Why do you think the PLAN don't see themselves to be in a situation where they wouldn't want 4 catapults on their future CVN?
Right now we don't know the exact configuration of the future CVN, and there is a possibility that it may have 4 catapults, and also a possibility it may have 3 catapults. There's no basis to speak of having 3 catapults as if it is a foregone conclusion at this stage.
If anything, it would be more prudent to entertain the idea that they would likely aim to have 4 catapults given a future CVN will be a larger, clean sheet design with the requisite power generation to support 4 catapults as well with all of the trimmings.
As for carriers coming under attack -- there are multiple ways of being struck which may degrade combat effectiveness in their own domains. Balancing survivability in each of those domains in a practical manner is always desirable. Propulsion is one domain, and flight deck operations is another domain. Mitigating one domain doesn't automatically mean the other is mitigated as well, just as how vulnerability in one domain doesn't automatically mean the other is inherently vulnerable either.
Yes, you're correct in that no one really knows on whether the PLA-N wanted 4 catapults or not. We could be dealing with the shipyard imposing their views. Perhaps there's a statement that I missed from an Admiral about this? The paper that taxiya posted seems to be inline with the third carrier being built. Thus far, Beijing haven't shown any inclination to be in situations requiring 'high intensity attacks." Naturally, that can quickly change based on the geopolitical situation Beijing finds itself in.