The US also doesn't have an equivalent land based missile to the DF41, a near 15 yrs old missile at this point. That point about SLBM more reflects the well known lack of priority into SSBN rather than tech capability.I agree that it is absurd to imply that China's advancement only reflects technology and expertise gained from Russia. That is a reasonable interpretation of the document in question, which clearly over-reaches in that regard. At the same time, I do think such comparisons need to be taken in context. In this case, I believe the key piece of context that many people are missing is just how highly regarded the late Soviet advancements in submarine technology were, and the extent to which they remain competitive today.
The Trident II D5 SLBM dates back to the same period (i.e. developed 1980s, fielded 1990). JL-2 is clearly inferior to that missile, and we can only trust that JL-3 will finally match or exceed it. If that happens then China will have matched what America achieved some 35 years ago. That would be a fantastic achievement, and a very important one for China given geographical/deployment considerations, because Trident II is still a beast of a missile, just as the improved Akula-class boats remain formidable SSN's that, at least minus maintenance and training considerations, are better in most respects than the greater part of America's SSN force today (which still contains more 688s than Virginias).
I agree they're not bad, that China accept having vessels of similar capability as its current SSN backbone should be an indication of that.To be clear, I think that "Improved Akula" is likely to be a lowball estimate in many respects. But as a lowball estimate, it's not a bad place to be. The next step up is Virginia/Seawolf/Yasen/Astute, i.e. there is only one more step up. I do find it interesting that we hear a lot of public fretting about China's advancements in surface combatants and other fields (even if it is disguised by subsequent copium about e.g. lack of experience),
What I most except to is that there is simply 0 need China would ever see the improved akula as an aspirational target for 2030, it wouldn't even be one in 2015. If that was the case, China would simply buy one. Or rather buy a Yasen. The 0 interest in Russian technology or platforms (beyond information expected to be shared between allies) imply low or non existent interest.
That is an odd assumption. US has invested in a larger overall fleet than China despite having a proportionally smaller economy. They have more twin helicopter DDGs. They've engaged in large SSN buildup. China also has several classes with just 1 helo, I don't see that as a sign of taking US submarines lightly.yet there is very little to suggest that USN is concerned about Chinese submarine capabilities (if anything, Constellation having only one helo and no bow sonar suggests they are still taking PLAN submarines rather lightly). Perhaps we are just awaiting 095/096 to prompt a western reassessment of these matters, much as Pr. 671RTMK Victor III and subsequent developments prompted alarm in western circles and a reassessment of Soviet submarine capabilities back in the day.