052C/052D Class Destroyers

Equation

Lieutenant General
With others countries possible have a feeling for shipbuilding plans as USA do with CRS reports to 30 years ofc at this time the numbers are in general different but close.

China provide nothing so with her u can look max to up 5 years for to be reasonnable in more despite they build cheaper her budget for a big army in personnel is enough limited and they are not for construstion the rate as USSR do... far far...
They build each year these last : 1 Yuan, almost 1 SSN, 2/3 DDG, 2/3 FFG, some year a LPD it is important but not enormous.

She can' t rivalized with USA before minimum 2050 and again no sure.
They don' t have CV CATOBAR, Strategic Bombers almost no Tankers, EW aircrafts, very few big Cargos... and on 2300 Fighter-bombers remains 1000 J-7-A-5- old J-8 few capable no BVR capable, small weapons load and range, she is 2nd the true is.

But China has the DF-21D, DF-26, and HGV that the US doesn't have to counter and neutralize any CV with or without CATOBAR.;)
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
I agree with weig2000 -- at this point I find it a little bit unlikely that 052D (or 052E) production will reach the numbers suggested. Of course, I also agree that 80-90 aegis type destroyers will not be reached anywhere in the short term (and I think it would be dangerous to automatically aim for such a number of ships to begin with -- China's navy should adopt the force composition most suitable for itself).

If anything there are rumblings that we may see 055 production ramp up faster than previously predicted, with three shipyards (JNCX, DL and HPLX) all capable of producing 055s as well as 052Ds for a while.
Making my own prediction, I think it is likely that post 2020, annual 055 launching will either be equal to or exceed annual 052D (or 052E) launches. And I think making specific numerical predictions beyond 2030 is almost pointless.

Of course, if we're looking at the overall Chinese Navy surface combatant force in comparison with any other navy such as the USN, we have to take into account frigates, including 054As which are continuing production, but also its expected successor which will likely begin production before 2020 as well.
Well we were talking about Aegis-like vessels like the 052C/D and 055, so the 054A was not part of the discussion. However, the 054B (or whatever it ends up being called) may end up being a mini-Aegis, so we'll have to see. It will probably have a role similar to that of the JMSDF's Akizuki class (a giant load of quad-packed MRSAMs paired with AESA fire control to defeat saturation attacks).

In any case, I don't think the 055 will be produced in very large numbers, at least not anywhere near the 052C/D series. I figure the PLAN will use this vessel as the C&C headquarters for the AAW commander of a carrier, amphibious, or surface action group, in similar fashion to how the Ticonderoga is used by the USN. Basically you need just one of these for a CSG, with the balance of the actual firepower being provided by smaller combatants such as the 052D and 054A.

IMO the 052D and the 054A are the best examples of the PLAN already putting the concept of "distributed lethality" into practice long before the USN decided to do this. These are smaller eggs in smaller baskets, dramatically unlike the 055, and of course the Arleigh Burke, all individually capable of AAW, ASuW, and ASW. A current composition of a USN CSG may be something like 1 CVN, 1 CG, 2-3 DDGs, and 1-2 SSNs. A future PLAN CSG may be more like 1 CV/N, 1 CG, 3-4 DDGs, 4-5 FFGs, and 1-2 SSNs.
 

MwRYum

Major
052D is and always will be the stop-gap solution until the 055 goes into full production, become the definitive workhorse in the future PLAN armada. 055 is to carry the similar combat suite as 052D, but with a bigger payload potential (thanks to bigger hull comparable to the Arleigh Burke class DDG) to do more. Depend on how long 055 need to get all the kinks worked out, (052C took a decade, but we know primary due to the powerplant issues), 052D will still be needed to replace whichever hopelessly outdated hulls there is (like the last of the Luda class DDG) in the meantime, then the 055 comes to take the baton.
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
We must be careful not to assume that just because the 055 is the largest escort the PLAN has produced to date, that this is any reason that it will or should "take the baton" as the main workhorse of the PLAN. In fact I think it should not, for the reasons I outlined above.
 
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Blitzo

Lieutenant General
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Well we were talking about Aegis-like vessels like the 052C/D and 055, so the 054A was not part of the discussion. However, the 054B (or whatever it ends up being called) may end up being a mini-Aegis, so we'll have to see. It will probably have a role similar to that of the JMSDF's Akizuki class (a giant load of quad-packed MRSAMs paired with AESA fire control to defeat saturation attacks).

From what I read, previous to your post the discussion was about the general balance of naval power, rather than any discussion about only aegis type destroyers? Of course there's nothing wrong with only talking about aegis-type destroyers, but I was under the impression the theme prior to your post was about general naval balance.


In any case, I don't think the 055 will be produced in very large numbers, at least not anywhere near the 052C/D series. I figure the PLAN will use this vessel as the C&C headquarters for the AAW commander of a carrier, amphibious, or surface action group, in similar fashion to how the Ticonderoga is used by the USN. Basically you need just one of these for a CSG, with the balance of the actual firepower being provided by smaller combatants such as the 052D and 054A.

Yes, that is what I thought for most of the last few years as well, but now I'm not as sure, because there are some rather strong indications the Navy may be strapping itself in for long term 055 production with rumours that multiple (three) shipyards will be getting 055 orders.

I suppose we'll see.


IMO the 052D and the 054A are the best examples of the PLAN already putting the concept of "distributed lethality" into practice long before the USN decided to do this. These are smaller eggs in smaller baskets, dramatically unlike the 055, and of course the Arleigh Burke, all individually capable of AAW, ASuW, and ASW. A current composition of a USN CSG may be something like 1 CVN, 1 CG, 2-3 DDGs, and 1-2 SSNs. A future PLAN CSG may be more like 1 CV/N, 1 CG, 3-4 DDGs, 4-5 FFGs, and 1-2 SSNs.

I think the Chinese Navy's force structure is less related to a desire to achieve "distributed lethality" in the way that the USN has described it (which is to make as many of their surface combatants and even some auxiliaries have anti surface capabilities as possible), but more a reflection of the Chinese Navy's own resources and resource limitations, and the kind of distances and locations at which they will be looking to operate at, and also differing philosophy of the value of medium displacement surface combatants vs the USN.

If anything I think the USN are a little unusual in their over emphasis on fielding an almost exclusively high displacement, high end surface combatant force in their Burkes and Ticos, and forgoing a medium end blue water capable frigate.
Of course, the LCS/FF partly fills the role of a frigate in the USN, but not quite like how the 054A does in the Chinese Navy at present, or even how the OHP class did in the USN back during the late cold war, mostly due to the lack of air defence capability beyond ciws.
 

Iron Man

Major
Registered Member
From what I read, previous to your post the discussion was about the general balance of naval power, rather than any discussion about only aegis type destroyers? Of course there's nothing wrong with only talking about aegis-type destroyers, but I was under the impression the theme prior to your post was about general naval balance.
Well the original post that touched off this latest flurry of posts was his prediction of 80-90 Aegis-like vessels, which is what I directly responded to.

Yes, that is what I thought for most of the last few years as well, but now I'm not as sure, because there are some rather strong indications the Navy may be strapping itself in for long term 055 production with rumours that multiple (three) shipyards will be getting 055 orders.

I suppose we'll see.
A rumor is just a rumor. If three shipyards actually do get orders to simultaneously produce the 055, you may be on to something, but even then there are other possibilities, such as the PLAN just wants to put out a set number of cruisers in a short time period.

I think the Chinese Navy's force structure is less related to a desire to achieve "distributed lethality" in the way that the USN has described it (which is to make as many of their surface combatants and even some auxiliaries have anti surface capabilities as possible), but more a reflection of the Chinese Navy's own resources and resource limitations, and the kind of distances and locations at which they will be looking to operate at, and also differing philosophy of the value of medium displacement surface combatants vs the USN.
There is truth to the observation that the PLAN has been producing according to its abilities, but this is not mutually exclusive with the idea that it values and may have been planning a distributed lethality concept for a long time, which by the way is not exclusively referring to giving more ships more antiship capability, but refers also to a far more general concept:
The DL concept calls for a new approach for how the nation might use its naval air, surface and submarine forces as potential adversaries acquire advanced capabilities to control the sea in crisis and conflict. Expanding the offensive lethality of surface forces – which can be geographically distributed throughout maritime operating areas – will add another dimension to U.S. warfighting capability. And, shifting naval surface forces to the offensive to conduct lethal expanded sea-control operations will directly contribute to carrier/expeditionary strike group mission success.
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If anything I think the USN are a little unusual in their over emphasis on fielding an almost exclusively high displacement, high end surface combatant force in their Burkes and Ticos, and forgoing a medium end blue water capable frigate.
A decision which they now obviously regret, and which hopefully the PLAN will not try to replicate. I think a high/medium/low mix of CG/DDG/FFG weighted more towards the medium end (052 series) is an ideal force distribution for the PLAN.
 

Blitzo

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Well the original post that touched off this latest flurry of posts was his prediction of 80-90 Aegis-like vessels, which is what I directly responded to.

Oh right, that was about four pages back.
Though to be fair that post didn't make any statements about when that many aegis ships would be acheived by, but whatevs.


A rumor is just a rumor. If three shipyards actually do get orders to simultaneously produce the 055, you may be on to something, but even then there are other possibilities, such as the PLAN just wants to put out a set number of cruisers in a short time period.

Well, let's wait and see.
It's still early days yet, and the first 055 hasn't even been launched. We know that JN is definitely building 055, DL is highly expected to build 055, and strong suggestions that HP LX will also be building them, so right now I'm not going to rule it out yet.


There is truth to the observation that the PLAN has been producing according to its abilities, but this is not mutually exclusive with the idea that it values and may have been planning a distributed lethality concept for a long time, which by the way is not exclusively referring to giving more ships more antiship capability, but refers also to a far more general concept:

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In terms of hardware, at this stage I think their implementation of distributed lethality is essentially to give more surface ships access to anti surface weapons and especially anti ship weapons that in the last decade or so have not been standard fit aboard all USN surface combatants (including many burkes, like IIAs).

Tbh when I first read of the USN's "distribute lethality" concept, I thought their description in terms of hardware implementation aboard surface forces would have been fairly standard for most navies -- i.e.: that it is the norm for most navies to have "distributed lethality" among their surface combatant fleet as standard.


A decision which they now obviously regret, and which hopefully the PLAN will not try to replicate. I think a high/medium/low mix of CG/DDG/FFG weighted more towards the medium end (052 series) is an ideal force distribution for the PLAN.

I agree that the Chinese Navy should not seek to emulate the USN.

However, at the same time I think a better ratio of frigates to destroyers to large destroyers would be about 2:1:1, or even 1.5:1:1, in the long term "steady state" force composition.
 

Iron Man

Major
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Well, let's wait and see.
It's still early days yet, and the first 055 hasn't even been launched. We know that JN is definitely building 055, DL is highly expected to build 055, and strong suggestions that HP LX will also be building them, so right now I'm not going to rule it out yet.
I'm not convinced any of this beyond JN building the 055 is known or suspected vs just being rumored, or even more banal, just hopeful wishing transformed into rumor.

In terms of hardware, at this stage I think their implementation of distributed lethality is essentially to give more surface ships access to anti surface weapons and especially anti ship weapons that in the last decade or so have not been standard fit aboard all USN surface combatants (including many burkes, like IIAs).

Tbh when I first read of the USN's "distribute lethality" concept, I thought their description in terms of hardware implementation aboard surface forces would have been fairly standard for most navies -- i.e.: that it is the norm for most navies to have "distributed lethality" among their surface combatant fleet as standard.
For now it may be just equipping ships with antiship weapons, but clearly the long term goal is a true distributed lethality of all combatants in most or all arenas of combat; this will include upgrading the LCS into a frigate, for example, and accelerating the use of UCAVs from escorts and UUVs from subs.

However, at the same time I think a better ratio of frigates to destroyers to large destroyers would be about 2:1:1, or even 1.5:1:1, in the long term "steady state" force composition.
There are many missions for which a frigate is ideal, somewhat less than that for which a destroyer is ideal, and even less for which a cruiser is ideal, which like I said really only is more ideal than a destroyer in the case of the need to provide C&C facilities for a group of surface combatants including multiple Aegis-like vessels. I doubt the ratio will be 1.5:1:1, or even 2:1:1. 4:3:1 or 5:3:1 is more along the lines of what I think is likely to be the expected force structure.
 

Blitzo

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I'm not convinced any of this beyond JN building the 055 is known or suspected vs just being rumored, or even more banal, just hopeful wishing transformed into rumor.

Fair enough, but to me, these rumours seem like the kind of "rumours" from a few years back which suggested that 052D production will at least reach 12 vessels at the time when only a single 052D was launched, or that 052D would be built at both JN and DL years before we saw the first one at DL, or that 001A would be built at DL back when Liaoning was still under refit... in other words I don't think it's just wishful thinking.

This doesn't mean it's definitely going to happen, but I personally am willing to give it some level of credence.


For now it may be just equipping ships with antiship weapons, but clearly the long term goal is a true distributed lethality of all combatants in most or all arenas of combat; this will include upgrading the LCS into a frigate, for example, and accelerating the use of UCAVs from escorts and UUVs from subs.

Yes, well the lack of a clear definition of what the individual parts of "distributed lethality" makes serious discussion or comparisons difficult.
I do think that the initial descriptions of the idea revolved around distributing anti surface weapons among many/most of the USN's surface combatants. If the USN is saying the term more generally relates to flexibility and inter operation of new assets including the various assets of NIFC-CA and new LHAs and their F-35B air wings, as well as potential future unmanned assets as key components of distributed lethality, then that complicates the ability to make accurate comparisons.


There are many missions for which a frigate is ideal, somewhat less than that for which a destroyer is ideal, and even less for which a cruiser is ideal, which like I said really only is more ideal than a destroyer in the case of the need to provide C&C facilities for a group of surface combatants including multiple Aegis-like vessels. I doubt the ratio will be 1.5:1:1, or even 2:1:1. 4:3:1 or 5:3:1 is more along the lines of what I think is likely to be the expected force structure.

Perhaps.

I see some value in having a healthy number of cruisers/large destroyers with ~100 or 100+ VLS and long endurance, to use them to make up the bulk of a few high capability surface action groups operating independent of large task forces like CSGs or ARGs.
But there are arguments and counter arguments to be made for any kind of force structure description.
 
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