would still oppose it and impose sanctions on Iran.

North Korea also cannot help Iran.
yesterday or maybe the day before that Medvedev was saying some very funny and delusional stuff. he said there are countries willing to to provide nukes to Iran. we know Russia and China certainly wont sell nukes to Iran. Pakistan certainly won't do that, not after the strike on Qatar. and North Korea cannot provide Iran with nukes either since these nukes would have to go through Russian territory to reach Iran and Russia won't allow it, they also can't ship them through the sea because the US will intercept them.
 

iewgnem

Senior Member
Registered Member
How is this a great Iranian strategic victory?

Within the past year, they:

-Saw Hezbollah defanged, to the point that they haven't intervened on Iran's behalf during the current Israel-Iran war;
-Saw Assad fall and Syria transition to a Turkish- and Saudi-aligned Sunni regime;
-Saw Israel and then the U.S. operate successfully in their own airspace and destroy their nuclear installations.

If that's what winning looks like, I'd hate to see them losing.
If losing proxies is defeat then what does that make US who, after 20 years invading Iraq and Afghanistan, lost Afghanistan completely and has Iranians militias operate freely in Iraq? Also are we just going to memory hole Yemen again?

Iran started the war poor, Israel started the war rich, Iran just need to survive to win, while Israel loses their economy and population if they keep this up. An Israel that has to ban people from leaving and settlers escaping in droves anyway is an Israel that's lost it's main national goal, not to mention putting a wrench in their genocide in Gaza, while Iran's goal is simply to maintain national unity, something Israel just helped them massively with.

Iran is fighting the combined west alone*, its not a symmetrical fight and objectives are not defined symmetrically. Vietnam won without a single bomb dropped on CONUS, while US lost despite having air superiority. Victory starts with securing oneself from defeat, Iran's weakest link was internal unity, thanks to Trump and Bibi that's link has been fixed, their goal should and is then to turn this into a protracted war, yes they will take loses, such is the nature of asymmetrical war, but while this is a foreign idea to western cultures, victories are ultimately defined by objectives, not kill count.
 

Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
The GCC finances the US. They earmarked billions in investments to Trump just last week. Also if the GCC can't export its oil and gas then Russia will get more money for theirs.
Russia can supply offensive weapons to Iran and claim they were already there. It is as simple as that. Iran did the same thing in the Ukraine war.
Putin literally a few days ago
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Putin points to Israel's huge Russian-speaking demographic​

ST. PETERSBURG, June 20. /TASS/. Israel is "almost a Russian-speaking country" and Moscow takes this into account, Russian President Vladimir Putin said at the plenary session of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF).

That said, Russia has traditionally friendly allied relations with the Arab and Islamic world, he noted.

"I would like to draw your attention to the fact that almost two million people from the former Soviet Union and the Russian Federation reside in Israel. It is almost a Russian-speaking country today. And, undoubtedly, we always take this into account in Russia’s contemporary history," the Russian president said, commenting on the current situation in the Middle East.
 

gelgoog

Lieutenant General
Registered Member
If course he would say that. But Russia cannot allow Iran to fall into the US orbit. Israel or no Israel.
It would open up US access to Central Asia further. A huge chunk of Russia's heavy industry and MIC is close to the border with Kazakhstan. Uzbekistan alone has about as much population as Ukraine.
It would put Russia in mortal danger. As simple as that.
 
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Overbom

Brigadier
Registered Member
If course he would say that. But Russia cannot allow Iran to fall into the US orbit. Israel or no Israel.
He has demonstrated Russia's unreliability. Where is the military equipment that Iran has contracted and paid for, but Russia has still not delivered?

IMO one of the biggest scandal here is the utter betrayal of Iran by Russia. Iran has spent billions and billions and Russia has delivered zero because apparently "Israel is almost a Russian-speaking country"
 
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