09III/09IV (093/094) Nuclear Submarine Thread

[AndrewS]

On the contrary the gravity of the outcome should absolutely influence the weighting of the evidence and underlying assumptions.

Things like aero-engine progress, carrier construction count, nuclear submarine construction count, are strategically important in a manner that is greater than say, the production rate difference of a AFV or an assault rifle with greater implications for underlying technological capabilities and significance in a conflict, which should absolutely mandate greater caution around the inputs put in.

There is a difference between past nuclear submarine construction and that for future carrier construction and future aero-engines.

We already have observed data (outcomes) on nuclear submarine construction, and this is being used to analyse the past.
These conclusions should take precedence in importance.

In comparison, for future carrier construction and aero-engine progress, we don't have enough hard data points or outcomes yet. So the gravity/implications of the outcomes should take precedence on an analysis.

 

[TopolMSS27]

As everyone seems to be ignoring my link, what do we think this is coming out of or going into the old Western hall?

View attachment 167618

You go away for a week or so - and return to 10 pages

It could be a 094 - hard to tell in low res and there's no high res available. There's only 80 metres visible unfortunately.

It's potentially a 093B over the other side in the graving dock, but again, no high res to confirm. Caution required as to whether this is a new launch or not.

I have looked at the tugs though and there's no activity that points to a new launch - though we know for sure there's something in there. I would've expected it to have been dragged over by now if it was a newbie, but that doesn't show as happening.

BT1H did take something out though on the 5th as can be seen below in the images. Likely the 094 that's been on the pier for a while. Apart from that, it's just carried out the graving dock gate management tasks and loitered in the basin.



The BCCY has been the same.


The only thing of real interest is the loitering mid basin for both tugs. This took place on 8/1/26 at around 0005 UTC for 10 to 15 minutes.

 

[TopolMSS27]

The UK trying to keep up just looks embarrassing now.

Not enough halls and not enough talent - thanks to shit governments not thinking ahead about anything except giving more to money to a failed health service and benefits system so that they can stay in power.

You can practically "earn" the same income on benefits, sitting at home playing on your Playstation than be a submariner in the Royal Navy.