Agreed. I also hope whatever diplomatic games of tic-tac-toe that have been going on between Beijing and DC are put aside for the moment and they are talking to each other about the inherent risks in this situation.Seriously ffs - Seeing how NAFO trolls on Twitter cheer on the prospect of a civil war in Russia just made me cringe.
A civil war in Russia is not just like civil war in most other countries. What do you think happens to those Russian nukes in case a full-blown civil war does occur? Any ultranationalist groups or extremist groups who got their hands on any of these unguarded nukes have the potential of making the 9/11 looks like teatime.
In the meantime, Beijing must keep a tab at the ongoing development in Moscow closely.
The only thing that is worse than having to deal with two hostile fronts (WestPac and Himalaya) is having to deal with an additional hostile (or more like unstable) front (Siberia). Just take a look at China's Third Front project of the 1960s and 1970s to see what I meant.
In case anything does go seriously wrong in Moscow, I believe that these three key factors are very essential that China should be prepared to step in, politically and/or militarily:
1. The stability of Siberia and the Russian Far East,
2. The strategic assets of the Russian military, and
3. Most importantly, the Russian nuclear arsenal.
Lots of rumours about Putin being ill for a few years now, it's also pretty weak of him to let the likes of Prigozhin and Kadyrov run their own private armies in Russia - you can hardly imagine Stalin allowing that! Even if this attempted coup doesn't succeed I don't see Russia stabilising any time soon.
Of course Ukraine will be taking every advantage of the situation. Right now that's secondary compared to securing the nukes.